BYU Basketball 25-26: The AJ Season

[BigFatMeanie]

I like how Keita is all heart, but man, the dude has hands of stone.

[Omaha 680]

Kansas shooting 80% from 3. <sigh>

When every team does it, it's not bad luck. It's bad defense.

[Omaha 680]

As the broadcast noted, a silver lining of some poor star performance was Davis and Kostic proving that they are actually alive humans who play basketball. It was very refreshing because I know they are good players. I just haven't really seen it in a BYU uniform. We desperately need someone (anyone!) besides the Big 3 to consistently put the ball in the basket when given open shots.

Edit: also flame away but I still kind of hate our offense. I know you have to let the best player in the country go to work. But do we have to have our 6'-1" immensely talented PG challenging one of the biggest lineups in CBB and getting blocked over and over again instead of finding some open people? Maybe this is a function of my note above that no one is trusted to make open shots outside of Ritchie so the passes just aren't made most of the time.

Bump. I still hate our offense. More every game. I said I hated it when I watched the opener in Vegas but trusted KY to put all these star pieces together in an offense that works. Well here we are deep in the season. We play very well against lesser competition. But agains elite teams our offense consists of 4 guys watching rob or AJ try to score without passing....and every once in a while running a screen for Richie.

[Green Monstah]

This team is a little soft. Bummer.

[Northwestcoug]

That’s like 3 straight Kansas dunks.

[Shaka]

I hate our defense a lot more than I hate our offense.

[Northwestcoug]

Is this gonna be another Arizona game?

[Joe Public]

This stink in the first half and then get just close enough in the second half to get fans’ hope back before losing is not a fun viewing experience. UConn, Arizona, Kansas.

[BlueK]

This stink in the first half and then get just close enough in the second half to get fans’ hope back before losing is not a fun viewing experience. UConn, Arizona, Kansas.

With Peterson playing, those could very well be the three best teams in the country. Definitely two of the three. Yes, still hard to take.

[Omaha 680]

The Sleepers recap of the Kansas game articulated my current frustrations pretty well. I still hold out hope KY can make mid-season adjustments like last year to put the season in another gear. The problem is last year he did it largely with personnel and we dont have the number of bodies to work with this year. Losing Dawson combined with Davis being a bust is a brutal combination.

[Pelado]

The Sleepers recap of the Kansas game articulated my current frustrations pretty well. I still hold out hope KY can make mid-season adjustments like last year to put the season in another gear. The problem is last year he did it largely with personnel and we dont have the number of bodies to work with this year. Losing Dawson combined with Davis being a bust is a brutal combination.

I'd like to see more Mboup and less Davis. I'd also like to see if Diamonde can be an upgrade.

Edit: But yes, there are systemic issues with the team that a mere change in players' minutes will not cure.

[Shaka]

Diamonde's lack of playing time confounds me. He had flashes of goodness in the early season and then disappeared. I trust KY, so I'm sure there's a good reason, but I wonder about the lack of playing time regularly. Maybe he can't play defense.

[falafel]

The Sleepers recap of the Kansas game articulated my current frustrations pretty well. I still hold out hope KY can make mid-season adjustments like last year to put the season in another gear. The problem is last year he did it largely with personnel and we dont have the number of bodies to work with this year. Losing Dawson combined with Davis being a bust is a brutal combination.

Yes, my thoughts exactly. Last year we had way more 3 point threats of the bench. Dawson; Knell was an assassin. I expected Davis to be better from 3.

[Pelado]

Diamonde's lack of playing time confounds me. He had flashes of goodness in the early season and then disappeared. I trust KY, so I'm sure there's a good reason, but I wonder about the lack of playing time regularly. Maybe he can't play defense.

In his limited minutes, it's seemed to me that his defense is pretty far ahead of his offense.

[Pelado]

BYU men's basketball current ratings:

NET: 12
KenPom: 15
ESPN BPI: 13
BPI Resume: 13
Faktor KPI: 13
T-Rank: 23
AP: 13
Coaches: 13

Record against Quad 1: 4-2
Quad 2: 4-0
Quad 3: 4-0
Quad 4: 5-0

Games remaining against Quad 1: 9
Quad 2: 2
Quad 3: 1
Quad 4: 0

ESPN's BPI predictor model gives BYU a 42.2% chance to win at home against Arizona (NET: 1, KenPom 1) today, predicting a margin of just 2 points. It's ranked 1st of the day's games in "Matchup Quality".

For Saturday's game at Kansas (NET: 15, KenPom: 14), BPI projects an 37.4% chance of victory, with an expected margin of 3.2 points. It's ranked 1st of the day's games in "Matchup Quality".

For the tournament projections, BPI currently shows BYU with the following chances: NA - no data yet
Round of 32:
Sweet 16:
Elite 8:
Final 4:
Title game:
Champion:

They are listed as the ___ highest odds of winning the tournament. Big 12 teams with better odds: NA - no data yet

I'm surprised there's no published data on the tournament projections - seems like there should be by now.

BYU men's basketball current ratings:

NET: 15
KenPom: 15
ESPN BPI: 15
BPI Resume: 15
Faktor KPI: 20
T-Rank: 27
AP: 16
Coaches: 14

Record against Quad 1: 4-4
Quad 2: 4-0
Quad 3: 4-0
Quad 4: 5-0

Games remaining against Quad 1: 7
Quad 2: 3
Quad 3: 0
Quad 4: 0

ESPN's BPI predictor model gives BYU a 76.7% chance to win at Oklahoma State (NET: 67, KenPom 58) today, predicting a margin of 7.4 points. It's ranked 7th of the day's games in "Matchup Quality".

For Saturday's home game against Houston (NET: 9, KenPom: 6), BPI projects an 44.3% chance of victory, with an expected margin of 1.4 points. It's ranked 1st of the day's games in "Matchup Quality".

For the tournament projections, BPI currently shows BYU with the following chances: NA - no data yet
Round of 32:
Sweet 16:
Elite 8:
Final 4:
Title game:
Champion:

They are listed as the ___ highest odds of winning the tournament. Big 12 teams with better odds: NA - no data yet

I'm still surprised there's no published data on the tournament projections - seems like there should be by now.