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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona Game

    Overall standings as of the Arizona Game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   463.85    19.80     0    0.00   19.80      24      31 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   449.97    22.10     0    0.00   22.10      23      27 |
  |              hostile      3   439.86    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |            bluegoose      4   436.00    83.48    20   35.00   28.48      27      17 |
  |             USU Coug      5   428.63    22.10     0    0.00   22.10      23      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster      6   416.99    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      20      31 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      7   416.19    15.34     0    0.00   15.34      17      24 |
  |                byu71      8   412.32    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      28      24 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      9   396.82    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      28      31 |
  |             LiveCoug     10   393.48     5.45     0    0.00    5.45      10      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     11   390.19    82.98    20   31.67   31.31      28      20 |
  |                 Borg     12   384.24    16.22     0    0.00   16.22      20      30 |
  |             Sullyute     13   379.59    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      20      24 |
  |               DU Ute     14   370.05    84.38    20   36.67   27.71      27      16 |
  |         DrumNFeather     15   362.65    81.52    20   35.00   26.52      26      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     16   355.47    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      24      20 |
  |          Parrot Head     17   354.98    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   353.65    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      20      21 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   352.87     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      17      35 |
  |             beefytee     20   351.46    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     21   348.29    69.05    20   23.33   25.71      24      21 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     22   337.33    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |            mr_thekid     23   333.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     24   332.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     25   325.73    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      21      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     26   324.96    71.61    20   28.33   23.28      23      17 |
  |          Flystripper     27   322.59    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      24      34 |
  |              Moliere     28   317.77    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      24      34 |
  |               LA Ute     29   310.55    78.33    20   28.33   30.00      27      21 |
  |               Surfah     30   309.72    15.34     0    0.00   15.34      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     31   305.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |     Mormon Red Death     32   304.33    40.30    20    3.33   16.96      42       7 |
  |               Sizzle     33   293.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     34   290.40    77.56    20   35.00   22.56      24      14 |
  |        Blueintheface     35   290.28    11.82     0    0.00   11.82      17      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     36   272.28     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      17      34 |
  |              snowcat     37   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     38   254.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     39   251.93     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      20      38 |
  |           Joe Public     40   251.37     5.65     0    0.00    5.65      17      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   247.74    10.55     0    0.00   10.55      21      37 |
  |             happyone     42   243.17    15.71     0    0.00   15.71      17      21 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     43   237.01    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      31      27 |
  |             camleish     44   231.71    15.55     0    0.00   15.55      17      23 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     45   204.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheAzzuri     46   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Spicoli     47   200.29    65.43    20   20.00   25.43      24      23 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     48   191.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     49   185.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     50   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             BlueHair     51   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     52   172.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     53   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     54   142.22    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      21      35 |
  |                Brian     55   135.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     56   128.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     57   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     58   112.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     59   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 woot     60   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             kccougar     61   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     62   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     63   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     64    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     65    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     66    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     67    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     68    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     69    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     70    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie     71    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     72    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     73    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     74    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     75    62.60     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      14      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Portland Ute     76    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     77    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         BlueNtheFace     78    59.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     79    59.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     80    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     81    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Green Monstah     82    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     83    33.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     84    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     85    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        atheistcougar     86    15.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            MarkGrace     87    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Aversator     88     9.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The Rambam     89     8.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Clueless     90     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     91     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         San Juan Sun     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               FMCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Do Not Want!     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Arizona game prediction results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     14   370.05    84.38    20   36.67   27.71      27      16 |
  |            bluegoose      4   436.00    83.48    20   35.00   28.48      27      17 |
  |           BoylenOver     11   390.19    82.98    20   31.67   31.31      28      20 |
  |         DrumNFeather     15   362.65    81.52    20   35.00   26.52      26      16 |
  |             beefytee     20   351.46    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile      3   439.86    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     22   337.33    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |          Parrot Head     17   354.98    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |               LA Ute     29   310.55    78.33    20   28.33   30.00      27      21 |
  |              UteStar     34   290.40    77.56    20   35.00   22.56      24      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71      8   412.32    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      28      24 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     43   237.01    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      31      27 |
  |                wally     26   324.96    71.61    20   28.33   23.28      23      17 |
  |            OrangeUte     16   355.47    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      24      20 |
  |             Devildog     21   348.29    69.05    20   23.33   25.71      24      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Spicoli     47   200.29    65.43    20   20.00   25.43      24      23 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     32   304.33    40.30    20    3.33   16.96      42       7 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      9   396.82    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      28      31 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   449.97    22.10     0    0.00   22.10      23      27 |
  |             USU Coug      5   428.63    22.10     0    0.00   22.10      23      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     18   353.65    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      20      21 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   463.85    19.80     0    0.00   19.80      24      31 |
  |             Sullyute     13   379.59    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      20      24 |
  |              Moliere     28   317.77    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      24      34 |
  |          Flystripper     27   322.59    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      24      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     25   325.73    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      21      31 |
  |                 Borg     12   384.24    16.22     0    0.00   16.22      20      30 |
  |             happyone     42   243.17    15.71     0    0.00   15.71      17      21 |
  |             camleish     44   231.71    15.55     0    0.00   15.55      17      23 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      6   416.99    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      20      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96      7   416.19    15.34     0    0.00   15.34      17      24 |
  |               Surfah     30   309.72    15.34     0    0.00   15.34      17      24 |
  |              falafel     54   142.22    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      21      35 |
  |        Blueintheface     35   290.28    11.82     0    0.00   11.82      17      31 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   247.74    10.55     0    0.00   10.55      21      37 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     36   272.28     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      17      34 |
  |                  CJF     39   251.93     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      20      38 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   352.87     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      17      35 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     75    62.60     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      14      34 |
  |           Joe Public     40   251.37     5.65     0    0.00    5.65      17      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     10   393.48     5.45     0    0.00    5.45      10      24 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     31   305.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        atheistcougar     86    15.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Aversator     88     9.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     20   351.46    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      28      21 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   463.85    19.80     0    0.00   19.80      24      31 |
  |            bluegoose      4   436.00    83.48    20   35.00   28.48      27      17 |
  |             BlueHair     51   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     35   290.28    11.82     0    0.00   11.82      17      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     78    59.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     84    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     12   384.24    16.22     0    0.00   16.22      20      30 |
  |           BoylenOver     11   390.19    82.98    20   31.67   31.31      28      20 |
  |                Brian     55   135.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71      8   412.32    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      28      24 |
  |             camleish     44   231.71    15.55     0    0.00   15.55      17      23 |
  |          CardiacCoug     66    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     39   251.93     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      20      38 |
  |        Clark Addison     24   332.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Clueless     90     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk      9   396.82    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      28      31 |
  |             Commando     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     71    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     21   348.29    69.05    20   23.33   25.71      24      21 |
  |         Do Not Want!     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     57   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     25   325.73    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      21      31 |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     15   362.65    81.52    20   35.00   26.52      26      16 |
  |           Drunk Tank     80    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     14   370.05    84.38    20   36.67   27.71      27      16 |
  |                Eddie     50   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     69    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | EuropeanFootballMale     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     54   142.22    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      21      35 |
  |            filsdepac     63   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     62   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     27   322.59    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      24      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               FMCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     38   254.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96      7   416.19    15.34     0    0.00   15.34      17      24 |
  |        Green Monstah     82    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     42   243.17    15.71     0    0.00   15.71      17      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     45   204.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      3   439.86    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   247.74    10.55     0    0.00   10.55      21      37 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     22   337.33    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     48   191.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     36   272.28     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      17      34 |
  |           Joe Public     40   251.37     5.65     0    0.00    5.65      17      38 |
  |            Katy Lied     64    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     61   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     29   310.55    78.33    20   28.33   30.00      27      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     10   393.48     5.45     0    0.00    5.45      10      24 |
  |            MarkGrace     87    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     79    59.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     73    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     28   317.77    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      24      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     32   304.33    40.30    20    3.33   16.96      42       7 |
  |            mr_thekid     23   333.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster      6   416.99    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      20      31 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     65    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     72    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680     19   352.87     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      17      35 |
  |            OrangeUte     16   355.47    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      24      20 |
  |        originalsocal     81    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   449.97    22.10     0    0.00   22.10      23      27 |
  |          Parrot Head     17   354.98    79.90    20   30.00   29.90      27      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     52   172.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     76    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         San Juan Sun     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     53   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     70    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     91     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Shaka     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     33   293.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     49   185.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     37   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     77    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Spicoli     47   200.29    65.43    20   20.00   25.43      24      23 |
  |          splitbamboo     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     68    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     67    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     13   379.59    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      20      24 |
  |               Surfah     30   309.72    15.34     0    0.00   15.34      17      24 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     43   237.01    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      31      27 |
  |           The Rambam     89     8.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri     46   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     85    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     59   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   353.65    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      20      21 |
  |             USU Coug      5   428.63    22.10     0    0.00   22.10      23      27 |
  |              UtahDan     74    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     75    62.60     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      14      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     34   290.40    77.56    20   35.00   22.56      24      14 |
  |               Viking     56   128.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     26   324.96    71.61    20   28.33   23.28      23      17 |
  |                 woot     60   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     83    33.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     58   112.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction contents summary stats for the Arizona game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     22.76     23.00     20.00     27.00     10.00     42.00
       opred |     25.44     24.00     20.00     31.00      7.00     38.00
      winner |      0.41      0.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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