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Originally posted by Mormon Red Death
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Something just doesn't feel right to me about that game. I will be cheering for the mighty Tedford, but this has the feel of a game Cal usually loses.Get confident, stupid
-landpoke -
If I had to put a confidence pick this would be second to last (SDSU would have the least confidence). Another game I was wavering on was Hawaii at Colorado. Colorado sucks but I'm not sold on Hawaii especially with the air travel.Originally posted by HuskyFreeNorthwest View Post"Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum
"And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam CarollaComment
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I like the dominant defense fielded by the BCS school over the dominant offense fielded by the non-BCS school. Nevada's offense takes a huge step down when facing BCS conference opponents (0-5 SU, only scoring over 20 points once the last two years), while it almost always puts up huge numbers against teams from the WAC, MWC, etc.Originally posted by HuskyFreeNorthwest View Post
But you're right about Cal's tendency to slip up against inferior teams. My memory is that Cal's fade comes a little later in the season. I think Cal's fine in this one.Comment
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Just heard something interesting. In Urban Meyer's Career (Bowling Green, Utah and Florida) His teams are 35-5 against the spread vs non conference opponents."Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum
"And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam CarollaComment
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Urban was a walking, living, breathing ATM for Ute backers in SLC with a career mark of 20-4 ATS. That's outright disgusting, filthy, criminal and felonious.Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View PostComment
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Per Chad Millman on Espn.com
home teams off a blowout win by 40 or more that have a greater than .500 record. The record for that scenario is 120-58 against the spread.
There were three games that matched his scenario this week: TCU minus-21.5 over Baylor, Mizzou minus-14 over San Diego State and Iowa minus-1.5 over Arizona."Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum
"And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam CarollaComment
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Do you ever listen to the Behind The Bets podcast? I have really enjoyed a couple of them.Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
http://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/b...an/id383711194Get confident, stupid
-landpokeComment
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I listen to them. The one he had with Alan Boston was a freaking joke. No way Alan Boston makes any money on college football. I'm willing to bet he does no better than the average square. His analysis of Utah Pittsburgh was terrible. First, Pittsburgh's program over the last 5 years is not even close to Utah's (He claimed they were a far and away better). Second, Dave Wannstedt is a coach like Norv Turner in that his teams always are at a differential from what is expected.Originally posted by HuskyFreeNorthwest View Post
Some Stats
Utah is 1-0-1 Against the spread.
Pitt is 0-0-1
Pitt's last 5 years (I used that because that is what Alan Boston said he used when deciding whose program was doing better)
2009 = 10 - 3 Bowl Win
2008 = 9 - 4 Bow Loss
2007 = 5 - 7
2006 = 6 - 6
2005 = 5 - 6
Utah's last 5 Years
2009 = 10 -3 Bowl Win
2008 = 13 - 0 Bowl Win
2007 = 9 - 4 Bowl Win
2006 = 8 - 5 Bowl Win
2005 = 7 - 5 Bowl Win"Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum
"And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam CarollaComment
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Am I missing something re: Iowa -1.5 at Arizona and Nebraska -3 at Washington? These seem like slam dunks to me."I don't know the origin of said bitch booming."-Art Vandelay
"Hot Lunch posted awhile back on this. He knows more than anyone except for maybe BO."-Seattle UteComment
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Don't forget Utah -22.5. Lets hook those three for 6-1!Originally posted by BoylenOver View Post"Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum
"And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam CarollaComment
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I think this is the water mark game for Arizona. They have a good enough team that they should be in or win this game at home. Does the ZonaZoo from Oregon and USC last year show up, or the team that lost to an awful Washington and didn't show up for the bowl.Originally posted by BoylenOver View Post
I like Iowa, but that game is a stay away for me. Nebraska is one I can't figure out, that game seems like a printing press. I haven't felt that strong on a game since Oregon -7 @ Stanford last year, thank goodness I'm not in Vegas.Get confident, stupid
-landpokeComment
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Didn't FSU open up at -6.5 against BYU? Doesn't that seem like Vegas is giving away money. The line has since moved all the way to -9.5 and that's still easy money.Part of it is based on academic grounds. Among major conferences, the Pac-10 is the best academically, largely because of Stanford, Cal and UCLA. “Colorado is on a par with Oregon,” he said. “Utah isn’t even in the picture.”Comment
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It opened at -8 and is at -10 right now.Originally posted by Color Me Badd Fan View Post"Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum
"And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam CarollaComment
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-8 points? Were you just trying to be nice to BYU fans?Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
Of course, I also have the reverse Midas Touch when it comes to gambling, so what do I know. That just seems like an awful matchup for BYU at this point.Part of it is based on academic grounds. Among major conferences, the Pac-10 is the best academically, largely because of Stanford, Cal and UCLA. “Colorado is on a par with Oregon,” he said. “Utah isn’t even in the picture.”Comment
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Hawaii +12 (+350 money line) at Colorado is very tempting."I don't know the origin of said bitch booming."-Art Vandelay
"Hot Lunch posted awhile back on this. He knows more than anyone except for maybe BO."-Seattle UteComment
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