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Each week a score of 100 is possible. Here is the formula:
Points = 20*winner +
40*winner*(1-abs(MOVD)/21) if abs(MOVD) <= 28, 0 otherwise +
40*(1-d(predicted,actual)/21) if d( , ) <= 28, 0 otherwise
Winner = 1 if the winning team is correctly picked, 0 otherwise
MOVD = margin of victory diferrential: Predicted (MOV) - Actual(MOV)
d( , ) = Euclidean distance
Format for scores:
---------------------
BYU|X
OPPONENT|Y
---------------------
First line of the post must be BYU and then the numerical score prediction. The second line must be the opponent name and the numerical score prediction. Please use the pipe delimiter ... that will make things very easy on me. Don't add any other punctation (yes, that means you, you colon happy people). Don't reverse the scores. I am just going to write a perl script to automate this stuff so if you make things non-standard it makes it more likely that your prediction doesn't get counted (so please make it easy on me and edit your OK game scores to the appropriate format). I am not going to check time stamps for predictions so your on your honor for not posting a prediction ex post.
FAQ
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1. Wow, it a seems like the formula gives very heavy weight to predicting the correct winner?
A. Yes it does.
2. How will a tie breaker be determined?
A. If a tie occurs, the winner will be determined by who beat the Vegas spread more frequently.
3. Where is the Utah contest?
A. Ya, do the same format for the Utah contest, etc, etc.
4. Is there a cool prize?
A. Ask Creekster or Babs.
5. What happens if I post multiple predictions?
A. I am going to write the script to use your last prediction in a thread.
6. Can I post non prediction content or commentary on my predictions in the prediction threads?
A. You can post other commentary in the threads. Just make sure the predictions come in the form of
BYU|X
OPP|Y
or
Utah|X
OPP|Y
as the first two lines of the post.
* I reserve the right to change the formula if it gives us obviously weird results or a strange sorting.
Points = 20*winner +
40*winner*(1-abs(MOVD)/21) if abs(MOVD) <= 28, 0 otherwise +
40*(1-d(predicted,actual)/21) if d( , ) <= 28, 0 otherwise
Winner = 1 if the winning team is correctly picked, 0 otherwise
MOVD = margin of victory diferrential: Predicted (MOV) - Actual(MOV)
d( , ) = Euclidean distance
Format for scores:
---------------------
BYU|X
OPPONENT|Y
---------------------
First line of the post must be BYU and then the numerical score prediction. The second line must be the opponent name and the numerical score prediction. Please use the pipe delimiter ... that will make things very easy on me. Don't add any other punctation (yes, that means you, you colon happy people). Don't reverse the scores. I am just going to write a perl script to automate this stuff so if you make things non-standard it makes it more likely that your prediction doesn't get counted (so please make it easy on me and edit your OK game scores to the appropriate format). I am not going to check time stamps for predictions so your on your honor for not posting a prediction ex post.
FAQ
-----
1. Wow, it a seems like the formula gives very heavy weight to predicting the correct winner?
A. Yes it does.
2. How will a tie breaker be determined?
A. If a tie occurs, the winner will be determined by who beat the Vegas spread more frequently.
3. Where is the Utah contest?
A. Ya, do the same format for the Utah contest, etc, etc.
4. Is there a cool prize?
A. Ask Creekster or Babs.
5. What happens if I post multiple predictions?
A. I am going to write the script to use your last prediction in a thread.
6. Can I post non prediction content or commentary on my predictions in the prediction threads?
A. You can post other commentary in the threads. Just make sure the predictions come in the form of
BYU|X
OPP|Y
or
Utah|X
OPP|Y
as the first two lines of the post.
* I reserve the right to change the formula if it gives us obviously weird results or a strange sorting.
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