http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...oval-1044.html
A month ago there was an 18 point spread. Two months ago there was a 26 point spread. It's down to 10 points. At the same point in Bush's presidency (still before 9/11), Bush's approval ratings were at 60 and his disapproval ratings were in the high 30s.
There are three possible outcomes from this point:
1. The democrats wise up and start governing more from the center.
2. The democrats don't govern more from the center and they lose at least one house of Congress in the midterms. Obama does a Clinton after the GOP takes over the House and/or Senate, moves to the center, and wins in 2012.
3. The democrats don't govern more from the center yet still maintain majorities in both houses of Congress even though they lose a fair number of seats. People are sick of democratic rule and Obama is voted out in 2012.
The democrats can't continue their current shenanigans and hope to maintain control past 2012. As I've said in previous posts, the stimulus bill cram down (inapproriate use of a bankruptcy term, I know) was the first strike and poisoned the well for the health care reform attempts which is the second strike. A health care reform cram down would be the third strike.
I guess there's also a fourth possibility: the GOP takes over at least one house of Congress and Obama continues being stridently fiscally liberal. Although I'm increasingly losing confidence in this opnion, I still think Obama is too smart to continue on with his current course of action if the democrats lose big in 2010.
A month ago there was an 18 point spread. Two months ago there was a 26 point spread. It's down to 10 points. At the same point in Bush's presidency (still before 9/11), Bush's approval ratings were at 60 and his disapproval ratings were in the high 30s.
There are three possible outcomes from this point:
1. The democrats wise up and start governing more from the center.
2. The democrats don't govern more from the center and they lose at least one house of Congress in the midterms. Obama does a Clinton after the GOP takes over the House and/or Senate, moves to the center, and wins in 2012.
3. The democrats don't govern more from the center yet still maintain majorities in both houses of Congress even though they lose a fair number of seats. People are sick of democratic rule and Obama is voted out in 2012.
The democrats can't continue their current shenanigans and hope to maintain control past 2012. As I've said in previous posts, the stimulus bill cram down (inapproriate use of a bankruptcy term, I know) was the first strike and poisoned the well for the health care reform attempts which is the second strike. A health care reform cram down would be the third strike.
I guess there's also a fourth possibility: the GOP takes over at least one house of Congress and Obama continues being stridently fiscally liberal. Although I'm increasingly losing confidence in this opnion, I still think Obama is too smart to continue on with his current course of action if the democrats lose big in 2010.
Comment