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Utah's a fraud at RPI #10

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  • #16
    Originally posted by Indy Coug View Post
    Sagarin doesn't include D2 wins/losses either. Trying to quantify the value of a D2/NAIA game is a tricky proposition at best, so it's better just to exclude them across the board.

    Besides, if Southwest Baptist went 35-0 this year and their D2 SOS was ridiculously high, do you think it would be weighted properly for the purposes of punishing a D-1 team that lost to them? It's too apples and oranges.

    I did some research for Val Hale several years ago to determine whether it was advantageous to play a 200 to 250 RPI level team instead of a D2/NAIA team and my research showed it was a virtual wash (of course, the assumption was that BYU won either encounter) because the gain in BYU's win percentage would be offset by the hit it would take on the SOS side. I still might have the spreadsheet around somewhere...
    If I run Utah's RPI with the SW Baptist game as WIN over Furman (a bottom level D1 team) they drop to #15, and drop to #23 as a loss to Furman.

    The SOS hit of a win over a bottom level D1 team can cause you to drop 3-5 spots in the RPI's.

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    • #17
      Originally posted by jay santos View Post
      If I run Utah's RPI with the SW Baptist game as WIN over Furman (a bottom level D1 team) they drop to #15, and drop to #23 as a loss to Furman.

      The SOS hit of a win over a bottom level D1 team can cause you to drop 3-5 spots in the RPI's.
      That's very telling. I'm glad they didn't play Furman. They might have lost and our conference wouldn't look as good on paper.

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      • #18
        Originally posted by jay santos View Post
        If I run Utah's RPI with the SW Baptist game as WIN over Furman (a bottom level D1 team) they drop to #15, and drop to #23 as a loss to Furman.

        The SOS hit of a win over a bottom level D1 team can cause you to drop 3-5 spots in the RPI's.
        OK, but that's a slightly different analysis than the one I did since you're using a 330+ RPI team.
        Everything in life is an approximation.

        http://twitter.com/CougarStats

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