BYU Basketball 25-26: The AJ Season

[Jeff Lebowski]

When conference play starts on January 2, it's currently projected that BYU's only remaining non-Q1/Q2 games will both be Quad 3 games against the same team - the University of Utah. If Utah's NET rating (currently 147) falls much more (to worse than 160), the home game against them would end up being Quad 4.

Right after the second Utah game, BYU has the following stretches of Quad 1 games:

• 5 straight
• 7 out of 8

After that 8-game stretch, they get a Quad 2 reprieve of 3 straight games before finishing up with another Quad 1 against Texas Tech. So the final 12 games of the regular season are all projecting to be Quad 1 or Quad 2.

I am fine if the Utah games drop to Quad 4.

[Pelado]

1o more quad 1 games. Holy moly.

When conference play starts on January 2, it's currently projected that BYU's only remaining non-Q1/Q2 games will both be Quad 3 games against the same team - the University of Utah. If Utah's NET rating (currently 147) falls much more (to worse than 160), the home game against them would end up being Quad 4.

Right after the second Utah game, BYU has the following stretches of Quad 1 games:

• 5 straight
• 7 out of 8

After that 8-game stretch, they get a Quad 2 reprieve of 3 straight games before finishing up with another Quad 1 against Texas Tech. So the final 12 games of the regular season are all projecting to be Quad 1 or Quad 2.

[Jeff Lebowski]

This has been the most fun pre-season that I can remember. But I have also been following it closer since BYU is a part of it.

According to goatnapper, we haven't played anyone yet!

[BigPiney]

I've really enjoyed the heavy hitters playing each other all pre-season. I hope that's a trend that continues in future seasons. I'd rather lose to another team as good as UConn than play whoever these next two teams are.

This has been the most fun pre-season that I can remember. But I have also been following it closer since BYU is a part of it.

[SteelBlue]

I've really enjoyed the heavy hitters playing each other all pre-season. I hope that's a trend that continues in future seasons. I'd rather lose to another team as good as UConn than play whoever these next two teams are.

[Jeff Lebowski]

1o more quad 1 games. Holy moly.

[Pelado]

BYU men's basketball current ratings:

NET: 6
KenPom: 9
ESPN BPI: 10
BPI Resume: 11
Faktor KPI: 7
T-Rank: 15
AP: 10
Coaches: 10

Record against Quad 1: 3-1
Quad 2: 3-0
Quad 3: 0-0
Quad 4: 3-0

Games remaining against Quad 1: 10
Quad 2: 6
Quad 3: 3
Quad 4: 2

ESPN's BPI predictor model gives BYU a 96.9% chance to win at home against Pacific (NET: 84, KenPom 124) on Tuesday, predicting a margin of 21.5 points. It's ranked 5th of the day's games in "Matchup Quality".

For Friday's home game against Abilene Christian (NET: 216, KenPom: 219), BPI projects an 99.1% chance of victory, with an expected margin of 29.5 points. It's ranked 7th of the day's games in "Matchup Quality".

For the tournament projections, BPI currently shows BYU with the following chances: NA - no data yet
Round of 32:
Sweet 16:
Elite 8:
Final 4:
Title game:
Champion:

They are listed as the ___ highest odds of winning the tournament. Big 12 teams with better odds: NA - no data yet

[Goatnapper'96]

Sweet 16? Pull the string and think bigger.

Embedded Tweet

Head to head comp has us beating very solid first round winners. Our only chance vs an Elite team we lost although we competed very well. I know all the reasons for optimism and I am all in, I just can't wait until we get to play our fellow Big 12 Blue Blood programs and demonstrate it head to head against teams ranked that high.

[Jeff Lebowski]

I hope BYU has picked Kostic in the competition between Kostic and Mrus as to who will get reserve minutes as a wing. I hope this is because Kostic is better, which is what I will assume. If what he did Saturday is a premonition of what is to come, ability to hit open 3's while defending less than spectacularly, and If the Ahmed guy can give get to the point he can give us good minutes off the bench BYU could be every bit elite as we are imagining them to be. A bench of Saturday's Kostic, understanding he isn't going to regularly shoot 66% behind the arc but 35%-40% is doable?, Ahmed with Mboup and Diomande with Boscovich as matchups allow is a far cry better than what things appeared a few weeks ago.

I can't wait for conference to start. We know BYU is good, by good I mean a legitimate threat for the Sweet 16, but the competition while stout really doesn't shed light on whether or not BYU is elite. We beat 3 teams (Miami, Clemson and Nova) by an average of 6 points who are all strong contenders to win in round 1. Clearly, BYU has potential to be elite-Dybantsa is a future NBA great IMO, and if Kostic can really supply consistent 3 point threat level shooting off the bench while Ahmed gives us a back up rim protecting & rim running athletic 5 who can get dunks, putbacks and a garbage hoop or two each game BYU goes from very good to elite IMO. Conference games will allow us to show whether or not that is the case.

Sweet 16? Pull the string and think bigger.

Embedded Tweet

[Goatnapper'96]

I hope BYU has picked Kostic in the competition between Kostic and Mrus as to who will get reserve minutes as a wing. I hope this is because Kostic is better, which is what I will assume. If what he did Saturday is a premonition of what is to come, ability to hit open 3's while defending less than spectacularly, and If the Ahmed guy can give get to the point he can give us good minutes off the bench BYU could be every bit elite as we are imagining them to be. A bench of Saturday's Kostic, understanding he isn't going to regularly shoot 66% behind the arc but 35%-40% is doable?, Ahmed with Mboup and Diomande with Boscovich as matchups allow is a far cry better than what things appeared a few weeks ago.

I can't wait for conference to start. We know BYU is good, by good I mean a legitimate threat for the Sweet 16, but the competition while stout really doesn't shed light on whether or not BYU is elite. We beat 3 teams (Miami, Clemson and Nova) by an average of 6 points who are all strong contenders to win in round 1. Clearly, BYU has potential to be elite-Dybantsa is a future NBA great IMO, and if Kostic can really supply consistent 3 point threat level shooting off the bench while Ahmed gives us a back up rim protecting & rim running athletic 5 who can get dunks, putbacks and a garbage hoop or two each game BYU goes from very good to elite IMO. Conference games will allow us to show whether or not that is the case.

[BigPiney]

He is not going to gain 30 lbs.

I know, but that is what he needs to do. Needs to be all muscle while we are at it.

[Goatnapper'96]

He is not going to gain 30 lbs.

No but 15-20 is feasible.

[Jeff Lebowski]

He has not been good. His minutes in the UConn game were very good though.

He needs to put on 30 lbs this off-season.

He is not going to gain 30 lbs.

[Green Monstah]

Staton is a known project.

[BigPiney]

Staton might be worse.

He has not been good. His minutes in the UConn game were very good though.

He needs to put on 30 lbs this off-season.