Opening betting line for BYU v Utah

[JohnnyLingo]

For those the are wondering:

The last time the Utah won when BYU was favored: 2005
The last time BYU won when Utah was favored: 2000

Fits with the belief that BYU has to be significantly better than Utah to beat them.

That bothers me.

[pelagius]

Fits with the belief that BYU has to be significantly better than Utah to beat them.

Not really ... possibly indirectly but it tends to ignore the following:

BYU in 2007 was a 4.5 point favorite. So only slightly better according to Vegas and they won. BYU was only a 5.5 point favorite in 2001 and they won. BYU fans think the 2001 team was quite good but Vegas never did (well certainly not much better than Utah). So 2 of 4 BYU wins in the 2000s came when they were less than a touchdown favorite according to Vegas and one victory came as underdog.

Also in the loses from 2002-2004 BYU was more than a touchdown underdog in each. So significantly worse than Utah according to the line. So 3 of 5 victories by Utah came when Utah was significantly better. The games that stand out as a bit anomalous are 2005 and 2006. BYU lost as a 10 point favorite in 2005 and won as a 10.5 point favorite by a small margin in 2006 (but they're not that unusual and we are talking about 2 out of 9 games). So overall precious little support for the hypothesis at least for the 2000s.

[HuskyFreeNorthwest]

If I bet I would bet Utah + the points, sadly my Sportsbook account got decimated a few weeks ago and I am not going to reload.

[BoylenOver]

The last time I saw a line this crazy was TCU -20 over Utah.

[HuskyFreeNorthwest]

The last time I saw a line this crazy was TCU -20 over Utah.

Oklahoma -4.5 over Nebraska. The perfect get even game from losing my bankroll on Oregon -7 over Stanford!

[BoylenOver]

Oklahoma -4.5 over Nebraska. The perfect get even game from losing my bankroll on Oregon -7 over Stanford!

http://www.utefans.net/message.php?i...#message912583