David Lockes bracket indicators/predictions.......

[cougjunkie]

This is pretty interesting:

1. Efficiency Differential (Offensive Efficiency – Defensive Efficency) is the #1 indicator of victory.


1.Efficiency Differential (Offensive Efficiency – Defensive Efficency) is the #1 indicator of victory.
2. If a Mid-Major team has a differential advantage of 3 or less then we look beyond efficiency differential because those teams are only winning at a rate of 53%
3. The next indicator is offensive efficiency or effective field goal percentage because offensive wins
4. Teams that can’t shoot don’t last in the tournament
5. Defensive turnovers forced has been a good indicator of upsets in early rounds.


Certainty of Picks
Here is the success rate of picks based on the efficiency differential of the two teams.


Differential of Game

Winning Percentage

.1 to 2.9
69% (42-19)

3.0 to 5.9
72% (21-8)

6.0 to 8.9
71% (22-9)

9.0 to …..
100% (28-0)

So if you have an efficiency differential of 9 or more you have never lost that game, 28-0. So check out BYU vs Texas A&M: BYU (16.5) over Texas A&M (6.9) - a +9 differential advantage has not lost

http://www.kjzz.com/fansports/shows/locke

Pretty interesting stuff.

[Indy Coug]

This is pretty interesting:

1. Efficiency Differential (Offensive Efficiency – Defensive Efficency) is the #1 indicator of victory.

Does he ever talk about pass efficiency diferential?

[Jeff Lebowski]

So you're saying there's a chance...?

[cougjunkie]

Does he ever talk about pass efficiency diferential?

Indy this guy is your dream radio commentator. You guys would get along great.

[Donuthole]

Indy this guy is your dream radio commentator. You guys would get along great.

Just wait until he latches on to the Rockets' new moneyball theory of scouting and evaluating players. And you thought he was intolerable now?