The 2012 Republican Primary thread, early edition

[cowboy]

Mitt up 5k with 87% reporting.

Using my same spreadsheet, Santorum would now have to win the remaining precincts 40% to 34%. Doable, but very tough for the sweater vest.

[CJF]

lol. very bold.

I did it 45 minutes ago with Santorum up about 15k votes.

[Viking]

I did it 45 minutes ago with Santorum up about 15k votes.

Man, i can't see what DDD writes. Thank god.

[pellegrino]

Using my same spreadsheet, Santorum would now have to win the remaining precincts 40% to 34%. Doable, but very tough for the sweater vest.

what does Mitt win by if current percentages in incomplete counties remain? I have to think it comes close to Viking's prediction.

[byu71]

it is hillarious the punditry on CNN a while ago dumping on Mitt for losing.

To now talk about how even though Rick lost he really won is going to sound dumb and redundent.

pundits, the most overpaid class in America.

[Viking]

what does Mitt win by if current percentages in incomplete counties remain? I have to think it comes close to Viking's prediction.

Right now Cuyahoga implies a net gain of an additional 8k votes at current rates.

I'd add a few thousand here and there from some of the bigger counties to get to >10k

[pellegrino]

Pretty funny how pundits were talking about Mitt not wrapping this up and all the body blows he took from Santorum minutes ago to now they're talking about moral victories Rick can take home.

pretty pathetic. I think the takeaway from tonight is something one of CNN's pundits said. "Who would have thought it would have been so difficult to beat Rick Santorum?" The Republican party is about as lame as it gets.

[Pheidippides]

Am I the only one who's for Mitt despite that he's a Mormon?

I wouldn't go that far, but his mormonism is irrelevant to me. At worst I view it as harmless - I theorize that I am familiar with his religion, and therefore am not scared of it, and thus can look at his substance.

[Viking]

This guy is a prick and his suit pants are too short.

And he forgot to button his top button.

[Pheidippides]

it is hillarious the punditry on CNN a while ago dumping on Mitt for losing.

To now talk about how even though Rick lost he really won is going to sound dumb and redundent.

pundits, the most overpaid class in America.

CNN's group of pundit buffoons has pissed me off all night. They are all morons, shills for their parties, nothing more. Ari F. may be the exception, as he made some sense at one point when he was talking, but nearly gave Begala an aneurysm.

[cowboy]

what does Mitt win by if current percentages in incomplete counties remain? I have to think it comes close to Viking's prediction.

I don't have the county breakdowns, but he picked up 7k votes over Santorum with the last 8% of the precincts that reported. If his margin of victory in the remaining 11% goes that same way he picks up another 9,600 votes and wins by close to 15k.

[Surfah]

Santorum adviser John Brabender told reporters the campaign proved Tuesday that "Rick Santorum can win in the West and can win in the South. He is the only candidate who can beat Mitt Romney. There is no doubt in our minds."

I'll give Santo the south (FL doesn't count), but what is he going to win in the west? He got trounced in AZ already. He lost Washington. He lost Idaho. He's going to lose Utah and California. And I assume he'll lose Hawaii too. So, what in the west are they going to claim? Colorado?

[myboynoah]

Santorum is toast in Ohio.

That was LOL funny.

[Surfah]

I don't have the county breakdowns, but he picked up 7k votes over Santorum with the last 8% of the precincts that reported. If his margin of victory in the remaining 11% goes that same way he picks up another 9,600 votes and wins by close to 15k.

Here's the county reporting breakdown:

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012/ohio-primary-super-tuesday/results-by-county

[Viking]

OK, CNN now making the point as to why Rambam might be really wrong: ROmney is winning centrist, non-Republican strongholds and losing conservative strongholds.

Here's my bet: the evangelicals hate only Obama worse than they do Mormons. If the evangelical preachers pound the pulpit in the anti-Obama vote, and the economy doesn't show a meaningful acceleration through the summer, then Romney could win in a squeaker in November.