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BYU Prediction Contest Results: Utah St. Game

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  • #1

    BYU Prediction Contest Results: Utah St. Game

    Overall standings as of the Utah St. Game (the intersection of Clark and Addison is dominating):

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison      1   313.47    94.19    34   31.35   28.84      28      12 |
  |              hostile      2   241.85    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      23      17 |
  |            Omaha 680      3   239.96    95.07    34   29.70   31.37      32      13 |
  |               SCcoug      4   224.12    90.29    34   28.05   28.24      27      13 |
  |             ERCougar      5   220.36    46.56    34    0.00   12.56      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Joe Public      6   211.86    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      28      22 |
  |           The_Douger      7   208.21     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |                  CJF      8   203.35    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      24      17 |
  |               Pelado      9   199.55    63.28    34    8.25   21.03      23      15 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   195.60    57.65    34    5.50   18.15      31      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     11   193.35    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      38      17 |
  |                Y84it     12   189.34    77.89    34   19.80   24.09      31      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     13   188.77    57.78    34    2.75   21.03      27      21 |
  |            creekster     14   185.60    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |             SandYFan     15   182.76    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     16   179.62     5.63     0    0.00    5.63      23      26 |
  |              falafel     17   177.30    75.57    34   17.60   23.97      30      20 |
  |              scottie     18   175.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      24 |
  |          Medfordcoug     19   175.60    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      27      17 |
  |            Uncle Ted     20   169.61    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     21   169.21    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      20      17 |
  |          Parrot Head     22   168.65    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |        originalsocal     23   167.90    44.87    34    5.50    5.37      17      10 |
  |               Surfah     24   167.38    85.09    34   28.05   23.04      34      20 |
  |           lambdacoug     25   163.81    40.44    34    0.00    6.43      17      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     26   159.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     27   158.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     28   154.96    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      17      13 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     29   145.06     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      33      34 |
  |           Rickomatic     30   143.35     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      24      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     31   142.73        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     32   141.58    47.19    34    0.00   13.19      28      24 |
  |                 USUC     33   140.08    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      16      14 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     34   135.22    81.90    34   19.80   28.10      28      17 |
  |          TexTechCoug     35   131.03    81.63    34   19.80   27.83      27      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     36   128.64    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |         All-American     37   127.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     38   124.40     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |             Copelius     39   120.45    76.30    34   19.80   22.50      24      13 |
  |             LiveCoug     40   116.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   115.19    47.19    34    0.00   13.19      28      24 |
  |         Lost Student     42   113.52    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      24      10 |
  |               wapiti     43   112.66    72.63    34   17.60   21.03      23      13 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     44   110.89    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      17      13 |
  |          Flystripper     45   107.93     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     46   102.56     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      24      27 |
  |                Jacob     47    91.60    91.60    34   33.00   24.60      27      10 |
  |              FN Phat     48    86.15     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      14 |
  |              UteStar     49    83.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     50    81.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     51    75.07     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      20 |
  |               Sizzle     52    59.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     53    55.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     54    53.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     55    50.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     56    46.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       VirginiaCougar     57    44.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Crockett     58    42.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        clackamascoug     59    41.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     60    41.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     61    40.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           RC Vikings     62    39.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     63    36.91        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UVACoug     64    36.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     65    28.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Pheidippides     66    25.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     66    25.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     68    24.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     69    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Vic Vega     69    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          imanihonjin     69    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Bo Diddley     72    17.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Pinstripe     73    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     74    15.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     75    13.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     76    13.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     77    12.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     78    11.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     79    11.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     80     9.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              statman     81     8.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            old_gregg     82     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     82     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     82     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     85     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Maximus     85     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     87     2.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OSUCougar     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Non Sequitur     88     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      35 |
  |        Cougarmandias     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Realtall     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Hypoplastic     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Jim Niemela     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Utah St. prediction points:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680      3   239.96    95.07    34   29.70   31.37      32      13 |
  |        Clark Addison      1   313.47    94.19    34   31.35   28.84      28      12 |
  |                Jacob     47    91.60    91.60    34   33.00   24.60      27      10 |
  |               SCcoug      4   224.12    90.29    34   28.05   28.24      27      13 |
  |               Surfah     24   167.38    85.09    34   28.05   23.04      34      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost Student     42   113.52    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      24      10 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     11   193.35    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      38      17 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     34   135.22    81.90    34   19.80   28.10      28      17 |
  |          TexTechCoug     35   131.03    81.63    34   19.80   27.83      27      16 |
  |          Medfordcoug     19   175.60    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      27      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Y84it     12   189.34    77.89    34   19.80   24.09      31      20 |
  |             Copelius     39   120.45    76.30    34   19.80   22.50      24      13 |
  |              falafel     17   177.30    75.57    34   17.60   23.97      30      20 |
  |               wapiti     43   112.66    72.63    34   17.60   21.03      23      13 |
  |               Pelado      9   199.55    63.28    34    8.25   21.03      23      15 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF      8   203.35    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      24      17 |
  |            Uncle Ted     20   169.61    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      28      21 |
  |             SandYFan     15   182.76    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      24      17 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     13   188.77    57.78    34    2.75   21.03      27      21 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   195.60    57.65    34    5.50   18.15      31      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      2   241.85    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      23      17 |
  |           Joe Public      6   211.86    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      28      22 |
  |            creekster     14   185.60    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |                wally     36   128.64    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |          Parrot Head     22   168.65    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   115.19    47.19    34    0.00   13.19      28      24 |
  |              Moliere     32   141.58    47.19    34    0.00   13.19      28      24 |
  |             ERCougar      5   220.36    46.56    34    0.00   12.56      27      24 |
  |            Donuthole     21   169.21    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      20      17 |
  |        originalsocal     23   167.90    44.87    34    5.50    5.37      17      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     25   163.81    40.44    34    0.00    6.43      17      14 |
  |        Blueintheface     28   154.96    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      17      13 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     44   110.89    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      17      13 |
  |                 USUC     33   140.08    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      16      14 |
  |         DrumNFeather     16   179.62     5.63     0    0.00    5.63      23      26 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     46   102.56     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      24      27 |
  |           Rickomatic     30   143.35     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      24      27 |
  |          Flystripper     45   107.93     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |           The_Douger      7   208.21     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |             Sullyute     38   124.40     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     51    75.07     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      20 |
  |         Non Sequitur     88     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      35 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     29   145.06     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      33      34 |
  |              FN Phat     48    86.15     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      14 |
  |              scottie     18   175.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      24 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     37   127.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     82     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     46   102.56     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      24      27 |
  |             beefytee     76    13.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     69    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     68    24.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     28   154.96    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      17      13 |
  |           Bo Diddley     72    17.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     27   158.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     31   142.73        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     56    46.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF      8   203.35    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      24      17 |
  |        clackamascoug     59    41.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison      1   313.47    94.19    34   31.35   28.84      28      12 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     11   193.35    82.09    34   26.40   21.69      38      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     61    40.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     87     2.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Copelius     39   120.45    76.30    34   19.80   22.50      24      13 |
  |        Cougarmandias     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     14   185.60    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |             Crockett     58    42.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     21   169.21    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      20      17 |
  |         DrumNFeather     16   179.62     5.63     0    0.00    5.63      23      26 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     66    25.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Eddie     77    12.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar      5   220.36    46.56    34    0.00   12.56      27      24 |
  |              falafel     17   177.30    75.57    34   17.60   23.97      30      20 |
  |               fbguru     79    11.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     45   107.93     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     48    86.15     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      14 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     55    50.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     78    11.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     82     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      2   241.85    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      23      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   115.19    47.19    34    0.00   13.19      28      24 |
  |          Hypoplastic     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute     29   145.06     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      33      34 |
  |          imanihonjin     69    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Jacob     47    91.60    91.60    34   33.00   24.60      27      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     51    75.07     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     13   188.77    57.78    34    2.75   21.03      27      21 |
  |          Jim Niemela     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public      6   211.86    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      28      22 |
  |            Katy Lied     65    28.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               LA Ute     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     25   163.81    40.44    34    0.00    6.43      17      14 |
  |          LeedsCougar     53    55.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     40   116.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     42   113.52    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      24      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Maximus     85     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     19   175.60    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      27      17 |
  |              Moliere     32   141.58    47.19    34    0.00   13.19      28      24 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     44   110.89    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      17      13 |
  |         Non Sequitur     88     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       NorthShoreCoug     63    36.91        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            old_gregg     82     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680      3   239.96    95.07    34   29.70   31.37      32      13 |
  |        originalsocal     23   167.90    44.87    34    5.50    5.37      17      10 |
  |            OSUCougar     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   195.60    57.65    34    5.50   18.15      31      24 |
  |          Parrot Head     22   168.65    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |               Pelado      9   199.55    63.28    34    8.25   21.03      23      15 |
  |           pellegrino     74    15.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Pheidippides     66    25.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Pinstripe     73    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           RC Vikings     62    39.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Realtall     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     30   143.35     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      24      27 |
  |             SandYFan     15   182.76    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug      4   224.12    90.29    34   28.05   28.24      27      13 |
  |              scottie     18   175.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      24 |
  |                Shaka     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     52    59.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     34   135.22    81.90    34   19.80   28.10      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     26   159.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     54    53.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     60    41.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     81     8.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     50    81.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     38   124.40     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |               Surfah     24   167.38    85.09    34   28.05   23.04      34      20 |
  |          TexTechCoug     35   131.03    81.63    34   19.80   27.83      27      16 |
  |           The_Douger      7   208.21     4.10     0    0.00    4.10      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     85     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     80     9.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     20   169.61    61.19    34    5.50   21.69      28      21 |
  |                 USUC     33   140.08    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      16      14 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     49    83.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UVACoug     64    36.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Vic Vega     69    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       VirginiaCougar     57    44.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     36   128.64    53.31    34    0.00   19.31      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               wapiti     43   112.66    72.63    34   17.60   21.03      23      13 |
  |            wuapinmon     75    13.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Y84it     12   189.34    77.89    34   19.80   24.09      31      20 |
  |                YOhio     88     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        summary stats for the utah st game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     23.96     24.00     17.00     28.00     13.00     38.00
       opred |     18.78     20.00     14.00     21.00     10.00     35.00
      winner |      0.76      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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        • #5
          Don't worry, it won't last, unless BYU wins out, since I pick them to win every game.

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