Bowl Projection Thread

[USUC]

It looks like regardless of what happens on Saturday, BYU is most likely headed to the Armed Forces Bowl and Utah is headed to the Las Vegas Bowl

Jay Drew:

Now that the Cougars are bowl eligible with six wins, folks are naturally wondering about their postseason destination.
Right now, it appears to me that BYU will be invited to play in the Armed Forces Bowl in Dallas on Dec. 30.

Everything depends on whether TCU is invited to play in a BCS game. If the Frogs go to the BCS, the Las Vegas Bowl will most likely invite Utah. Even if the Cougars beat the Utes on Saturday, there would still be a two-win difference between the teams (Utah would be 9-3 and BYU would be 7-5) and some people in Las Vegas are telling me Utah would still be the pick.

If Utah wins to go 10-2, it would be a top 20 team again and that would be a no-brainer for the Las Vegas Bowl.

San Diego State is almost certainly headed to the Poinsettia Bowl if it beats UNLV on Saturday, and probably if it does not. The opponent is Navy, and organizers won't want to stage an Air Force-Navy rematch.
The next pick of MWC teams would then belong to the Independence Bowl, and all signals out of Shreveport seems to indicate the Dec. 27 bowl will take Air Force.
That would leave the Armed Forces Bowl to take the Cougars. That game is usually played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth. But because of a massive renovation project, the bowl has been moved to SMU's Stadium (Gerald J. Ford Stadium) in Dallas this year.

http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/blogsbyusports/50721765-65/game-think-team-bowl.html.csp

[All-American]

It looks like regardless of what happens on Saturday, BYU is most likely headed to the Armed Forces Bowl and Utah is headed to the Las Vegas Bowl

Jay Drew:



http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/blogsby...-bowl.html.csp

Unless, of course, Notre Dame is available for the Vegas Bowl.

[pellegrino]

It looks like regardless of what happens on Saturday, BYU is most likely headed to the Armed Forces Bowl and Utah is headed to the Las Vegas Bowl

Jay Drew:



http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/blogsby...-bowl.html.csp

I really want this to be true, if anything for the timing. It's easier for us to get our practices in if we play after Christmas and if there were ever a year we need those extra practices, this is it.

[USUC]

ESPN's Andrea Adelson and her non AQ bowl projections:

BCS National Championship Game: Oregon vs. Boise State

Allstate Sugar:Auburn vs. TCU

Kraft Fight Hunger: Boston College vs. Nevada

GoDaddy.com: Ohio vs. Troy

AutoZone Liberty:UCF vs. Kentucky

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces: SMU vs. Army

Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman: Maryland vs. Southern Miss

AdvoCare V100 Independence: Georgia Tech vs. Air Force

Little Caesars: ULM vs. Northern Illinois

Sheraton Hawaii: Tulsa vs. Hawaii*

S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia: San Diego State vs. Navy*

MAACO Las Vegas: Utah vs. Tennessee

Beef 'O' Brady's St. Petersburg: Connecticut vs. East Carolina

R+L Carriers New Orleans: UTEP vs. FIU

uDrove Humanitarian: Temple vs. Fresno State

New Mexico: BYU vs. Toledo

I hope this aint so.

[Mormon Red Death]

ESPN's Andrea Adelson and her non AQ bowl projections:



I hope this aint so.

Tcu doesn't go bcs if boise jumps then

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[pellegrino]

Tcu doesn't go bcs if boise jumps then

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Both TCU and Boise will go to a BCS bowl. Anyone who says differently is up in the night.

[Maximus]

Both TCU and Boise will go to a BCS bowl. Anyone who says differently is up in the night.

So a BCS game will take TCU or BSU over Ohio State, or Wisky, or Stanford (rose bowl), or alabama, or LSU, or Auburn, or a 2nd Big 12 team?

righhhht.

[Mormon Red Death]

Both TCU and Boise will go to a BCS bowl. Anyone who says differently is up in the night.

Well I've been up the night before. Regarding this I just don't see it happening. Here is the scenario. If Auburn and Oregon win out.

Higher BCS of TCU/Boise vs Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl
Sugar Selects LSU to replace Auburn and gets first pick.
Their choices are Ohio St, TCU/Boise Lower, Second Big 12 Team, Big East or Stanford.
Lets say they choose Ohio St.
That leaves the Orange to choose between Second Big 12 team, Big East or Lower TCU/Boise. If VA tech wins the ACC are they going to want a rematch?
Fiesta would then have to take the Big East v the Big 12 champ game winner.

Lets say Auburn loses to Bama but wins SEC champ game (my prediction).
They fall to 5 in BCS and LSU goes to 4
the Higher TCU/Boise goes to the Champ game
Rose Bowl selects Stanford to play wisconsin
Sugar get first pick and now has to choose between
TCU/Boise lower, Ohio st, Big East, Second Big12 or LSU.
Would the sugar in this circumstance select Boise St instead of Ohio st?
Lets say they select Ohio st.
Orange chooses between Big East and LSU (LSU is 4th so they are guaranteed a BCS game)
Fiesta has to take the big east.

Now the TCU/Boise st lower could be selected I just think the odds are they wont.

[BoylenOver]

Nebraska losing is one less at-large team TCU has to compete with. The SEC is all but certain to have two BCS teams, but there would be hesitation if they're picking a 2-loss Arkansas (assuming they upset LSU) or a 2-loss Alabama (assuming they beat Auburn).

The Big Ten is probably a two-bid league, but what happens if tOSU loses to Michigan? Is Wisconsin the slam dunk the Buckeyes are (MSU would win the B10)?

Is Stanford still an at-large if Oregon loses and slips to the Rose Bowl?

[Top Ute]

Nebraska losing is one less at-large team TCU has to compete with. The SEC is all but certain to have two BCS teams, but there would be hesitation if they're picking a 2-loss Arkansas (assuming they upset LSU) or a 2-loss Alabama (assuming they beat Auburn).

The Big Ten is probably a two-bid league, but what happens if tOSU loses to Michigan? Is Wisconsin the slam dunk the Buckeyes are (MSU would win the B10)?

Is Stanford still an at-large if Oregon loses and slips to the Rose Bowl?

I don't think Michigan State winning at Penn State this week is a given, and the BCS standings are such that it's impossible to project the Rose Bowl rep with a three-way tie for first. Sparty would never be a second Big 10 team, but I think the bowl execs that take Boise State ahead of Wisconsin and/or Ohio State are fools -- unless by taking Boise you get a matchup of two top-5 teams.

If Oregon gets to the Rose Bowl instead of the title game, book the Cardinal for the Holiday Bowl. The Alamo Bowl will take Arizona instead.

[U-Ute]

Mandel's updated projections.

Independence: Utah (MWC No. 3) vs. Georgia Tech (ACC No. 7)

[pellegrino]

Well I've been up the night before. Regarding this I just don't see it happening. Here is the scenario. If Auburn and Oregon win out.

Higher BCS of TCU/Boise vs Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl
Sugar Selects LSU to replace Auburn and gets first pick.
Their choices are Ohio St, TCU/Boise Lower, Second Big 12 Team, Big East or Stanford.
Lets say they choose Ohio St.
That leaves the Orange to choose between Second Big 12 team, Big East or Lower TCU/Boise. If VA tech wins the ACC are they going to want a rematch?
Fiesta would then have to take the Big East v the Big 12 champ game winner.

Lets say Auburn loses to Bama but wins SEC champ game (my prediction).
They fall to 5 in BCS and LSU goes to 4
the Higher TCU/Boise goes to the Champ game
Rose Bowl selects Stanford to play wisconsin
Sugar get first pick and now has to choose between
TCU/Boise lower, Ohio st, Big East, Second Big12 or LSU.
Would the sugar in this circumstance select Boise St instead of Ohio st?
Lets say they select Ohio st.
Orange chooses between Big East and LSU (LSU is 4th so they are guaranteed a BCS game)
Fiesta has to take the big east.

Now the TCU/Boise st lower could be selected I just think the odds are they wont.

You have my permission to use my words against me if I am wrong, but I'm saying it now, both TCU and Boise State will be in a BCS game.

[Mormon Red Death]

Mandel's updated projections.

Independence: Utah (MWC No. 3) vs. Georgia Tech (ACC No. 7)

If the veg doesnt want a Utah/ND rematch then why air force? Why wouldn't they just select byu to play ND.

[USUC]

Mandel's updated projections.

Independence: Utah (MWC No. 3) vs. Georgia Tech (ACC No. 7)

Its funny watching the columnists make their predictions. Some are made purely on projected season ending standings (1st place team goes here, 2nd place teams goes there etc.) While others make projections based off of which team will get the best draw (SDSU to Poinsettia as both are in San Diego, Air Force to Independence because there is an Air Force base close by, etc.).

I'm sure standing and record have something to do with it, I just couldn't see a 7-5 BYU team picked over a 9-3 Utah team for the Vegas Bowl, let alone a 6-6 BYU team over a 10-2 Utah team purely because BYU gets the better draw.

My biggest fear in a Utah win this Saturday is that it most likely relegates BYU to the New Mexico Bowl.

[Mormon Red Death]

Mandel's updated projections.

Independence: Utah (MWC No. 3) vs. Georgia Tech (ACC No. 7)

btw... Mandel is an idiot. No way the Rose takes Boise St over Stanford.