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Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #8 results

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  • #1

    Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #8 results

    Week #8 (game #7) predictions results.

    Overall standings as of the Air Force game

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   606.28    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      24      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      2   544.52    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      28      27 |
  |          chrisrenrut      3   518.20    78.48    20   30.00   28.48      31      17 |
  |               Surfah      4   512.56    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |        Clark Addison      5   503.87    78.47    20   28.57   29.90      30      15 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose      6   500.35    82.24    20   35.71   26.52      28      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   498.04    82.31    20   30.00   32.31      28      14 |
  |           Rickomatic      8   496.55    95.96    20   40.00   35.96      21      14 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar      9   494.29    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      31      24 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     10   493.09    81.51    20   34.29   27.22      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     11   490.05    82.24    20   35.71   26.52      31      21 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     12   488.49    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |           BoylenOver     13   486.64    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      31      24 |
  |                 Borg     14   485.20    93.42    20   38.57   34.85      20      14 |
  |                byu71     15   481.35    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Hot Lunch     16   479.34    25.71     0    0.00   25.71      17      24 |
  |          Flystripper     17   463.21    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      28      27 |
  |         DrumNFeather     18   456.04    57.14    20   18.57   18.57      38      16 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     19   453.51    92.52    20   35.71   36.81      21      17 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     20   448.88    80.24    20   28.57   31.67      26      11 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     21   430.29    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      24      27 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     22   422.40    81.51    20   34.29   27.22      27      24 |
  |              falafel     23   412.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     24   368.91    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |                Brian     25   366.70    56.70    20   24.29   12.41      41      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     26   357.76    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      24      17 |
  |           cougjunkie     27   357.65    18.52     0    0.00   18.52      24      31 |
  |             LiveCoug     28   354.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     29   334.49    73.68    20   34.29   19.40      31      28 |
  |              scottie     30   329.00    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      26      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     31   314.63    52.43    20   14.29   18.15      38      13 |
  |            SoCalCoug     32   295.49    50.68    20   12.86   17.82      38      12 |
  |                U-Ute     33   268.23    59.70    20   34.29    5.42      38      35 |
  |        Blueintheface     34   259.36    29.60     0    0.00   29.60      16      18 |
  |            OrangeUte     35   250.31    74.00    20   28.57   25.43      33      18 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     36   249.28    76.28    20   35.71   20.57      31      27 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     37   239.94    28.22     0    0.00   28.22      21      24 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     38   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     39   217.53    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      24      27 |
  |          RockyBalboa     40   202.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     41   190.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     42   182.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     43   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     44   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              ewth8tr     45   121.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     46   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     47   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     48   108.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     49   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     50    92.52    92.52    20   35.71   36.81      24      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     51    91.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     52    88.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           2 Tru Blue     53    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     54    85.04    85.04    20   31.43   33.61      27      14 |
  |            Donuthole     55    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     56    80.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     57    78.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     58    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     59    73.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              nikuman     60    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           CougarFan3     61    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     62    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     63    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        lady duckcoug     64    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Eddie Jones     65     7.02     7.02     0    0.00    7.02       0      14 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 10-24-2009, 08:46 PM.
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Air Force game prediction points

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     26   357.76    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      24      17 |
  |                byu71     15   481.35    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      24      17 |
  |           Rickomatic      8   496.55    95.96    20   40.00   35.96      21      14 |
  |                 Borg     14   485.20    93.42    20   38.57   34.85      20      14 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     19   453.51    92.52    20   35.71   36.81      21      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               LA Ute     50    92.52    92.52    20   35.71   36.81      24      14 |
  |                  CJF     24   368.91    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |               Surfah      4   512.56    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     12   488.49    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   606.28    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Medfordcoug     54    85.04    85.04    20   31.43   33.61      27      14 |
  |           BoylenOver     13   486.64    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      31      24 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar      9   494.29    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      31      24 |
  |              scottie     30   329.00    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      26      23 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   498.04    82.31    20   30.00   32.31      28      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose      6   500.35    82.24    20   35.71   26.52      28      24 |
  |                Solon     11   490.05    82.24    20   35.71   26.52      31      21 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     22   422.40    81.51    20   34.29   27.22      27      24 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     10   493.09    81.51    20   34.29   27.22      27      24 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     20   448.88    80.24    20   28.57   31.67      26      11 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut      3   518.20    78.48    20   30.00   28.48      31      17 |
  |        Clark Addison      5   503.87    78.47    20   28.57   29.90      30      15 |
  |              UteStar     36   249.28    76.28    20   35.71   20.57      31      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      2   544.52    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      28      27 |
  |          Flystripper     17   463.21    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      28      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     35   250.31    74.00    20   28.57   25.43      33      18 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     29   334.49    73.68    20   34.29   19.40      31      28 |
  |                U-Ute     33   268.23    59.70    20   34.29    5.42      38      35 |
  |         DrumNFeather     18   456.04    57.14    20   18.57   18.57      38      16 |
  |                Brian     25   366.70    56.70    20   24.29   12.41      41      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     31   314.63    52.43    20   14.29   18.15      38      13 |
  |            SoCalCoug     32   295.49    50.68    20   12.86   17.82      38      12 |
  |        Blueintheface     34   259.36    29.60     0    0.00   29.60      16      18 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     37   239.94    28.22     0    0.00   28.22      21      24 |
  |            Hot Lunch     16   479.34    25.71     0    0.00   25.71      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96     39   217.53    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      24      27 |
  |               Sizzle     21   430.29    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      24      27 |
  |           cougjunkie     27   357.65    18.52     0    0.00   18.52      24      31 |
  |          Eddie Jones     65     7.02     7.02     0    0.00    7.02       0      14 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Overall standings sorted by poster name

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           2 Tru Blue     53    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     58    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     41   190.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose      6   500.35    82.24    20   35.71   26.52      28      24 |
  |        Blueintheface     34   259.36    29.60     0    0.00   29.60      16      18 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     56    80.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     14   485.20    93.42    20   38.57   34.85      20      14 |
  |           BoylenOver     13   486.64    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      31      24 |
  |                Brian     25   366.70    56.70    20   24.29   12.41      41      23 |
  |                byu71     15   481.35    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     49   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut      3   518.20    78.48    20   30.00   28.48      31      17 |
  |                  CJF     24   368.91    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |        Clark Addison      5   503.87    78.47    20   28.57   29.90      30      15 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     29   334.49    73.68    20   34.29   19.40      31      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     42   182.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           CougarFan3     61    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     27   357.65    18.52     0    0.00   18.52      24      31 |
  |            creekster     44   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     62    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     55    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     18   456.04    57.14    20   18.57   18.57      38      16 |
  |           Drunk Tank     48   108.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     26   357.76    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      24      17 |
  |          Eddie Jones     65     7.02     7.02     0    0.00    7.02       0      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              ewth8tr     45   121.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     23   412.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     17   463.21    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      28      27 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     39   217.53    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      24      27 |
  |            Hot Lunch     16   479.34    25.71     0    0.00   25.71      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     20   448.88    80.24    20   28.57   31.67      26      11 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     10   493.09    81.51    20   34.29   27.22      27      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     12   488.49    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar      9   494.29    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      31      24 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      2   544.52    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      28      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     47   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     50    92.52    92.52    20   35.71   36.81      24      14 |
  |        lady duckcoug     64    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     28   354.26        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     54    85.04    85.04    20   31.43   33.61      27      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   498.04    82.31    20   30.00   32.31      28      14 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     19   453.51    92.52    20   35.71   36.81      21      17 |
  |              nikuman     60    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     38   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     35   250.31    74.00    20   28.57   25.43      33      18 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   606.28    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      24      20 |
  |           Rickomatic      8   496.55    95.96    20   40.00   35.96      21      14 |
  |          RockyBalboa     40   202.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     30   329.00    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      26      23 |
  |           SeattleUte     31   314.63    52.43    20   14.29   18.15      38      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     21   430.29    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      24      27 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     22   422.40    81.51    20   34.29   27.22      27      24 |
  |    smokymountainrain     46   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     43   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     32   295.49    50.68    20   12.86   17.82      38      12 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     11   490.05    82.24    20   35.71   26.52      31      21 |
  |               Surfah      4   512.56    91.92    20   40.00   31.92      27      20 |
  |             The_Tick     63    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     52    88.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     33   268.23    59.70    20   34.29    5.42      38      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     51    91.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     36   249.28    76.28    20   35.71   20.57      31      27 |
  |               Viking     59    73.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       WashingtonCoug     37   239.94    28.22     0    0.00   28.22      21      24 |
  |                YOhio     57    78.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Summary prediction stats for the Air Force game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     26.97     27.00     24.00     31.00      0.00     41.00
       opred |     20.49     20.00     15.00     24.00     11.00     35.00
      winner |      0.82      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

        • #5
          Darn you PAC! Just out of my reach.
          "There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
          "It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
          "Juilliardk N I ibuprofen Hyu I U unhurt u" - creekster

          Comment

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