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Utah Prediction Constest Results: Stanford Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Constest Results: Stanford Game

    Overall standings as of the Stanford game:

    Code:
    +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      1   304.46     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      30      44 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar      2   272.74    89.75    34   26.40   29.35      24      22 |
  |           The_Douger      3   270.36     1.88     0    0.00    1.88      17      34 |
  |         DrumNFeather      4   266.67    87.40    34   33.00   20.40      33      27 |
  |             Sullyute      5   263.59    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      24      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      6   251.95     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      17      33 |
  |                 USUC      7   248.72    20.90     0   17.60    3.30      34      35 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ      8   240.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      9   238.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      42 |
  |                wally     10   235.17    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      21      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       il Padrino Ute     11   232.32     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      16      40 |
  |            Uncle Ted     12   201.17     6.37     0    0.00    6.37      28      35 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     13   193.67     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      38 |
  |          Flystripper     14   192.23     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      38 |
  |                Y84it     15   168.42    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      28      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     16   166.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      45 |
  |          Medfordcoug     17   158.79     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      45 |
  |               Pelado     18   156.74     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      12      41 |
  |        Blueintheface     19   151.69     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      16      38 |
  |              snowcat     20   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Applejack     21   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     22   138.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     23   135.59    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      17      14 |
  |             ERCougar     24   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     25   119.60     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10      41 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     26   119.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     27   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     28   113.73     1.88     0    0.00    1.88      14      31 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     29   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     30   113.21    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     31   110.48     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      38 |
  |            old_gregg     32   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     33   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     34    98.08     5.83     0    0.00    5.83      24      35 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     35    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     36    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     37    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     38    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     39    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     40    77.19    72.40    34   29.70    8.70      35      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Pheidippides     41    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     42    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     43    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     44    70.74     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       9      49 |
  |             SandYFan     45    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               wapiti     46    68.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |           cougjunkie     47    62.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     48    39.39     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10      30 |
  |    smokymountainrain     49    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     50    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     51    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     52    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     53    17.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Copelius     54    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     55     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     56     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Bo Diddley     57     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     58     4.10     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      21      35 |
  |             happyone     59     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          imanihonjin     60     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Cougarmandias     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Jim Niemela     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Stanford game prediction results:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar      2   272.74    89.75    34   26.40   29.35      24      22 |
  |         DrumNFeather      4   266.67    87.40    34   33.00   20.40      33      27 |
  |                wally     10   235.17    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      21      20 |
  |                Y84it     15   168.42    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      28      27 |
  |        originalsocal     40    77.19    72.40    34   29.70    8.70      35      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     23   135.59    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      17      14 |
  |                 USUC      7   248.72    20.90     0   17.60    3.30      34      35 |
  |        Clark Addison     30   113.21    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      17      24 |
  |             Sullyute      5   263.59    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      24      31 |
  |            Uncle Ted     12   201.17     6.37     0    0.00    6.37      28      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     34    98.08     5.83     0    0.00    5.83      24      35 |
  |               Topper     58     4.10     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      21      35 |
  |              scottie      6   251.95     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      17      33 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     28   113.73     1.88     0    0.00    1.88      14      31 |
  |           The_Douger      3   270.36     1.88     0    0.00    1.88      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       il Padrino Ute     11   232.32     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      16      40 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     16   166.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      45 |
  |        Blueintheface     19   151.69     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      16      38 |
  |               Surfah     25   119.60     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10      41 |
  |                  CJF     31   110.48     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski      9   238.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      42 |
  |          Medfordcoug     17   158.79     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      45 |
  |           Rickomatic     44    70.74     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       9      49 |
  |               Pelado     18   156.74     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      12      41 |
  |              FN Phat     48    39.39     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      1   304.46     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      30      44 |
  |               wapiti     46    68.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     13   193.67     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      38 |
  |          Flystripper     14   192.23     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      38 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     21   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     56     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     51    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     50    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     38    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     19   151.69     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      16      38 |
  |           Bo Diddley     57     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     33   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     34    98.08     5.83     0    0.00    5.83      24      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     37    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     31   110.48     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      38 |
  |        Clark Addison     30   113.21    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      17      24 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     16   166.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      45 |
  |             Commando     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Copelius     54    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     47    62.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     42    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather      4   266.67    87.40    34   33.00   20.40      33      27 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     29   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     52    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     24   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     14   192.23     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      38 |
  |              FN Phat     48    39.39     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10      30 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     35    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     59     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     55     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      1   304.46     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      30      44 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     26   119.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute     11   232.32     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      16      40 |
  |          imanihonjin     60     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar      2   272.74    89.75    34   26.40   29.35      24      22 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      9   238.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      42 |
  |          Jim Niemela     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     23   135.59    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      17      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     22   138.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     53    17.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     17   158.79     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      45 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     28   113.73     1.88     0    0.00    1.88      14      31 |
  |            old_gregg     32   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     43    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     40    77.19    72.40    34   29.70    8.70      35      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     13   193.67     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      38 |
  |          Parrot Head     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     18   156.74     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      12      41 |
  |         Pheidippides     41    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     44    70.74     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       9      49 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             SandYFan     45    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     39    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      6   251.95     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      17      33 |
  |               Sizzle     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ      8   240.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     49    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     20   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute      5   263.59    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      24      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     25   119.60     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10      41 |
  |          TexTechCoug     61     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger      3   270.36     1.88     0    0.00    1.88      17      34 |
  |             The_Tick     36    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     58     4.10     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      21      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     12   201.17     6.37     0    0.00    6.37      28      35 |
  |                 USUC      7   248.72    20.90     0   17.60    3.30      34      35 |
  |              UteStar     27   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     10   235.17    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      21      20 |
  |               wapiti     46    68.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Y84it     15   168.42    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      28      27 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Stanford game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     19.59     17.00     16.00     24.00      0.00     35.00
       opred |     34.86     35.00     31.00     41.00     14.00     49.00
      winner |      0.21      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

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