"You Gotta Love It Baby" Official Jazz thread

[HuskyFreeNorthwest]

If the Jazz end up keeping their own pick and stay at 13 or 14 after the lottery, I wonder if they'll be on the phone with Sacramento about sending that pick over for Jimmer. I would guess that teams that reportedly liked Jimmer last year could make offers to see if they could get him cheaply from Sacramento now that they changed coaches and have Thomas starting at PG.

I'm not sure what would be a more wasted move that, or getting the GS pick and picking a kid from Weber State that lost in the CIT. Is there a coin flip emoticon?

[MarkGrace]

I'm not sure what would be a more wasted move that, or getting the GS pick and picking a kid from Weber State that lost in the CIT. Is there a coin flip emoticon?

I'm not sure they take Lillard if they end up with the GS pick. The PG's in the draft don't seem strong enough to justify top 10 and I think they'd only look point if they ended up with their own pick at the back of the lottery.

Who would you pick with the GS pick (let's say theoretically it's #8) that would be less of a wasted move? I agree in not really being interested in Jimmer.

[SloanHater]

IOW, Hater is bad at math, and the team who is slated 7th in the lottery has a 25% chance of slipping to 8 or lower in the draft.

Also, if the Warriors don't win another game, they are 6th worst record. Tied for 7th is looking like best case scenario for Jazz fans.

Have I mentioned you're a moron? How in the hell do you figure a 1 in 4 chance of someone 8 or lower moving into the top 3 when the link you provided validates my claim of 4% being the highest probability of a team 8-14 moving up.

[Maximus]

Have I mentioned you're a moron? How in the hell do you figure a 1 in 4 chance of someone 8 or lower moving into the top 3 when the link you provided validates my claim of 4% being the highest probability of a team 8-14 moving up.

Someone didnt even look at the numbers in the link. It is a fact that if you have the #7 pick before lotto, you have a 23% chance of ending with #8 and a 2% chance of ending with #9.

[SloanHater]

Someone didnt even look at the numbers in the link.

Someone didn't understand the numbers in the link.

[Maximus]

Someone didn't understand the numbers in the link.

I assume you are referring to yourself. Its really not hard to get the numbers.

[SloanHater]

I assume you are referring to yourself. Its really not hard to get the numbers.

Obviously Jacob isn't the only moron. At best, there is a 4% chance that any team 8-14 has a combo that is drawn and moves them into the top 3 and thus moves everyone else down a spot.

Learn how to read a stats table. The 23% you're referencing is the probability if the lottery continued down from 1 to 8. They only draw the top 3, it's really not hard to get the numbers.

[Donuthole]

Obviously Jacob isn't the only moron. At best, there is a 4% chance that any team 8-14 has a combo that is drawn and moves them into the top 3 and thus moves everyone else down a spot.

Learn how to read a stats table. The 23% you're referencing is the probability if the lottery continued down from 1 to 8. They only draw the top 3, it's really not hard to get the numbers.

I'm getting 8.2% chance that a team 8-14 moves into the No. 1 spot:

8. Detroit Pistons - 28 combinations, 2.8% chance
9. Utah Jazz (via GS) - 17 combinations, 1.7% chance
10. New Orleans Hornets (via Min) - 11 combinations, 1.1% chance
11. Portland Trail Blazers - 8 combinations, 0.8% chance
12. Milwaukee Bucks - 7 combinations, 0.7% chance
13. Utah Jazz - 6 combinations, 0.6% chance
14. Phoenix Suns - 5 combinations, 0.5% chance

So that's twice as high as your 4% claims, and that's only for the top spot.

[Maximus]

Obviously Jacob isn't the only moron. At best, there is a 4% chance that any team 8-14 has a combo that is drawn and moves them into the top 3 and thus moves everyone else down a spot.

Learn how to read a stats table. The 23% you're referencing is the probability if the lottery continued down from 1 to 8. They only draw the top 3, it's really not hard to get the numbers.

Im not the one who needs to learn how to read. If someone finishes #7, they have a 4% chance at #1, a 5% chance at #2, a 6% chance at #3, a 60% chance at #7, 23% at #8, and a 2% chance at #9.

[SloanHater]

I'm getting 8.2% chance that a team 8-14 moves into the No. 1 spot:



So that's twice as high as your 4% claims, and that's only for the top spot.

Sure, an 8% cumulative chance that those teams get the #1 pick and about 9% for any of them to get the #2 pick and about 11% for the #3.

The 4% is the best chance a team has to get into the top 3 which is saying that there is almost no chance the GS pick will move from 7 to 8, if that's where it ends up.

But it's a fixed lottery, so who the hell knows where the GS pick will end up.

I just think it's odd that so called Jazz fans are more worried about GS and the lottery than a playoff run.

[Maximus]

Sure, an 8% cumulative chance that those teams get the #1 pick and about 9% for any of them to get the #2 pick and about 11% for the #3.

The 4% is the best chance a team has to get into the top 3 which is saying that there is almost no chance the GS pick will move from 7 to 8, if that's where it ends up.

But it's a fixed lottery, so who the hell knows where the GS pick will end up.

I just think it's odd that so called Jazz fans are more worried about GS and the lottery than a playoff run.

You just admitted there is ~26% chance and then went back to 4% chance for some reason.

[SloanHater]

Im not the one who needs to learn how to read. If someone finishes #7, they have a 4% chance at #1, a 5% chance at #2, a 6% chance at #3, a 60% chance at #7, 23% at #8, and a 2% chance at #9.

You'd best stop. You're just embarrassing yourself. I already said they stop drawing after the top 3 so you're point is invalid.

[Maximus]

You'd best stop. You're just embarrassing yourself. I already said they stop drawing after the top 3 so you're point is invalid.

Dude It doesnt matter if they stop drawing after 3. Those are the right percentages. Sorry you cant get it.

[Donuthole]

You'd best stop. You're just embarrassing yourself. I already said they stop drawing after the top 3 so you're point is invalid.

Just stop. You lost. Again. Suck it up and admit you misread or misunderstood the numbers.

[SloanHater]

Just stop. You lost. Again. Suck it up and admit you misread or misunderstood the numbers.

There's not a 23% chance that a team 8-14 moves into the top 3. Not sure how that is getting misread or misunderstood.