With CDC's projections, we'll get that ratio to 1:800 by the end of the month.
At what point did you / will you take the coronavirus epidemic seriously?
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The rate of increase has been mind boggling. I felt that I have been a pessimist regarding how severe the pandemic world be in the US. But, it has exceeded even what I thought was a worst case. I thought that we would hit about 250,000 dead by 12/31.Originally posted by Bo Diddley View PostOn 12/26, a cumulative 1:1000 in the US had died from Covid. Today, twelve days later, that ratio is practically 1:900.
I am thinking that March 1 would reflect 1 year of statistics. If we assume that we will average 15,000 dead each week until then, the death rate for 12 months will be about 1450 per million, or 1:690. Cancer and heart disease are about 1800 (1:555) and 1900 (1:525) respectively.
If it turns out to be more like 20,000 a week, then the annual rate will be about 1550 per million or 1:650."The first thing I learned upon becoming a head coach after fifteen years as an assistant was the enormous difference between making a suggestion and making a decision."
"They talk about the economy this year. Hey, my hairline is in recession, my waistline is in inflation. Altogether, I'm in a depression."
"I like to bike. I could beat Lance Armstrong, only because he couldn't pass me if he was behind me."
-Rick Majerus
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What I haven't delved into yet are factors that might help like total cases and vaccinations that should eventually blunt the spread. I suspect we're quite a ways away from that though.Originally posted by Jarid in Cedar View PostThe rate of increase has been mind boggling. I felt that I have been a pessimist regarding how severe the pandemic world be in the US. But, it has exceeded even what I thought was a worst case. I thought that we would hit about 250,000 dead by 12/31.
I am thinking that March 1 would reflect 1 year of statistics. If we assume that we will average 15,000 dead each week until then, the death rate for 12 months will be about 1450 per million, or 1:690. Cancer and heart disease are about 1800 (1:555) and 1900 (1:525) respectively.
If it turns out to be more like 20,000 a week, then the annual rate will be about 1550 per million or 1:650.
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And this is a timely article that just hit my feed.
Sent using the Medscape App for Android[emoji769]
These quotes stood out to me :
"In October, JAMA (the Journal of the American Medical Association) cited researchers who said adults over age 45 were more likely to die from COVID-19 than car crashes, respiratory diseases, drug overdoses, and suicide."
“We still only have provisional data through December 26. We should be getting more data in very soon," CDC statisticians said in the email. "To that point we estimate there were between 316,252 and 431,792 excess deaths in 2020."
So much for the assertion that it is only picking off people who were going to die anyway."The first thing I learned upon becoming a head coach after fifteen years as an assistant was the enormous difference between making a suggestion and making a decision."
"They talk about the economy this year. Hey, my hairline is in recession, my waistline is in inflation. Altogether, I'm in a depression."
"I like to bike. I could beat Lance Armstrong, only because he couldn't pass me if he was behind me."
-Rick Majerus
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Yeah I never believed that bullshit.
Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkDyslexics are teople poo...
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Those stats are eye popping in a very bad way. The US response has been abysmal at best and that obviously starts with the leadership in DC but trickles down to the states as well. I wonder how much different things would be if the president had at least tried to work the issue instead of trying to undercut everyone and everything. The pandemic wouldn't have stopped but the death stats would surely be much better. It is interesting that states like California, where lockdowns have been more common place are doing worse or no worse that states like Texas and Florida, which have mostly been open except for a time back in spring 2020. It's clear that lockdowns don't work when people don't bleieve, or at led to not believe, that COVID is a serious issue.Originally posted by Jarid in Cedar View PostThe rate of increase has been mind boggling. I felt that I have been a pessimist regarding how severe the pandemic world be in the US. But, it has exceeded even what I thought was a worst case. I thought that we would hit about 250,000 dead by 12/31.
I am thinking that March 1 would reflect 1 year of statistics. If we assume that we will average 15,000 dead each week until then, the death rate for 12 months will be about 1450 per million, or 1:690. Cancer and heart disease are about 1800 (1:555) and 1900 (1:525) respectively.
If it turns out to be more like 20,000 a week, then the annual rate will be about 1550 per million or 1:650."Discipleship is not a spectator sport. We cannot expect to experience the blessing of faith by standing inactive on the sidelines any more than we can experience the benefits of health by sitting on a sofa watching sporting events on television and giving advice to the athletes. And yet for some, “spectator discipleship” is a preferred if not primary way of worshipping." -Pres. Uchtdorf
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California's migrant population is one of the reasons for our problem. Multiple families living in the same home and heading out to work. Not a great recipe.Originally posted by Moliere View PostThose stats are eye popping in a very bad way. The US response has been abysmal at best and that obviously starts with the leadership in DC but trickles down to the states as well. I wonder how much different things would be if the president had at least tried to work the issue instead of trying to undercut everyone and everything. The pandemic wouldn't have stopped but the death stats would surely be much better. It is interesting that states like California, where lockdowns have been more common place are doing worse or no worse that states like Texas and Florida, which have mostly been open except for a time back in spring 2020. It's clear that lockdowns don't work when people don't bleieve, or at led to not believe, that COVID is a serious issue.
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China insists that it is fully back to work. Yet we've been waiting for a scooter for my dad-- he ordered one last May. All of the scooter manufacturers are chinese. And no scooters have come over from China since March of 2020. That is not back to work.
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Originally posted by frank ryan View PostI thought I was good, but I've got junk in my lunge now. I'm worried it is pneumonia.
Baby's got back!!
"Discipleship is not a spectator sport. We cannot expect to experience the blessing of faith by standing inactive on the sidelines any more than we can experience the benefits of health by sitting on a sofa watching sporting events on television and giving advice to the athletes. And yet for some, “spectator discipleship” is a preferred if not primary way of worshipping." -Pres. Uchtdorf
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Go back to the doctor please. Don’t be a hero here. I have heard horror stories about how quickly it can escalate in the lungs without treatment.Originally posted by frank ryan View PostI thought I was good, but I've got junk in my lunge now. I'm worried it is pneumonia.
Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkDyslexics are teople poo...
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Impoverished people can be so selfish sometimes.Originally posted by The_Tick View PostCalifornia's migrant population is one of the reasons for our problem. Multiple families living in the same home and heading out to work. Not a great recipe."The mind is not a boomerang. If you throw it too far it will not come back." ~ Tom McGuane
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