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Utah Prediction Contest Final Results: Lebowski Wins

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Final Results: Lebowski Wins

    Final Standings:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski      1   631.33    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      34      24 |
  |            Uncle Ted      2   589.73    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      35      28 |
  |              scottie      3   554.74    90.29    34   28.05   28.24      28      18 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   551.86    46.56    34    0.00   12.56      34      13 |
  |          Flystripper      5   514.90    74.21    34   17.60   22.60      31      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           The_Douger      6   511.44    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      31      21 |
  |         DrumNFeather      7   444.93    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      31      27 |
  |              hostile      8   422.14    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      31      20 |
  |          Medfordcoug      9   407.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     10   401.96    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      21      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     11   400.98    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      42      20 |
  |                  CJF     12   363.90    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      38      16 |
  |                 USUC     13   354.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     14   339.46    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      17      20 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     15   325.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     16   324.88    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      34      20 |
  |        Blueintheface     17   313.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     18   306.78        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     19   303.24    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      44      20 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     20   300.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     21   263.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     22   252.38    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      17      14 |
  |                wally     23   242.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     24   240.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Y84it     25   221.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               wapiti     26   204.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     27   193.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     28   166.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Parrot Head     29   161.72    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      27      13 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     30   153.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     31   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     32   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     33   135.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     34   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     35   119.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     36   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     37   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            old_gregg     38   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     39   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     40    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     41    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     42    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     43    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     44    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     45    77.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Pheidippides     46    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     47    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     48    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SandYFan     49    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     50    65.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     51    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     52    35.20    17.60     0   17.60    0.00       0       0 |
  |              Swimmer     53    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     53    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     55    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             eldiente     56    24.40    24.40     0   15.40    9.00      28      29 |
  |                Eddie     57    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Copelius     58    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     59     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     60     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Bo Diddley     61     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     62     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          imanihonjin     63     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Hypoplastic     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Jim Niemela     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Colorado game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |         poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        scottie      3   554.74    90.29    34   28.05   28.24      28      18 |
  |     The_Douger      6   511.44    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      31      21 |
  |        hostile      8   422.14    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      31      20 |
  |        FN Phat     22   252.38    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      17      14 |
  |    Parrot Head     29   161.72    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      27      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    Flystripper      5   514.90    74.21    34   17.60   22.60      31      17 |
  |  Jeff Lebowski      1   631.33    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      34      24 |
  |   DrumNFeather      7   444.93    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      31      27 |
  |      Uncle Ted      2   589.73    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      35      28 |
  |         Pelado     16   324.88    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      34      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | PaloAltoCougar      4   551.86    46.56    34    0.00   12.56      34      13 |
  |            CJF     12   363.90    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      38      16 |
  |     Rickomatic     19   303.24    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      44      20 |
  |       Sullyute     11   400.98    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      42      20 |
  |         Surfah     14   339.46    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |  Clark Addison     10   401.96    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      21      24 |
  |       eldiente     56    24.40    24.40     0   15.40    9.00      28      29 |
  |   Lost Student     52    35.20    17.60     0   17.60    0.00       0       0 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     32   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     60     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     55    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     53    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     43    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     17   313.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Bo Diddley     61     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     39   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     28   166.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     42    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     12   363.90    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      38      16 |
  |        Clark Addison     10   401.96    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      21      24 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     18   306.78        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Copelius     58    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     27   193.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     47    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather      7   444.93    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      31      27 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     37   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     57    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente     56    24.40    24.40     0   15.40    9.00      28      29 |
  |             ERCougar     34   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper      5   514.90    74.21    34   17.60   22.60      31      17 |
  |              FN Phat     22   252.38    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      17      14 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     40    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     62     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Harry Tic     59     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      8   422.14    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      31      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     35   119.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute     15   325.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          imanihonjin     63     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     20   300.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      1   631.33    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      34      24 |
  |          Jim Niemela     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     33   135.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     21   263.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     52    35.20    17.60     0   17.60    0.00       0       0 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Medfordcoug      9   407.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     30   153.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            old_gregg     38   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     48    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     45    77.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   551.86    46.56    34    0.00   12.56      34      13 |
  |          Parrot Head     29   161.72    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      27      13 |
  |               Pelado     16   324.88    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      34      20 |
  |         Pheidippides     46    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Rickomatic     19   303.24    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      44      20 |
  |             SandYFan     49    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     44    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      3   554.74    90.29    34   28.05   28.24      28      18 |
  |               Sizzle     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     24   240.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     51    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     31   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     11   400.98    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      42      20 |
  |               Surfah     14   339.46    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      17      20 |
  |              Swimmer     53    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug     64     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger      6   511.44    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      31      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     41    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     50    65.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted      2   589.73    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      35      28 |
  |                 USUC     13   354.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     36   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     23   242.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     26   204.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Y84it     25   221.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Colorado game:

        Code:
           variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     29.06     31.00     27.00     34.00      0.00     44.00
       opred |     19.11     20.00     16.00     24.00      0.00     29.00
      winner |      0.78      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

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