Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona St. Game

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  • pelagius
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2008
    • 5288
    #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona St. Game

    Overall standings as of the Arizona St. game:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski      1   417.45    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      27      38 |
  |              scottie      2   401.17    38.47    34    0.00    4.47      18      35 |
  |           The_Douger      3   391.61    40.17    34    0.00    6.17      17      34 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   365.85    64.44    34    8.25   22.19      17      27 |
  |            Uncle Ted      5   362.97    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      28      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 USUC      6   354.82    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      28      35 |
  |              hostile      7   340.05    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      24      42 |
  |       il Padrino Ute      8   325.10    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      37 |
  |          Flystripper      9   321.42    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      20      38 |
  |          Medfordcoug     10   311.44    38.29    34    0.00    4.29      17      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     11   309.33    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      20      34 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     12   306.78    44.87    34    0.00   10.87      13      30 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     13   300.08    27.34     0   19.80    7.54      31      26 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   293.07    26.40     0   26.40    0.00      35      32 |
  |             LiveCoug     15   263.76    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      24      41 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     16   242.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     17   240.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     18   238.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     19   231.47    45.79    34    0.00   11.79      17      31 |
  |               Pelado     20   223.34    61.89    34    8.25   19.64      19      29 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     21   203.04    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      41 |
  |           Rickomatic     22   182.92    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      42 |
  |               wapiti     23   170.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |                  CJF     24   169.16    46.12     0   26.40   19.72      27      24 |
  |                Y84it     25   168.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     26   166.89    28.64     0   22.00    6.64      31      27 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     27   153.90    40.17    34    0.00    6.17      17      34 |
  |              snowcat     28   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     29   150.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     30   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     31   135.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     32   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     33   119.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     34   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     35   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            old_gregg     36   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     37   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     38    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     39    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     40    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     41    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     42    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     43    78.18    38.79    34    0.00    4.79      14      34 |
  |        originalsocal     44    77.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Pheidippides     45    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     46    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     47    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SandYFan     48    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     49    65.89    61.79    34    5.50   22.29      13      24 |
  |          Parrot Head     50    42.26    42.26    34    0.00    8.26      20      33 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     51    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Swimmer     52    34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      17      37 |
  |             BigPiney     52    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     54    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     55    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost Student     56    17.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Copelius     57    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     58     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     59     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Bo Diddley     60     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     61     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          imanihonjin     62     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Jim Niemela     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Hypoplastic     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
    • pelagius
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2008
      • 5288
      #2
      Standings sorted by Arizona St. game prediction points:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   365.85    64.44    34    8.25   22.19      17      27 |
  |               Pelado     20   223.34    61.89    34    8.25   19.64      19      29 |
  |               Topper     49    65.89    61.79    34    5.50   22.29      13      24 |
  |                 USUC      6   354.82    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      28      35 |
  |            Uncle Ted      5   362.97    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      28      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     24   169.16    46.12     0   26.40   19.72      27      24 |
  |        Blueintheface     19   231.47    45.79    34    0.00   11.79      17      31 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     12   306.78    44.87    34    0.00   10.87      13      30 |
  |          Parrot Head     50    42.26    42.26    34    0.00    8.26      20      33 |
  |             Sullyute     11   309.33    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      20      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           The_Douger      3   391.61    40.17    34    0.00    6.17      17      34 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     27   153.90    40.17    34    0.00    6.17      17      34 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      1   417.45    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      27      38 |
  |              FN Phat     43    78.18    38.79    34    0.00    4.79      14      34 |
  |              scottie      2   401.17    38.47    34    0.00    4.47      18      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Medfordcoug     10   311.44    38.29    34    0.00    4.29      17      35 |
  |              hostile      7   340.05    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      24      42 |
  |             LiveCoug     15   263.76    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      24      41 |
  |              Swimmer     52    34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      17      37 |
  |       il Padrino Ute      8   325.10    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      37 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     21   203.04    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      41 |
  |               wapiti     23   170.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |          Flystripper      9   321.42    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      20      38 |
  |           Rickomatic     22   182.92    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      42 |
  |                byu71     26   166.89    28.64     0   22.00    6.64      31      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     13   300.08    27.34     0   19.80    7.54      31      26 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   293.07    26.40     0   26.40    0.00      35      32 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

        Comment

        • pelagius
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2008
          • 5288
          #3
          Standings sorted by poster name:

          Code:
           +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     30   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     59     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     54    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     52    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     41    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     19   231.47    45.79    34    0.00   11.79      17      31 |
  |           Bo Diddley     60     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     37   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     26   166.89    28.64     0   22.00    6.64      31      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     40    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     24   169.16    46.12     0   26.40   19.72      27      24 |
  |        Clark Addison     18   238.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     12   306.78    44.87    34    0.00   10.87      13      30 |
  |             Commando     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Copelius     57    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     29   150.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     46    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     14   293.07    26.40     0   26.40    0.00      35      32 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     35   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     55    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     32   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper      9   321.42    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      20      38 |
  |              FN Phat     43    78.18    38.79    34    0.00    4.79      14      34 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     38    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     61     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     58     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      7   340.05    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      24      42 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     33   119.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute      8   325.10    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      37 |
  |          imanihonjin     62     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     13   300.08    27.34     0   19.80    7.54      31      26 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      1   417.45    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      27      38 |
  |          Jim Niemela     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     31   135.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     15   263.76    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      24      41 |
  |         Lost Student     56    17.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     10   311.44    38.29    34    0.00    4.29      17      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     27   153.90    40.17    34    0.00    6.17      17      34 |
  |            old_gregg     36   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     47    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     44    77.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   365.85    64.44    34    8.25   22.19      17      27 |
  |          Parrot Head     50    42.26    42.26    34    0.00    8.26      20      33 |
  |               Pelado     20   223.34    61.89    34    8.25   19.64      19      29 |
  |         Pheidippides     45    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     22   182.92    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             SandYFan     48    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     42    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      2   401.17    38.47    34    0.00    4.47      18      35 |
  |               Sizzle     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     17   240.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     51    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     28   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     11   309.33    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      20      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     21   203.04    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      41 |
  |              Swimmer     52    34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      17      37 |
  |          TexTechCoug     63     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger      3   391.61    40.17    34    0.00    6.17      17      34 |
  |             The_Tick     39    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Topper     49    65.89    61.79    34    5.50   22.29      13      24 |
  |            Uncle Ted      5   362.97    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      28      35 |
  |                 USUC      6   354.82    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      28      35 |
  |              UteStar     34   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     16   242.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               wapiti     23   170.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |                Y84it     25   168.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

            Comment

            • pelagius
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2008
              • 5288
              #4
              Summary stats for Arizona St game predictions:

              Code:
                  variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     19.63     18.00     14.00     27.00      0.00     35.00
       opred |     34.19     34.00     30.00     38.00     24.00     48.00
      winner |      0.85      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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