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Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #6 results

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  • #1

    Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #6 results

    Week #6 (game #5) results:


    Overall standings as of the Colorado St. game.

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   442.52    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      24      20 |
  |            Hot Lunch      2   410.37    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      27      23 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      3   389.50    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      28      27 |
  |           BoylenOver      4   348.41    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      34      17 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      5   346.18    66.51    20   21.43   25.09      34      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut      6   345.44    65.86    20   20.00   25.86      31      10 |
  |        Clark Addison      7   336.83    29.12     0    0.00   29.12      17      20 |
  |               Surfah      8   331.82    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |              falafel      9   329.58    24.29     0    0.00   24.29      24      28 |
  |            bluegoose     10   328.69    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     11   321.03   100.00    20   40.00   40.00      24      17 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     12   319.87    90.25    20   34.29   35.96      22      19 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     13   319.06    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      10 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   317.53    73.01    20   32.86   20.15      36      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     15   317.03    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      30      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     16   317.03    79.80    20   40.00   19.80      34      27 |
  |                byu71     17   312.20   100.00    20   40.00   40.00      24      17 |
  |          Flystripper     18   311.17    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      34      24 |
  |                Solon     19   310.67    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      31      17 |
  |           Rickomatic     20   307.17    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      30      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg     21   301.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     22   276.39    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      24      13 |
  |           cougjunkie     23   270.87    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      31 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     24   265.61    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      20      16 |
  |           SeattleUte     25   262.20    36.58    20    5.71   10.86      44      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     26   261.44    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      31      17 |
  |               DU Ute     27   259.78    42.23    20    8.57   13.66      42      13 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     28   248.37    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |              scottie     29   245.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     30   244.81     6.77     0    0.00    6.77      34      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       NorthShoreCoug     31   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     32   222.60    82.86    20   30.00   32.86      27      13 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     33   211.72    82.86    20   31.43   31.43      24      23 |
  |          RockyBalboa     34   202.72    27.14     0    0.00   27.14      24      26 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     35   193.31    46.77    20   11.43   15.34      27       0 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     36   190.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     37   182.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     38   176.31    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      17       6 |
  |              snowcat     39   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     40   173.00    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      31      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     41   164.85    68.33    20   25.71   22.62      36      19 |
  |            creekster     42   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     43   156.99    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      31      28 |
  |                U-Ute     44   125.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              ewth8tr     45   121.92    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     46   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     47   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     48   108.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     49   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     50    91.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         TripletDaddy     51    88.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           2 Tru Blue     52    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     53    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     54    78.89    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      20      31 |
  |                  8BR     55    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     56    73.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              nikuman     57    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           CougarFan3     58    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     59    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     60    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        lady duckcoug     61    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Colorado St. prediction results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     11   321.03   100.00    20   40.00   40.00      24      17 |
  |                byu71     17   312.20   100.00    20   40.00   40.00      24      17 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   442.52    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      24      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     12   319.87    90.25    20   34.29   35.96      22      19 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     24   265.61    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      20      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     22   276.39    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      24      13 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     15   317.03    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      30      23 |
  |           Rickomatic     20   307.17    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      30      20 |
  |            Hot Lunch      2   410.37    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      27      23 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     13   319.06    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     40   173.00    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      31      20 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     28   248.37    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |            bluegoose     10   328.69    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |               Surfah      8   331.82    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     33   211.72    82.86    20   31.43   31.43      24      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     32   222.60    82.86    20   30.00   32.86      27      13 |
  |                Solon     19   310.67    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      31      17 |
  |                Brian     26   261.44    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      31      17 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     16   317.03    79.80    20   40.00   19.80      34      27 |
  |          Flystripper     18   311.17    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      34      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski      3   389.50    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      28      27 |
  |            OrangeUte     38   176.31    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      17       6 |
  |        Blueintheface     43   156.99    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      31      28 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   317.53    73.01    20   32.86   20.15      36      24 |
  |           BoylenOver      4   348.41    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      34      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     41   164.85    68.33    20   25.71   22.62      36      19 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      5   346.18    66.51    20   21.43   25.09      34      14 |
  |          chrisrenrut      6   345.44    65.86    20   20.00   25.86      31      10 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     35   193.31    46.77    20   11.43   15.34      27       0 |
  |               DU Ute     27   259.78    42.23    20    8.57   13.66      42      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     25   262.20    36.58    20    5.71   10.86      44      13 |
  |        Clark Addison      7   336.83    29.12     0    0.00   29.12      17      20 |
  |          RockyBalboa     34   202.72    27.14     0    0.00   27.14      24      26 |
  |              falafel      9   329.58    24.29     0    0.00   24.29      24      28 |
  |                YOhio     54    78.89    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      20      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie     23   270.87    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      31 |
  |              ewth8tr     45   121.92    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      34 |
  |            SoCalCoug     30   244.81     6.77     0    0.00    6.77      34      38 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings in alphabetical order:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           2 Tru Blue     52    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     55    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     36   190.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     10   328.69    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |        Blueintheface     43   156.99    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      31      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg     21   301.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver      4   348.41    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      34      17 |
  |                Brian     26   261.44    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      31      17 |
  |                byu71     17   312.20   100.00    20   40.00   40.00      24      17 |
  |          CardiacCoug     49   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut      6   345.44    65.86    20   20.00   25.86      31      10 |
  |                  CJF     32   222.60    82.86    20   30.00   32.86      27      13 |
  |        Clark Addison      7   336.83    29.12     0    0.00   29.12      17      20 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     41   164.85    68.33    20   25.71   22.62      36      19 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     37   182.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           CougarFan3     58    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     23   270.87    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      31 |
  |            creekster     42   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     59    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     53    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     14   317.53    73.01    20   32.86   20.15      36      24 |
  |           Drunk Tank     48   108.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     27   259.78    42.23    20    8.57   13.66      42      13 |
  |              ewth8tr     45   121.92    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      34 |
  |              falafel      9   329.58    24.29     0    0.00   24.29      24      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     18   311.17    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      34      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     35   193.31    46.77    20   11.43   15.34      27       0 |
  |            Hot Lunch      2   410.37    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      27      23 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     12   319.87    90.25    20   34.29   35.96      22      19 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     13   319.06    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       il Padrino Ute     15   317.03    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      30      23 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     16   317.03    79.80    20   40.00   19.80      34      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      3   389.50    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      28      27 |
  |            Katy Lied     47   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        lady duckcoug     61    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     22   276.39    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      24      13 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      5   346.18    66.51    20   21.43   25.09      34      14 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     24   265.61    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      20      16 |
  |              nikuman     57    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     31   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     38   176.31    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      17       6 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   442.52    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      24      20 |
  |           Rickomatic     20   307.17    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      30      20 |
  |          RockyBalboa     34   202.72    27.14     0    0.00   27.14      24      26 |
  |              scottie     29   245.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     25   262.20    36.58    20    5.71   10.86      44      13 |
  |               Sizzle     11   321.03   100.00    20   40.00   40.00      24      17 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     28   248.37    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |    smokymountainrain     46   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     39   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     30   244.81     6.77     0    0.00    6.77      34      38 |
  |                Solon     19   310.67    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      31      17 |
  |               Surfah      8   331.82    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      27      24 |
  |             The_Tick     60    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     51    88.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     44   125.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     50    91.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     40   173.00    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      31      20 |
  |               Viking     56    73.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       WashingtonCoug     33   211.72    82.86    20   31.43   31.43      24      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     54    78.89    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      20      31 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Summary stats for the Colorado St. game

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     28.24     27.50     24.00     31.00     17.00     44.00
       opred |     20.26     20.00     16.00     24.00      0.00     38.00
      winner |      0.82      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

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