Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona St Game

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  • pelagius
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2008
    • 5288
    #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona St Game

    Overall standings as of the Arizona St. game:

    Code:
     +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win    mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere      1   224.87    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |            Applejack      2   210.70    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      10      20 |
  |          Flystripper      3   207.30    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      20      24 |
  |              scottie      4   205.89    43.22    34   0.00    9.22      13      26 |
  |             Sullyute      5   194.01     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      17      16 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      6   189.62     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |           Rickomatic      7   185.29    38.10    34   0.00    4.10      21      31 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      8   176.99    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |           BoylenOver      9   174.94    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      14      20 |
  |              UteStar     10   172.80     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     11   172.63    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |              FN Phat     12   171.30    37.00    34   0.00    3.00      16      24 |
  |               LA Ute     13   170.87        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger     14   169.57    37.00    34   0.00    3.00      16      24 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     15   168.66     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     16   166.36        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     17   165.34    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      27      35 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     18   165.32     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      20 |
  |             Devildog     19   164.98     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      21 |
  |             LiveCoug     20   163.08    38.10    34   0.00    4.10      13      23 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     21   157.86    41.47    34   0.00    7.47      17      28 |
  |        Blueintheface     22   152.17    41.68    34   0.00    7.68      10      24 |
  |              Top Ute     23   149.56     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |               Surfah     24   142.07    44.87    34   0.00   10.87      17      31 |
  |         DrumNFeather     25   141.96     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      26      18 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     26   139.82     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      28      21 |
  |          chrisrenrut     27   139.75     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      17      13 |
  |           kimchicoug     28   132.46    61.19    34   5.50   21.69      14      34 |
  |           Joe Public     29   132.11    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      22      23 |
  |          Medfordcoug     30   129.43    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680     31   129.25    39.83    34   0.00    5.83      20      31 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     32   127.26    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      20      27 |
  |                Solon     33   125.46     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      14 |
  |             camleish     34   120.77    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      17      21 |
  |          BemidjiCoug     35   117.13    41.47    34   0.00    7.47      17      28 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug     36   115.94     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      23 |
  |            OrangeUte     37   115.85     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |            bluegoose     38   115.12     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      26      20 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     39   115.10     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      34      10 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     40   114.79    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     41   113.09     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      13      12 |
  |                Brian     42   110.31        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     43   108.41     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      17 |
  |             BigPiney     44   108.02    46.48    34   0.00   12.48      13      28 |
  |               Pelado     45   107.35     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg     46   103.97        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     47   101.61        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     48   100.21        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     49    99.91    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     50    97.19        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Commando     51    94.93        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     52    90.15    42.25    34   8.25    0.00       0      21 |
  |            Donuthole     53    87.35    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      10      11 |
  |    smokymountainrain     54    87.27     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      12 |
  |                byu71     55    84.99        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     56    84.66        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     57    80.62        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost_Student     58    75.69        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     59    73.17        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     60    71.79     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Topper     61    69.89    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      20      21 |
  |              LA Coug     62    66.36        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     63    65.22        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |        bronson_tyler     64    63.93        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     65    56.18        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     66    53.98        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     67    49.40        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          Parrot Head     68    48.23    44.87    34   0.00   10.87      17      31 |
  |              Scorcho     69    45.37        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     70    43.89        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     70    43.89        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     72    43.84        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     73    40.21        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     74    38.63        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     75    36.52        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            myboynoah     76    34.00        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     76    34.00     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      17 |
  |              Maximus     78    32.36        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     79    31.29        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     80    30.79        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               sparky     81    28.64        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               oxcoug     82    28.39        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     83    27.79        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman     84    26.25        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            Indy Coug     84    26.25        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     86    23.65        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     87    23.06        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     88    19.31        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     88    19.31        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     90    18.37        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Coastal Ute     91    18.30        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     92    17.54        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     93    14.88        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     94    13.19        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     95    10.87        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Shaka     96     8.33        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     97     5.83        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     98     5.37        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug     99     4.79        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    100     4.10        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte    101     0.00     0.00     0   0.00    0.00       7       6 |
  |           Bo Diddley    101     0.00        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
    • pelagius
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2008
      • 5288
      #2
      Standings sorted by Arizona St. game prediction results:

      Code:
        +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |             poster   rank    total   points   win    mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         kimchicoug     28   132.46    61.19    34   5.50   21.69      14      34 |
  |           BigPiney     44   108.02    46.48    34   0.00   12.48      13      28 |
  |        Parrot Head     68    48.23    44.87    34   0.00   10.87      17      31 |
  |             Surfah     24   142.07    44.87    34   0.00   10.87      17      31 |
  |            scottie      4   205.89    43.22    34   0.00    9.22      13      26 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          wuapinmon     52    90.15    42.25    34   8.25    0.00       0      21 |
  |      Blueintheface     22   152.17    41.68    34   0.00    7.68      10      24 |
  |        BemidjiCoug     35   117.13    41.47    34   0.00    7.47      17      28 |
  |       BlueNtheFace     21   157.86    41.47    34   0.00    7.47      17      28 |
  |           The_Tick     49    99.91    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | HuskyFreeNorthwest     40   114.79    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |      Coach McGuirk      8   176.99    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |          Omaha 680     31   129.25    39.83    34   0.00    5.83      20      31 |
  |           LiveCoug     20   163.08    38.10    34   0.00    4.10      13      23 |
  |         Rickomatic      7   185.29    38.10    34   0.00    4.10      21      31 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         The_Douger     14   169.57    37.00    34   0.00    3.00      16      24 |
  |            FN Phat     12   171.30    37.00    34   0.00    3.00      16      24 |
  |     PaloAltoCougar     11   172.63    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |        Medfordcoug     30   129.43    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |      Goatnapper'96     32   127.26    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      20      27 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Moliere      1   224.87    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |      Jeff Lebowski     17   165.34    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      27      35 |
  |          Donuthole     53    87.35    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      10      11 |
  |         BoylenOver      9   174.94    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      14      20 |
  |           camleish     34   120.77    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      17      21 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Topper     61    69.89    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      20      21 |
  |        Flystripper      3   207.30    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      20      24 |
  |         Joe Public     29   132.11    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      22      23 |
  |          Applejack      2   210.70    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      10      20 |
  |           Sullyute      5   194.01     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      17      16 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            UteStar     10   172.80     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |             Pelado     45   107.35     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |            hostile      6   189.62     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |       DrumNFeather     25   141.96     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      26      18 |
  |   Mormon Red Death     39   115.10     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      34      10 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      originalsocal     41   113.09     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      13      12 |
  |             DU Ute     43   108.41     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      17 |
  |  smokymountainrain     54    87.27     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      12 |
  |           USU Coug     36   115.94     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      23 |
  |      UtahJazzFan88     15   168.66     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        chrisrenrut     27   139.75     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      17      13 |
  |           Devildog     19   164.98     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      21 |
  |     Jarid in Cedar     18   165.32     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      20 |
  |          OrangeUte     37   115.85     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |         SeattleUte    101     0.00     0.00     0   0.00    0.00       7       6 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                CJF     76    34.00     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      17 |
  |          bluegoose     38   115.12     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      26      20 |
  |         Drunk Tank     60    71.79     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |              wally     26   139.82     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      28      21 |
  |              Solon     33   125.46     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      14 |
  |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Top Ute     23   149.56     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

        Comment

        • pelagius
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2008
          • 5288
          #3
          Standings sorted by poster name:

          Code:
            +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win    mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     73    40.21        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack      2   210.70    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      10      20 |
  |                  bag     79    31.29        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     35   117.13    41.47    34   0.00    7.47      17      28 |
  |             BigPiney     44   108.02    46.48    34   0.00   12.48      13      28 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     38   115.12     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      26      20 |
  |        Blueintheface     22   152.17    41.68    34   0.00    7.68      10      24 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     21   157.86    41.47    34   0.00    7.47      17      28 |
  |           Bo Diddley    101     0.00        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     46   103.97        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver      9   174.94    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      14      20 |
  |                Brian     42   110.31        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |        bronson_tyler     64    63.93        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     55    84.99        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             camleish     34   120.77    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      17      21 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     66    53.98        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     27   139.75     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      17      13 |
  |                  CJF     76    34.00     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      17 |
  |        Clark Addison     57    80.62        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk      8   176.99    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Coastal Ute     91    18.30        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     50    97.19        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     51    94.93        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     86    23.65        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     70    43.89        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     19   164.98     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      21 |
  |            Donuthole     53    87.35    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      10      11 |
  |         DrumNFeather     25   141.96     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      26      18 |
  |           Drunk Tank     60    71.79     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |               DU Ute     43   108.41     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      17 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     63    65.22        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    100     4.10        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     70    43.89        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     80    30.79        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper      3   207.30    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      20      24 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     12   171.30    37.00    34   0.00    3.00      16      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     32   127.26    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      20      27 |
  |             happyone     87    23.06        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      6   189.62     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     40   114.79    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Indy Coug     84    26.25        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     18   165.32     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      27      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     17   165.34    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      27      35 |
  |           Joe Public     29   132.11    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      22      23 |
  |             kccougar     47   101.61        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           kimchicoug     28   132.46    61.19    34   5.50   21.69      14      34 |
  |              LA Coug     62    66.36        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     13   170.87        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     93    14.88        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     20   163.08    38.10    34   0.00    4.10      13      23 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost_Student     58    75.69        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     78    32.36        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     30   129.43    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |              Moliere      1   224.87    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     39   115.10     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      34      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            myboynoah     76    34.00        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     48   100.21        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     92    17.54        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     31   129.25    39.83    34   0.00    5.83      20      31 |
  |            OrangeUte     37   115.85     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     41   113.09     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      13      12 |
  |               oxcoug     82    28.39        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     11   172.63    35.88    34   0.00    1.88      17      24 |
  |          Parrot Head     68    48.23    44.87    34   0.00   10.87      17      31 |
  |               Pelado     45   107.35     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     94    13.19        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     95    10.87        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic      7   185.29    38.10    34   0.00    4.10      21      31 |
  |         San Juan Sun     90    18.37        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     75    36.52        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Scorcho     69    45.37        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      4   205.89    43.22    34   0.00    9.22      13      26 |
  |           SeattleUte    101     0.00     0.00     0   0.00    0.00       7       6 |
  |                Shaka     96     8.33        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     83    27.79        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     54    87.27     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      12 |
  |              snowcat     56    84.66        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     72    43.84        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     33   125.46     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      14 |
  |               sparky     81    28.64        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          splitbamboo     98     5.37        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     97     5.83        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     74    38.63        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute      5   194.01     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      17      16 |
  |               Surfah     24   142.07    44.87    34   0.00   10.87      17      31 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          TexTechCoug     99     4.79        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger     14   169.57    37.00    34   0.00    3.00      16      24 |
  |             The_Tick     49    99.91    40.17    34   0.00    6.17      17      27 |
  |          thesaint258     88    19.31        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |              Top Ute     23   149.56     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Topper     61    69.89    34.00    34   0.00    0.00      20      21 |
  |                U-Ute     16   166.36        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     65    56.18        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |             USU Coug     36   115.94     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      23 |
  |              UtahDan     59    73.17        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        UtahJazzFan88     15   168.66     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |              UteStar     10   172.80     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      24      20 |
  |              venkman     84    26.25        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     88    19.31        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     26   139.82     0.00     0   0.00    0.00      28      21 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            wuapinmon     52    90.15    42.25    34   8.25    0.00       0      21 |
  |                YOhio     67    49.40        .     .      .       .       .       . |
  +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

            Comment

            • pelagius
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2008
              • 5288
              #4
              Prediction summary stats for the Arizona St Game:

              Code:
                  variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     19.10     17.00     16.00     24.00      0.00     34.00
       opred |     21.84     21.00     17.00     27.00      6.00     35.00
      winner |      0.57      1.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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