Utah Prediction Constest Results: UCLA Game

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  • pelagius
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2008
    • 5288
    #1

    Utah Prediction Constest Results: UCLA Game

    Overall standings as of the UCLA game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      1   304.46    92.57    34   31.35   27.23      30      38 |
  |           The_Douger      2   268.48    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      45 |
  |             Sullyute      3   250.40    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      34      38 |
  |              scottie      4   248.59    74.37    34   22.00   18.37      18      30 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ      5   240.17    91.58    34   28.05   29.53      24      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski      6   238.80    97.19    34   31.35   31.84      28      34 |
  |       il Padrino Ute      7   232.32    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      20      30 |
  |                 USUC      8   227.82    84.24    34   22.00   28.24      31      33 |
  |            Uncle Ted      9   194.80   100.00    34   33.00   33.00      27      34 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   193.67    97.19    34   31.35   31.84      27      33 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     11   192.23    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      24      38 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     12   182.99    12.04     0    0.00   12.04      38      33 |
  |         DrumNFeather     13   179.28    14.88     0    2.75   12.13      27      23 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     14   166.80    40.29    34    2.75    3.54      31      49 |
  |          Medfordcoug     15   158.79    38.04    34    0.00    4.04      14      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     16   156.74    85.83    34   26.40   25.43      22      33 |
  |                wally     17   155.20     4.47     0    0.00    4.47      42      35 |
  |        Blueintheface     18   151.69    57.65    34    5.50   18.15      17      34 |
  |              snowcat     19   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     20   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     21   138.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     22   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     23   119.60    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      52 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     24   119.27    43.22    34    0.00    9.22      21      45 |
  |              UteStar     25   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     26   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     27   111.85    65.29    34    8.25   23.04      24      40 |
  |                  CJF     28   110.48    14.88     0    2.75   12.13      27      23 |
  |            old_gregg     29   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     30   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison     31   100.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     32    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     33    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     34    92.25     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      20      17 |
  |          chrisrenrut     35    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Y84it     36    88.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     37    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     38    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Pheidippides     39    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     40    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680     41    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     42    70.74    12.83     0    0.00   12.83      35      27 |
  |             SandYFan     43    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     44    68.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |            Katy Lied     45    63.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie     46    62.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     47    39.39     2.64     0    0.00    2.64      27      18 |
  |    smokymountainrain     48    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     49    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     50    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Eddie     51    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     52    17.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Copelius     53    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     54     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     55     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Bo Diddley     56     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     57     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     58     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          imanihonjin     59     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Parrot Head     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          LeedsCougar     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     60     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      12       0 |
  |          TexTechCoug     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Jim Niemela     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
    • pelagius
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2008
      • 5288
      #2
      Standings sorted by UCLA prediction points:

      Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted      9   194.80   100.00    34   33.00   33.00      27      34 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   193.67    97.19    34   31.35   31.84      27      33 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      6   238.80    97.19    34   31.35   31.84      28      34 |
  |              hostile      1   304.46    92.57    34   31.35   27.23      30      38 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ      5   240.17    91.58    34   28.05   29.53      24      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     16   156.74    85.83    34   26.40   25.43      22      33 |
  |                 USUC      8   227.82    84.24    34   22.00   28.24      31      33 |
  |       il Padrino Ute      7   232.32    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      20      30 |
  |             Sullyute      3   250.40    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      34      38 |
  |          Flystripper     11   192.23    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      24      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      4   248.59    74.37    34   22.00   18.37      18      30 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     27   111.85    65.29    34    8.25   23.04      24      40 |
  |        Blueintheface     18   151.69    57.65    34    5.50   18.15      17      34 |
  |           The_Douger      2   268.48    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      45 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     24   119.27    43.22    34    0.00    9.22      21      45 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     14   166.80    40.29    34    2.75    3.54      31      49 |
  |          Medfordcoug     15   158.79    38.04    34    0.00    4.04      14      42 |
  |               Surfah     23   119.60    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      52 |
  |               wapiti     44    68.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |                  CJF     28   110.48    14.88     0    2.75   12.13      27      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     13   179.28    14.88     0    2.75   12.13      27      23 |
  |           Rickomatic     42    70.74    12.83     0    0.00   12.83      35      27 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     12   182.99    12.04     0    0.00   12.04      38      33 |
  |                byu71     34    92.25     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      20      17 |
  |                wally     17   155.20     4.47     0    0.00    4.47      42      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     47    39.39     2.64     0    0.00    2.64      27      18 |
  |           lambdacoug     60     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      12       0 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

        Comment

        • pelagius
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2008
          • 5288
          #3
          Results sorted by poster name:

          Code:
           +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack     20   148.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     55     6.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     50    31.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     49    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     37    85.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     18   151.69    57.65    34    5.50   18.15      17      34 |
  |           Bo Diddley     56     6.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     30   108.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     34    92.25     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      20      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     35    91.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     28   110.48    14.88     0    2.75   12.13      27      23 |
  |        Clark Addison     31   100.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     14   166.80    40.29    34    2.75    3.54      31      49 |
  |             Commando     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Copelius     53    15.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Cougarmandias     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     46    62.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     40    74.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     13   179.28    14.88     0    2.75   12.13      27      23 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     26   113.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     51    19.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     22   126.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     11   192.23    78.82    34   17.60   27.23      24      38 |
  |              FN Phat     47    39.39     2.64     0    0.00    2.64      27      18 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     32    97.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     58     2.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Harry Tic     54     8.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      1   304.46    92.57    34   31.35   27.23      30      38 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     24   119.27    43.22    34    0.00    9.22      21      45 |
  |          Hypoplastic     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute      7   232.32    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      20      30 |
  |          imanihonjin     59     2.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     12   182.99    12.04     0    0.00   12.04      38      33 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      6   238.80    97.19    34   31.35   31.84      28      34 |
  |          Jim Niemela     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     45    63.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     60     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      12       0 |
  |          LeedsCougar     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     21   138.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     52    17.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     15   158.79    38.04    34    0.00    4.04      14      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     27   111.85    65.29    34    8.25   23.04      24      40 |
  |            old_gregg     29   109.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     41    73.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     57     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   193.67    97.19    34   31.35   31.84      27      33 |
  |          Parrot Head     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     16   156.74    85.83    34   26.40   25.43      22      33 |
  |         Pheidippides     39    75.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     42    70.74    12.83     0    0.00   12.83      35      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             SandYFan     43    68.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     38    83.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      4   248.59    74.37    34   22.00   18.37      18      30 |
  |               Sizzle     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ      5   240.17    91.58    34   28.05   29.53      24      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     48    39.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     19   150.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute      3   250.40    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      34      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     23   119.60    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      52 |
  |          TexTechCoug     60     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger      2   268.48    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      45 |
  |             The_Tick     33    94.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted      9   194.80   100.00    34   33.00   33.00      27      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 USUC      8   227.82    84.24    34   22.00   28.24      31      33 |
  |              UteStar     25   117.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     17   155.20     4.47     0    0.00    4.47      42      35 |
  |               wapiti     44    68.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       0      48 |
  |                Y84it     36    88.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

            Comment

            • pelagius
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2008
              • 5288
              #4
              Prediction summary stats for the UCLA game:

              Code:
                 variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     24.22     24.00     20.00     30.00      0.00     42.00
       opred |     33.56     34.00     30.00     40.00      0.00     52.00
      winner |      0.70      1.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment

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