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BYU dodged a bullet. Fresno is much better than SDSU and has a top 10 passing offense.
I certainly think BYU has a higher probability of beating SDSU than Fresno St. Just looking at MOV based models (and adjusting for SDSU homefield advantage) is going to yield somewhere in the range:
BYU as a 4-6 point favorite against SDSU
Probability of winning = 60-65.
BYU vs. Fresno St would be a toss up with the same metrics (and that's not even adjusting for them presenting particularly match-up problems for BYU).
I certainly think BYU has a higher probability of beating SDSU than Fresno St. Just looking at MOV based models (and adjusting for SDSU homefield advantage) is going to yield somewhere in the range:
BYU as a 4-6 point favorite against SDSU
Probability of winning = 60-65.
BYU vs. Fresno St would be a toss up with the same metrics (and that's not even adjusting for them presenting particularly match-up problems for BYU).
I would submit if you used a model that placed significantly more weight on recent results, BYU should be a neutral underdog to Fresno.
I don't agree for this reason. When we left the MWC, SDSU really dissed us. Was it an assistant AD that told the BIG12 we were a pain in the butt to work with?
San Diego St. fans really dislike us. If we are going to win a meaningless bowl game, I am much happier if I know it puts their fans in pain.
I don't agree for this reason. When we left the MWC, SDSU really dissed us. Was it an assistant AD that told the BIG12 we were a pain in the butt to work with?
San Diego St. fans really dislike us. If we are going to win a meaningless bowl game, I am much happier if I know it puts their fans in pain.
Agreed. Stick it to the Whaaaaaaztecs.
"Sure, I fought. I had to fight all my life just to survive. They were all against me. Tried every dirty trick to cut me down, but I beat the bastards and left them in the ditch."
I don't agree for this reason. When we left the MWC, SDSU really dissed us. Was it an assistant AD that told the BIG12 we were a pain in the butt to work with?
San Diego St. fans really dislike us. If we are going to win a meaningless bowl game, I am much happier if I know it puts their fans in pain.
To be honest, we are a pain in the butt to work with.
"There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
"It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
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