War with Iran - DEFCON 3

[falafel]

TACO

[falafel]

TACO Tuesday!

Thank God.

[LVAllen]

Pakistan and China intervened. Trump claims victory, although Iran is going to be far, far richer on a daily basis thanks to the Hormuz Toll (Republicans bitched endlessly when Obame unfroze Iran's own assets to the tune of $1.8B. Now Iran will make that every 2 weeks, even after the split with Oman.)

US image and soft power takes the hit. China shows up as the reasonable country who can get things done.

[frank ryan]

Pakistan and China intervened. Trump claims victory, although Iran is going to be far, far richer on a daily basis thanks to the Hormuz Toll (Republicans bitched endlessly when Obame unfroze Iran's own assets to the tune of $1.8B. Now Iran will make that every 2 weeks, even after the split with Oman.)

US image and soft power takes the hit. China shows up as the reasonable country who can get things done.

I don't think this is over. We have another country not only aware of our bellicose tendencies but all this rhetoric around whipping out this civilization is going to ramifications. So much for the people of Iran taking over!

[PaloAltoCougar]

With the market way down this morning due to the pending erasure of an entire civilization, I'm guessing Trump's cronies are loading up on short-term call options in anticipation of Taco Tuesday and the announcement of a soon-to-be-reached great deal with the "new" regime.

Does everyone realize how much insight and wisdom it required for me to make the foregoing prediction early this morning? [Answer: The brainpower of a flatworm]. NASDAQ futures are currently up over 3%.

[Northwestcoug]

Pakistan and China intervened. Trump claims victory, although Iran is going to be far, far richer on a daily basis thanks to the Hormuz Toll (Republicans bitched endlessly when Obame unfroze Iran's own assets to the tune of $1.8B. Now Iran will make that every 2 weeks, even after the split with Oman.)

US image and soft power takes the hit. China shows up as the reasonable country who can get things done.

I'm sure that cool 2 mill per tanker will help with the gas prices...

[dabrockster]

Sounds like the perfect day of the week for tacos.

Nailed it! But it is becoming easier to predict.

[dabrockster]

Pakistan and China intervened. Trump claims victory, although Iran is going to be far, far richer on a daily basis thanks to the Hormuz Toll (Republicans bitched endlessly when Obame unfroze Iran's own assets to the tune of $1.8B. Now Iran will make that every 2 weeks, even after the split with Oman.)

US image and soft power takes the hit. China shows up as the reasonable country who can get things done.

I am skeptical this is the end of the negotiations or if bombing will not return in 2-weeks. It would be an epic failure of gargantuan proportions if Trump allows for a toll to remain for Iran.

[Northwestcoug]

I am skeptical this is the end of the negotiations or if bombing will not return in 2-weeks. It would be an epic failure of gargantuan proportions if Trump allows for a toll to remain for Iran.

The reporting is that the toll was a workaround for Iran to rebuild what was destroyed in the last month. The epic failure would be Iran and Israel directly paying Iran reparations, at least optically. The toll idea sounds like something Trump would come up with, very tariff-esque. I doubt it's going away anytime soon. Likewise, a return to bombing would bring us right back to square one with the Strait. Do you think Trump wants that?

[dabrockster]

The reporting is that the toll was a workaround for Iran to rebuild what was destroyed in the last month. The epic failure would be Iran and Israel directly paying Iran reparations, at least optically. The toll idea sounds like something Trump would come up with, very tariff-esque. I doubt it's going away anytime soon. Likewise, a return to bombing would bring us right back to square one with the Strait. Do you think Trump wants that?

If it helps his stocks.. Yeah..

[Northwestcoug]

Looking at Iran's competing 10 conditions for ending the war, about half of them would represent major concessions that weren't in place before the war. One of them, Iran maintaining control of the Strait, would be nothing less than a complete failure that would continue to prop up the regime.

If that happens, let's game polymarket. 2 weeks comes with Iran demanding this and the US and other gulf states digging their heals in. That should lead to another genocide threat with an ultimatum in let's say 7days. So on the 20th day when the stock market is down and oil prices high again, we buy!

[Maximus]

Looking at Iran's competing 10 conditions for ending the war, about half of them would represent major concessions that weren't in place before the war. One of them, Iran maintaining control of the Strait, would be nothing less than a complete failure that would continue to prop up the regime.

If that happens, let's game polymarket. 2 weeks comes with Iran demanding this and the US and other gulf states digging their heals in. That should lead to another genocide threat with an ultimatum in let's say 7days. So on the 20th day when the stock market is down and oil prices high again, we buy!

iran going to make money off this war and survive longer. great job donny

[Northwestcoug]

And.....the Strait is closed again. We should move up our next Armageddon threat by a week.

[LVAllen]

And.....the Strait is closed again. We should move up our next Armageddon threat by a week.

Question in the news conference: "There are reports of explosions in Iranian cities. Who is bombing Iran?" Krazy Karoline: "I'll have to find out."

[falafel]

And.....the Strait is closed again. We should move up our next Armageddon threat by a week.

open the Fuckin' strait you crazy bastards!