It's been a score-fest of a fourth quarter in the Oregon/ASU game.
2019 College Football Thread
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I see it the opposite way. I think the committee will still pick a 1-loss conference champ over Alabama. But Oklahoma has two games against top 25 teams, and Utah’s one tough game just got weakened. So I think a 12-1 Utah jumps an 11-1 Alabama, but a 12-1 Oklahoma jumps them both (because Bama would be inactive on conference championship weekend).Originally posted by USUC View PostAt this point, Utah needs Auburn needs to beat Bama for them to even sniff the playoff. I think they can stay ahead of Oklahoma in the committee rankings because Oklahoma's defense is terrible.
Style points/type of wins may come into play. And Georgia beating LSU in the SEC championship could make it all academic anyways.Last edited by chrisrenrut; 11-24-2019, 01:01 AM.
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I think this is more of a possibility. But Utah actually has a great shot. Utah has the media support right now and that absolutely matters. All of the talking heads love Utah and that will influence the committee. Things might shift before the decision but Utah is in a good spot. Oregon losing wasn’t good but it isn’t over.Originally posted by chrisrenrut View PostI see it the opposite way. I think the committee will still pick a 1-loss conference champ over Alabama. But Oklahoma has two games against top 25 teams, and Utah’s one tough game just got weakened. So I think a 12-1 Utah jumps an 11-1 Alabama, but a 12-1 Oklahoma jumps them both (because Bama would be inactive on conference championship weekend).
Style points/type of wins may come into play. And Georgia beating LSU in the SEC championship could make it all academic anyways.
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The thing is though, this isn't an objective process. It's entertainment. It's essentially a reality show. Does a conference championship trump SOS? Or strength of conference? What about the eye test? What about eyeballs on TV for their reality show?Originally posted by chrisrenrut View PostI see it the opposite way. I think the committee will still pick a 1-loss conference champ over Alabama. But Oklahoma has two games against top 25 teams, and Utah’s one tough game just got weakened. So I think a 12-1 Utah jumps an 11-1 Alabama, but a 12-1 Oklahoma jumps them both (because Bama would be inactive on conference championship weekend).
Style points/type of wins may come into play. And Georgia beating LSU in the SEC championship could make it all academic anyways.
Both Bama and Utah will have finished the season with exactly 1 win over a ranked opponent. Bama's only loss would be better than Utah's only loss. The SEC is perceived to be a better conference than the PAC-12. There is a high likelihood that Bama would be taken ahead of Utah.
Oklahoma has been playing with fire too often lately. It will catch up to them in one of their next 2 games. But even if they do win out, they have shown an inability to put teams away. They won't have the style points.
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It kind of seems that way now, especially since they have left a Alabama in the top 5 after their LSU loss. But the committee has never left out a 1 loss conference champion. The only time a non-conference champ was taken over a conference champ, the conference champ had 2 or more losses. I’m not saying it couldn’t happen, but if it does, it will bring a lot of consternation and controversy to the playoff model and process.Originally posted by USUC View PostThe thing is though, this isn't an objective process. It's entertainment. It's essentially a reality show. Does a conference championship trump SOS? Or strength of conference? What about the eye test? What about eyeballs on TV for their reality show?
Both Bama and Utah will have finished the season with exactly 1 win over a ranked opponent. Bama's only loss would be better than Utah's only loss. The SEC is perceived to be a better conference than the PAC-12. There is a high likelihood that Bama would be taken ahead of Utah.
Oklahoma has been playing with fire too often lately. It will catch up to them in one of their next 2 games. But even if they do win out, they have shown an inability to put teams away. They won't have the style points.
On the list of criteria the CFP Committee uses, conference champion is listed first. I have to believe that if Utah/Oklahoma and Alabama have similar SOS, the conference championship and 12th win give the edge.
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Bring on the consternation and controversy, the sooner this thing gets pushed to 8 the better. The fact that this conservation has to happen is ridiculous.Originally posted by chrisrenrut View PostIt kind of seems that way now, especially since they have left a Alabama in the top 5 after their LSU loss. But the committee has never left out a 1 loss conference champion. The only time a non-conference champ was taken over a conference champ, the conference champ had 2 or more losses. I’m not saying it couldn’t happen, but if it does, it will bring a lot of consternation and controversy to the playoff model and process.
On the list of criteria the CFP Committee uses, conference champion is listed first. I have to believe that if Utah/Oklahoma and Alabama have similar SOS, the conference championship and 12th win give the edge.
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I agree. This reminds me of 2004 when Utah had to have things break just right to get into the top 6 of the BCS formula. We were fighting Texas and Cal, and Cal lost the last week, and Utah won holding off a 1 loss Texas team.Originally posted by USUC View PostBring on the consternation and controversy, the sooner this thing gets pushed to 8 the better. The fact that this conservation has to happen is ridiculous.
At least this year, if we win out but get left out, Utah gets the Rose Bowl as a consolation prize.
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Maybe it goes to 6 rather than 8. The BCS was made to keep money and access to the national championship in the hands of the haves. 6 teams takes all power 5 champions with room for an at large bid.Originally posted by USUC View PostBring on the consternation and controversy, the sooner this thing gets pushed to 8 the better. The fact that this conservation has to happen is ridiculous.
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Guys, come on. Utah is going to lose to Oregon."There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
"It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
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Just for the record, this would be my absolute preference and it wouldn't surprise me. I just have a hunch that a non traditional power in Utah, from a conference that has been viewed as weak by the committee in the playoff era, gets the benefit of the doubt against a blue blood.Originally posted by Jeff Lebowski View PostGuys, come on. Utah is going to lose to Oregon.
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You need to get right with God. There has never been a better time to be bothered by the success of those bastards. I hope they lose by 50 to Oregon.Originally posted by PaloAltoCougar View PostI’m not so sure, especially after what I saw last night. I’m glad I’m not nearly as bothered by Utah’s success as I once might have been. Still, go Ducks!
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:finger3:
regon:

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