This one promises to be the least important of the three debates. We've already seen them do this twice, and the subject matter, foreign policy, doesn't really capture the interest of most Americans. It is nevertheless the last chance for either candidate to score points on the national stage. They'll be up for this one.
Romney has to show that he has credibility in foreign policy. He may get an extra bounce tonight just from the fact that expectations are lower for him in the area of foreign policy. He wasn't able to land any punches on foreign policy in the town hall debate, and the topic didn't come up in the first debate. Romney holds serve if he can look credible.
Obama, as the incumbent, is on defense in this one. He'll be grilled even more on Libya, and Romney gave notice in the last debate that Obama's favorite retort on Romney's accusations on China could backfire (since Obama's pension has money invested in China and in the Cayman Islands). Bin Laden will come up (and it will be interesting to see how Romney responds). He will try to depict Romney as extreme and unreasonable-- an unacceptable alternative to the good-enough status quo.
Gaffes could happen, but I don't expect to see many surprises tonight. Neither will have many talking points that will resonate terrifically well with viewers and voters, or to distinguish themselves from the other candidate. My prediction is that both sides claim victory, and that snap polls will show a Romney edge that falls within the margin of error.
Romney has to show that he has credibility in foreign policy. He may get an extra bounce tonight just from the fact that expectations are lower for him in the area of foreign policy. He wasn't able to land any punches on foreign policy in the town hall debate, and the topic didn't come up in the first debate. Romney holds serve if he can look credible.
Obama, as the incumbent, is on defense in this one. He'll be grilled even more on Libya, and Romney gave notice in the last debate that Obama's favorite retort on Romney's accusations on China could backfire (since Obama's pension has money invested in China and in the Cayman Islands). Bin Laden will come up (and it will be interesting to see how Romney responds). He will try to depict Romney as extreme and unreasonable-- an unacceptable alternative to the good-enough status quo.
Gaffes could happen, but I don't expect to see many surprises tonight. Neither will have many talking points that will resonate terrifically well with viewers and voters, or to distinguish themselves from the other candidate. My prediction is that both sides claim victory, and that snap polls will show a Romney edge that falls within the margin of error.
Comment