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  • Originally posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
    Seems like a dumb ruling.
    How so?
    "I think it was King Benjamin who said 'you sorry ass shitbags who have no skills that the market values also have an obligation to have the attitude that if one day you do in fact win the PowerBall Lottery that you will then impart of your substance to those without.'"
    - Goatnapper'96

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
      Seems like a dumb ruling.
      I'd like to see what evidence was presented.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Bo Diddley View Post

        I took it to mean all sorts of pattern matching is suspect--not just ballistics.
        yes, the implication that all pattern analysis has some inherent bias. Humans tend to look for patterns naturally. Computer aided analysis could be better, but if the algorithms came from a human they can still be suspect.

        Originally posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
        Seems like a dumb ruling.
        did you read the article? In the best case scenarios, the false positive rate of calling two fired cartridges/bullets an exact match is ~20%. If you include ‘inconclusive’ results (remember, as a policy the FBI crime lab doesn’t exonerate any bullet fired; it is either called an ‘exact match’ or ‘inconclusive’), that rate shoots up to ~50%. A coin toss.

        This ruling is exactly the thing that hopefully will generate more rational use of forensics in court cases.

        "...you pointy-headed autopsy nerd. Do you think it's possible for you to post without using words like "hilarious," "absurd," "canard," and "truther"? Your bare assertions do not make it so. Maybe your reasoning is too stunted and your vocabulary is too limited to go without these epithets."
        "You are an intemperate, unscientific poster who makes light of very serious matters.”
        - SeattleUte

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Northwestcoug View Post

          yes, the implication that all pattern analysis has some inherent bias. Humans tend to look for patterns naturally. Computer aided analysis could be better, but if the algorithms came from a human they can still be suspect.



          did you read the article? In the best case scenarios, the false positive rate of calling two fired cartridges/bullets an exact match is ~20%. If you include ‘inconclusive’ results (remember, as a policy the FBI crime lab doesn’t exonerate any bullet fired; it is either called an ‘exact match’ or ‘inconclusive’), that rate shoots up to ~50%. A coin toss.

          This ruling is exactly the thing that hopefully will generate more rational use of forensics in court cases.
          Let both sides present evidence and let the jury decide. Blanket ban of an entire class of evidence doesn’t seem rational to me.
          "There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
          "It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
          "Juilliardk N I ibuprofen Hyu I U unhurt u" - creekster

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post

            Let both sides present evidence and let the jury decide. Blanket ban of an entire class of evidence doesn’t seem rational to me.
            This is the same attitude that let bite mark analysis fester in forensic cases for decades, and put innocent people in jail.
            "...you pointy-headed autopsy nerd. Do you think it's possible for you to post without using words like "hilarious," "absurd," "canard," and "truther"? Your bare assertions do not make it so. Maybe your reasoning is too stunted and your vocabulary is too limited to go without these epithets."
            "You are an intemperate, unscientific poster who makes light of very serious matters.”
            - SeattleUte

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Northwestcoug View Post

              This is the same attitude that let bite mark analysis fester in forensic cases for decades, and put innocent people in jail.
              Yeah, I totally agree with you after reading the article. I'd still like to see all the evidence presented at that hearing though. It would be interesting to see where AI could take the field of pattern matching.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Bo Diddley View Post

                Yeah, I totally agree with you after reading the article. I'd still like to see all the evidence presented at that hearing though. It would be interesting to see where AI could take the field of pattern matching.
                Noooo.....

                It's not bad enough to have people coming up with faulty conclusions, now you want to trust computers running algorithms that nobody can clearly explain?

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
                  Let both sides present evidence and let the jury decide. Blanket ban of an entire class of evidence doesn’t seem rational to me.
                  I definitely did not expect this position from you. According to the article, individual ballistics characteristics are not at all scientific. They have presumably resulted in a lot of unwarranted convictions of innocent defendants.

                  That said, they've probably also allowed for the conviction of guilty defendants who might have otherwise gone free.
                  "I think it was King Benjamin who said 'you sorry ass shitbags who have no skills that the market values also have an obligation to have the attitude that if one day you do in fact win the PowerBall Lottery that you will then impart of your substance to those without.'"
                  - Goatnapper'96

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Scott R Nelson View Post

                    Noooo.....

                    It's not bad enough to have people coming up with faulty conclusions, now you want to trust computers running algorithms that nobody can clearly explain?
                    Only after AI demonstrated the ability to reliably pattern match, and that it can do it more reliably than humans.

                    Comment


                    • Another in the series of junk science in the courtroom. In this case, there's a former cop who teaches police departments around the country how to tell if someone who places a 911 call is lying or not. Along the way eager prosecutors and cops email how they can skirt the Daubert decision and get their findings admissible in court. The article does a good job showing how something that seems like just one piece of evidence becomes a lynchpin of conviction. It's a propublica article so it's long, but it's a good read:

                      https://www.propublica.org/article/9...ource=facebook
                      "...you pointy-headed autopsy nerd. Do you think it's possible for you to post without using words like "hilarious," "absurd," "canard," and "truther"? Your bare assertions do not make it so. Maybe your reasoning is too stunted and your vocabulary is too limited to go without these epithets."
                      "You are an intemperate, unscientific poster who makes light of very serious matters.”
                      - SeattleUte

                      Comment


                      • Crazy.
                        "I think it was King Benjamin who said 'you sorry ass shitbags who have no skills that the market values also have an obligation to have the attitude that if one day you do in fact win the PowerBall Lottery that you will then impart of your substance to those without.'"
                        - Goatnapper'96

                        Comment


                        • An article about who the Luddites really were:
                          https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2024...nomy-familiar/

                          I learned something new from this.

                          Comment


                          • Vaccines work. No invasive cervical cancer in Scottish women who were HPV vaccinated at ages 12-13. And for those who were vaccinated later, there was still a significant reduction in cancer.

                            https://academic.oup.com/jnci/advanc...xt&login=false
                            "...you pointy-headed autopsy nerd. Do you think it's possible for you to post without using words like "hilarious," "absurd," "canard," and "truther"? Your bare assertions do not make it so. Maybe your reasoning is too stunted and your vocabulary is too limited to go without these epithets."
                            "You are an intemperate, unscientific poster who makes light of very serious matters.”
                            - SeattleUte

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Northwestcoug View Post
                              Vaccines work. No invasive cervical cancer in Scottish women who were HPV vaccinated at ages 12-13. And for those who were vaccinated later, there was still a significant reduction in cancer.

                              https://academic.oup.com/jnci/advanc...xt&login=false
                              That is awesome.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Northwestcoug View Post
                                Vaccines work. No invasive cervical cancer in Scottish women who were HPV vaccinated at ages 12-13. And for those who were vaccinated later, there was still a significant reduction in cancer.

                                https://academic.oup.com/jnci/advanc...xt&login=false
                                I sometimes get so shocked by comments on twitter I go into their profile to see if it's a bot. In one profile I viewed a woman said that she will not allow her kids to get the vaccines because she expects them to be chaste.

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