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  • Indy Coug
    Heartless Bastard
    • Dec 2008
    • 18747

    #31
    Originally posted by creekster View Post
    Have you ever spent an entire winter in Canada? remeber, it is farther north than North Dakota.
    Move to Vancouver and pretend you're in Seattle.
    Everything in life is an approximation.

    http://twitter.com/CougarStats

    Comment

    • statman
      Rabblerouser
      • Aug 2009
      • 2799

      #32
      Originally posted by jay santos View Post
      I'm sure they are. The point is that the US economy has had a long expansion like no developed economy has in the history of the world. Access to cheap labor fueled by illegal immigration is one of the primary drivers of this long expansion. Social program costs for illegals not paying taxes is a pennies on the dollar issue compared to this boon.
      Couldn't disagree more. Technologial innovation, utilization of complex data technologies, low, predictable taxes and access to cheap and flexible financing lead to the long expansion.

      Cheap labor lead to higher than normal economic rents for those willing to run the risk of employing them, and access to cheap vegetables, cheap burgers, cheap landscaping, and cheap home remodeling.

      Illegal aliens were NOT at the core of the boom of the 90's & 00's. They helped make our lives a little more comfortable, and encouraged us to do a little less work at home, spend a little less at the grocery store, spend a little more time with our kids and eat out a little more. Not that any of those things are bad, but the boom would've happened without them...

      Comment

      • jay santos
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2008
        • 13652

        #33
        Originally posted by statman View Post
        Couldn't disagree more. Technologial innovation, utilization of complex data technologies, low, predictable taxes and access to cheap and flexible financing lead to the long expansion.

        Cheap labor lead to higher than normal economic rents for those willing to run the risk of employing them, and access to cheap vegetables, cheap burgers, cheap landscaping, and cheap home remodeling.

        Illegal aliens were NOT at the core of the boom of the 90's & 00's. They helped make our lives a little more comfortable, and encouraged us to do a little less work at home, spend a little less at the grocery store, spend a little more time with our kids and eat out a little more. Not that any of those things are bad, but the boom would've happened without them...
        4% growing economies need 4% growing labor markets. You don't sustain that over 20 years without having babies or immigrants. You get gains with efficiency and productivity, but you also need workers.

        Comment

        • Indy Coug
          Heartless Bastard
          • Dec 2008
          • 18747

          #34
          Originally posted by jay santos View Post
          4% growing economies need 4% growing labor markets. You don't sustain that over 20 years without having babies or immigrants. You get gains with efficiency and productivity, but you also need workers.
          If you get gains with efficiency, then you don't need 4% labor growth to sustain 4% growing economies.
          Everything in life is an approximation.

          http://twitter.com/CougarStats

          Comment

          • jay santos
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2008
            • 13652

            #35
            Originally posted by Indy Coug View Post
            If you get gains with efficiency, then you don't need 4% labor growth to sustain 4% growing economies.
            Yes, I get that. US economic growth was fueled by a lot of things including productivity, but I think it's commonly believed access to labor primarily due to immigration was a very large part of it.

            Comment

            • wuapinmon
              Soul Plumber
              • Dec 2008
              • 30711

              #36
              Originally posted by SeattleUte View Post
              I think that if the LDS church apologized for racism in the Book of Mormon against native Americans, and for racist teachings and practices generally, including a full and forthright explanation of the error of its ways, it would help.
              Laban asked for it, man.

              Originally posted by byu71 View Post
              Canada, not a bad idea. Maybe we should head north to Canada. Let the mexicans move here and we will move north to Canada. Why aren't the Mexicans just heading on through US and into Canada. I am asking this seriously.
              Dude, that's a long long drive. And, are you sure they aren't?

              Originally posted by Ted Nugent View Post
              It sounds like this list was most likely compiled by someone with access to government data. This and other reasons is why I always list my race on any government form (including the census) as 'American' or 'Human'.
              It's charming when IPU does it.

              Originally posted by KillerDog View Post
              Decrease in crime in areas where illegals live and positive affects of black markets on price as analyzed by any economist are all I have to offer. These people aren't criminals and they help to keep inflation in check by providing a floor to wages which is below the legal floor.
              I don't know, so I'm asking....do you have any data on how the children of these 'illegals' fare as it relates to their crime stats, earning potential, and their legal status due to being born here creating a burden on the system because their parents didn't pay anything into it?
              "Wuap's "problem" is that he is smart & principled & committed to a moral course of action. His actions are supposed to reflect his ethical code.
              The rest of us rarely bother to think about our actions." --Solon

              Comment

              • KillerDog
                a.k.a. K-dog
                • Feb 2009
                • 4196

                #37
                Originally posted by wuapinmon View Post
                I don't know, so I'm asking....do you have any data on how the children of these 'illegals' fare as it relates to their crime stats, earning potential, and their legal status due to being born here creating a burden on the system because their parents didn't pay anything into it?
                To be honest, all I know about the children of illegal aliens is that they are citizens so questions regarding them seem irrelevant to me.

                Comment

                • statman
                  Rabblerouser
                  • Aug 2009
                  • 2799

                  #38
                  Originally posted by jay santos View Post
                  4% growing economies need 4% growing labor markets. You don't sustain that over 20 years without having babies or immigrants. You get gains with efficiency and productivity, but you also need workers.
                  Given:
                  in the long-run, real economic growth is dependent on population growth (per Jay Santos), and
                  real economic output has increased by 221% since 1980, and
                  US population was 226 million in 1980.

                  Therefore:

                  The US population in 2010 must be at least 500 million.

                  But since our pupulation is just over 300 million now...

                  One of these things is not like the others...

                  the Jay Santos theorem is off by just a skoosh. If it were true, we would have had to have had an increase of ~280 million in population to manage such growth. But it really is only up by about 70 million. Only 80% error...

                  And this doesn't account for things like an aging population with fewer workers per capita, etc. It's pretty safe to assume that the average American worker now produces close to double the real economic output per hour worked that a worker in 1980 produced...

                  Comment

                  • mUUser
                    Giggity
                    • Jul 2009
                    • 1142

                    #39
                    Originally posted by SeattleUte View Post
                    I think that if the LDS church apologized for racism in the Book of Mormon against native Americans, and for racist teachings and practices generally, including a full and forthright explanation of the error of its ways, it would help.

                    This makes sense, but only if given in the form of a rap to Sugarhill Gang's Rappers Delight -- not so easy -- I think that's what's holding things up.

                    Comment

                    • statman
                      Rabblerouser
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 2799

                      #40
                      Originally posted by jay santos View Post
                      Yes, I get that. US economic growth was fueled by a lot of things including productivity, but I think it's commonly believed access to labor primarily due to immigration was a very large part of it.
                      Commonly by YOU maybe. But it's simply not true. Our illegal workers are among the LEAST efficient laborers in our economy. The idea that we import them to do things we won't do, although unpopular in a recession, is accurate. Who among us is willing to put rooves on houses in TX in July for $8 an hour?

                      We've all benefited from cheap labor. But it's cheap for a reason. It's not very efficient. If it weren't for cheap labor, we'd find more expensive, but more efficient ways to do things like harvesting vegetables, building rooves on homes, doing landscaping, etc.

                      Comment

                      • Uncle Ted
                        The Big 12 money shot.
                        • Apr 2010
                        • 28853

                        #41
                        Originally posted by wuapinmon View Post
                        It's charming when IPU does it.
                        Please note that I said this one of the reasons. Another reason... I actually don't know what my "race" is. There is a good amount of missing genealogy in my family tree. Take a look at some of my pics and give me your best guess.
                        "If there is one thing I am, it's always right." -Ted Nugent.
                        "I honestly believe saying someone is a smart lawyer is damning with faint praise. The smartest people become engineers and scientists." -SU.
                        "Yet I still see wisdom in that which Uncle Ted posts." -creek.
                        GIVE 'EM HELL, BRIGHAM!

                        Comment

                        • jay santos
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2008
                          • 13652

                          #42
                          Originally posted by statman View Post
                          Given:
                          in the long-run, real economic growth is dependent on population growth (per Jay Santos), and
                          real economic output has increased by 221% since 1980, and
                          US population was 226 million in 1980.

                          Therefore:

                          The US population in 2010 must be at least 500 million.

                          But since our pupulation is just over 300 million now...

                          One of these things is not like the others...

                          the Jay Santos theorem is off by just a skoosh. If it were true, we would have had to have had an increase of ~280 million in population to manage such growth. But it really is only up by about 70 million. Only 80% error...

                          And this doesn't account for things like an aging population with fewer workers per capita, etc. It's pretty safe to assume that the average American worker now produces close to double the real economic output per hour worked that a worker in 1980 produced...
                          K, obviously I know labor does not correlate 100% to economic growth. And I acknowledged productivity was part of it.

                          But really you won't find many economists that won't tell you the labor situation was one of the primary drivers for this growth and why USA was able to sustain such a long expansion compared to other developed nations.

                          Comment

                          • Indy Coug
                            Heartless Bastard
                            • Dec 2008
                            • 18747

                            #43
                            Originally posted by Ted Nugent View Post
                            Please note that I said this one of the reasons. Another reason... I actually don't know what my "race" is. There is a good amount of missing genealogy in my family tree. Take a look at some of my pics and give me your best guess.
                            OK, well that spares me asking you a question about that very thing after seeing a picture of you.
                            Everything in life is an approximation.

                            http://twitter.com/CougarStats

                            Comment

                            • RobinFinderson
                              Banned
                              • Nov 2008
                              • 10548

                              #44
                              Originally posted by statman View Post
                              Commonly by YOU maybe. But it's simply not true. Our illegal workers are among the LEAST efficient laborers in our economy. The idea that we import them to do things we won't do, although unpopular in a recession, is accurate. Who among us is willing to put rooves on houses in TX in July for $8 an hour?
                              Illegals charge more like $12-15 for that kind of work.

                              Comment

                              • New Mexican Disaster
                                Suomalainen
                                • Nov 2008
                                • 4549

                                #45
                                Originally posted by statman View Post
                                Given:
                                in the long-run, real economic growth is dependent on population growth (per Jay Santos), and
                                real economic output has increased by 221% since 1980, and
                                US population was 226 million in 1980.

                                Therefore:

                                The US population in 2010 must be at least 500 million.

                                But since our pupulation is just over 300 million now...

                                One of these things is not like the others...

                                the Jay Santos theorem is off by just a skoosh. If it were true, we would have had to have had an increase of ~280 million in population to manage such growth. But it really is only up by about 70 million. Only 80% error...

                                And this doesn't account for things like an aging population with fewer workers per capita, etc. It's pretty safe to assume that the average American worker now produces close to double the real economic output per hour worked that a worker in 1980 produced...
                                Well you are a hell of a lot closer to your number when you strip out the longer life spans and the number of retirees and children. The labor pool is the number to look at, not the population.

                                I think you are correct that innovation and improved productivity helped to grow the economy. However, approximately 70% of the economy is consumer spending related and much of our economic growth is related to huge gains in this area (and the declination in the savings rate). With growing numbers of workers are growing numbers of consumers and this contributes to economic growth as well.

                                Comment

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