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Official 2010 Season Gambling Thread

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  • #31
    Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
    I thought they would lose last night. btw what is with not selecting my actual winners Fresno and Hawaii? 2-3 for weekend isnt terrible (actually 3-3 when you count me saying take the over on the bsu v vtech game).
    I was just picking the ones you really liked. I didn't look up the Fresno score (I knew you won on Hawaii and lost on UNM), because you said you didn't really know what to do with those.

    Like I said, I respect you for calling your shot. My gambling BIL always "wins" but is remarkably still poor.
    At least the Big Ten went after a big-time addition in Nebraska; the Pac-10 wanted a game so badly, it added Utah
    -Berry Trammel, 12/3/10

    Comment

    • #32
      Originally posted by ERCougar View Post
      I was just picking the ones you really liked. I didn't look up the Fresno score (I knew you won on Hawaii and lost on UNM), because you said you didn't really know what to do with those.

      Like I said, I respect you for calling your shot. My gambling BIL always "wins" but is remarkably still poor.
      I've learned my lesson with New Mexico. Never bet on a shitty team with a shitty coach on the road.
      "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

      "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

      Comment

      • #33
        My first trip to Vegas this season has been booked.

        9/17 - 9/19 baby!!

        Yes that means I will be able to bet in person on Utah vs New Mexico.
        "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

        "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

        Comment

        • #34
          My Picks for Week 2

          West Va -13 @ Marshall
          GA Tech -14 @ Kansas
          Georgia +3 @ South Carolina
          Michigan +4 @ ND
          Oregon -12 @ Tennessee
          SDSU -13.5 @ NM St
          Ttech -24.5 @ New Mexico
          Miss -20.5 @ Tulane

          My lock 2 team teaser of the week
          Florida over (50.5-6) & SMU Over (59-6)
          "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

          "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

          Comment

          • #35
            Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
            My Picks for Week 2

            West Va -13 @ Marshall
            GA Tech -14 @ Kansas
            Georgia +3 @ South Carolina
            Michigan +4 @ ND
            Oregon -12 @ Tennessee
            SDSU -13.5 @ NM St
            Ttech -24.5 @ New Mexico
            Miss -20.5 @ Tulane

            My lock 2 team teaser of the week
            Florida over (50.5-6) & SMU Over (59-6)
            Yikes! Too much big chalk on the road for my liking.

            It's so easy to overreact based on one week's games, but I don't think Ole Miss and SDSU -- despite two completely different efforts against FCS teams -- deserve to be multiple TD favorites on the road. Against anyone.

            But the one game you have that I totally disagree with is Oregon-Tennessee. The Ducks are good, but not 12 points better at Neyland. And as mediocre as the Vols have been the last two years, only 2008 Florida and 2008 Alabama have beaten the Vols by more than 12 points in Knoxville.

            Comment

            • #36
              Again I don't bet, but I really enjoy the math, science and luck with handicapping. If I had a $1,000 bank roll for 2010 I would lay $700 on BYU especially if I had wagered on Sunday and got BYU +1.5. As much as I hate it the other sure thing is Utah and the points + or - against BYU the Utes cover in this game something like 80% of the time.

              Comment

              • #37
                Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
                My Picks for Week 2

                West Va -13 @ Marshall
                GA Tech -14 @ Kansas
                Georgia +3 @ South Carolina
                Michigan +4 @ ND
                Oregon -12 @ Tennessee
                SDSU -13.5 @ NM St
                Ttech -24.5 @ New Mexico
                Miss -20.5 @ Tulane

                My lock 2 team teaser of the week
                Florida over (50.5-6) & SMU Over (59-6)
                MRD, what do those numbers in your lock 2 teaser mean?

                Comment

                • #38
                  Originally posted by scottie View Post
                  MRD, what do those numbers in your lock 2 teaser mean?
                  Its the original Over/Under number minus the teaser 6 points. So Florida's Over/Under is 50.5 and when you include them in a teaser and you are betting the over you subtract 6 points. So If florida was in a teaser there Over/under is 50.5 - 6 = 44.5.
                  "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

                  "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

                  Comment

                  • #39
                    Originally posted by Art Vandelay View Post
                    Again I don't bet, but I really enjoy the math, science and luck with handicapping. If I had a $1,000 bank roll for 2010 I would lay $700 on BYU especially if I had wagered on Sunday and got BYU +1.5. As much as I hate it the other sure thing is Utah and the points + or - against BYU the Utes cover in this game something like 80% of the time.
                    In sports betting if you are right 60% of the time you would beat the stock market.
                    "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

                    "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

                    Comment

                    • #40
                      Originally posted by Top Ute View Post
                      Yikes! Too much big chalk on the road for my liking.

                      It's so easy to overreact based on one week's games, but I don't think Ole Miss and SDSU -- despite two completely different efforts against FCS teams -- deserve to be multiple TD favorites on the road. Against anyone.

                      But the one game you have that I totally disagree with is Oregon-Tennessee. The Ducks are good, but not 12 points better at Neyland. And as mediocre as the Vols have been the last two years, only 2008 Florida and 2008 Alabama have beaten the Vols by more than 12 points in Knoxville.
                      Ole Miss @ Tulane will be 70% Ole Miss fans. It will be a de facto home game and they will be pissed they lost to Jack st.

                      New Mexico st is really really bad. And first rule of college football sports betting is that 10 - 20 pt road favorites cover ~75% of the time.
                      "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

                      "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

                      Comment

                      • #41
                        Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
                        My Picks for Week 2

                        West Va -13 @ Marshall Loss
                        GA Tech -14 @ Kansas Loss
                        Georgia +3 @ South Carolina Loss
                        Michigan +4 @ ND Win
                        Oregon -12 @ Tennessee Win
                        SDSU -13.5 @ NM St Win
                        Ttech -24.5 @ New Mexico Win
                        Miss -20.5 @ Tulane Loss

                        My lock 2 team teaser of the week
                        Florida over (50.5-6) & SMU Over (59-6) Loss
                        4-5 for the week.
                        "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

                        "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

                        Comment

                        • #42
                          Originally posted by Art Vandelay View Post
                          Again I don't bet, but I really enjoy the math, science and luck with handicapping. If I had a $1,000 bank roll for 2010 I would lay $700 on BYU especially if I had wagered on Sunday and got BYU +1.5. As much as I hate it the other sure thing is Utah and the points + or - against BYU the Utes cover in this game something like 80% of the time.
                          Good thing you don't bet.

                          Bad that I do and did on this game. .

                          I got BYU +1.5 at the Golden nugget in Wendover, the other casinos had BYU at -1.5. Did not matter.
                          *Banned*

                          Comment

                          • #43
                            Early line...Utah is -23 vs New Mexico. Please let it be that when I get to Vegas on Friday. That is like Printing Money.
                            "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

                            "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

                            Comment

                            • #44
                              Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
                              Early line...Utah is -23 vs New Mexico. Please let it be that when I get to Vegas on Friday. That is like Printing Money.
                              Wow. Given how bad UNM looked against Oregon and Texas Tech, I thought the spread would easily be in the 30s.

                              No warnings from me against the evils of taking huge favorites on the road this week. Hammer that line and good luck. Even if it goes up, I doubt it would get to 28.5, at which point I might have pause over going gonzo over that game.

                              Comment

                              • #45
                                Lines I like for Week 3

                                Cal -3 @ Nevada
                                Kansas State -4 vs Iowa St
                                Penn St -21 vs Kent St
                                SDSU +15 @ Mizzou
                                Indiana -12 @ Western Kentucky
                                Florida -15 @ Tennessee
                                Texas -3.5 @ Texas Tech

                                My Three team parlay lock of the week:
                                USC -13.5 @ Minnesota
                                Utah -23 @ New Mexico
                                Nebraska -3.5 @ Washington

                                Four Team Teaser
                                Texas
                                Kansas St
                                Nebraska
                                USC
                                "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

                                "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

                                Comment

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