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Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #4 results

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  • #1

    Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #4 results

    Prediction contest as of the Louisville game

    Overall standings

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   351.10    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      27      16 |
  |            Hot Lunch      2   324.24    84.17    20   32.86   31.31      31      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      3   313.46    59.78    20   18.57   21.21      28      27 |
  |        Clark Addison      4   307.71    85.25    20   34.29   30.96      24      12 |
  |              falafel      5   305.29    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg      6   301.88    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      28      17 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   279.67    97.14    20   38.57   38.57      31      14 |
  |          chrisrenrut      8   279.58    92.63    20   37.14   35.48      27      13 |
  |           BoylenOver      9   276.98    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      34      21 |
  |           cougjunkie     10   251.67    20.78     0    0.00   20.78      21      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     11   248.42    68.29    20   22.86   25.43      28      24 |
  |              scottie     12   245.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     13   245.29    70.74    20   22.86   27.88      24      20 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   244.52    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      36      20 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     15   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     16   238.04    74.83    20   25.71   29.12      27      21 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     17   237.23    64.23    20   22.86   21.37      31      27 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     18   233.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     19   232.90    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      24      21 |
  |                Solon     20   230.67    86.84    20   37.14   29.70      24      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     21   229.63    22.56     0    0.00   22.56      20      21 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     22   229.16    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      23      20 |
  |           SeattleUte     23   225.62    70.57    20   22.86   27.71      35       7 |
  |           Rickomatic     24   221.04    71.43    20   30.00   21.43      35      26 |
  |               Sizzle     25   221.03    85.37    20   31.43   33.94      27      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     26   217.55    79.65    20   31.43   28.22      38      16 |
  |                byu71     27   212.20    44.29    20   24.29    0.00       5       0 |
  |             beefytee     28   190.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     29   187.82    79.54    20   28.57   30.96      28      20 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     30   182.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     31   181.44    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      31      18 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     32   175.79    71.11    20   24.29   26.83      21      16 |
  |          RockyBalboa     33   175.57    87.00    20   34.29   32.72      31      19 |
  |              snowcat     34   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     35   164.97    63.12    20   18.57   24.55      24      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     36   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     37   146.54    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      20      10 |
  |                  CJF     38   139.74    95.12    20   37.14   37.98      31      13 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     39   128.87    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      23      10 |
  |                U-Ute     40   125.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     41   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     42   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     43   108.58    74.83    20   25.71   29.12      27      21 |
  |              ewth8tr     44   108.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     45   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     46   100.65    80.65    20   32.86   27.79      38      17 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     47    96.51    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      27      28 |
  |              UtahDan     48    91.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     49    89.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     50    88.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           2 Tru Blue     51    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     52    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     52    81.33    81.33    20   31.43   29.90      31      21 |
  |                  8BR     54    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     55    73.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              nikuman     56    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           CougarFan3     57    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     58    59.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     59    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     60    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        lady duckcoug     61    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 09-26-2009, 08:33 PM.
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standing sorted by Louisville results

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   279.67    97.14    20   38.57   38.57      31      14 |
  |                  CJF     38   139.74    95.12    20   37.14   37.98      31      13 |
  |          chrisrenrut      8   279.58    92.63    20   37.14   35.48      27      13 |
  |                Brian     31   181.44    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      31      18 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   244.52    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      36      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   351.10    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      27      16 |
  |                 Borg      6   301.88    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      28      17 |
  |              falafel      5   305.29    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      28      17 |
  |          RockyBalboa     33   175.57    87.00    20   34.29   32.72      31      19 |
  |                Solon     20   230.67    86.84    20   37.14   29.70      24      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     25   221.03    85.37    20   31.43   33.94      27      17 |
  |        Clark Addison      4   307.71    85.25    20   34.29   30.96      24      12 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     39   128.87    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      23      10 |
  |           BoylenOver      9   276.98    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      34      21 |
  |            Hot Lunch      2   324.24    84.17    20   32.86   31.31      31      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Blueintheface     52    81.33    81.33    20   31.43   29.90      31      21 |
  |            OrangeUte     46   100.65    80.65    20   32.86   27.79      38      17 |
  |               DU Ute     26   217.55    79.65    20   31.43   28.22      38      16 |
  |             LiveCoug     29   187.82    79.54    20   28.57   30.96      28      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     37   146.54    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      20      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     16   238.04    74.83    20   25.71   29.12      27      21 |
  |           Drunk Tank     43   108.58    74.83    20   25.71   29.12      27      21 |
  |           Rickomatic     24   221.04    71.43    20   30.00   21.43      35      26 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     32   175.79    71.11    20   24.29   26.83      21      16 |
  |            bluegoose     13   245.29    70.74    20   22.86   27.88      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     23   225.62    70.57    20   22.86   27.71      35       7 |
  |               Surfah     11   248.42    68.29    20   22.86   25.43      28      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     22   229.16    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      23      20 |
  |          Flystripper     19   232.90    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      24      21 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     17   237.23    64.23    20   22.86   21.37      31      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     35   164.97    63.12    20   18.57   24.55      24      23 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      3   313.46    59.78    20   18.57   21.21      28      27 |
  |                byu71     27   212.20    44.29    20   24.29    0.00       5       0 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     21   229.63    22.56     0    0.00   22.56      20      21 |
  |           cougjunkie     10   251.67    20.78     0    0.00   20.78      21      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     47    96.51    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      27      28 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 09-26-2009, 09:51 PM.

    Comment

    • #3
      Standing in alphabetical order

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           2 Tru Blue     51    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     54    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     28   190.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     13   245.29    70.74    20   22.86   27.88      24      20 |
  |        Blueintheface     52    81.33    81.33    20   31.43   29.90      31      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg      6   301.88    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      28      17 |
  |           BoylenOver      9   276.98    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      34      21 |
  |                Brian     31   181.44    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      31      18 |
  |                byu71     27   212.20    44.29    20   24.29    0.00       5       0 |
  |          CardiacCoug     45   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut      8   279.58    92.63    20   37.14   35.48      27      13 |
  |                  CJF     38   139.74    95.12    20   37.14   37.98      31      13 |
  |        Clark Addison      4   307.71    85.25    20   34.29   30.96      24      12 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     47    96.51    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      27      28 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     30   182.23        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           CougarFan3     57    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     10   251.67    20.78     0    0.00   20.78      21      24 |
  |            creekster     36   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     59    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     52    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     14   244.52    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      36      20 |
  |           Drunk Tank     43   108.58    74.83    20   25.71   29.12      27      21 |
  |               DU Ute     26   217.55    79.65    20   31.43   28.22      38      16 |
  |              ewth8tr     44   108.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel      5   305.29    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     19   232.90    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      24      21 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     37   146.54    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      20      10 |
  |            Hot Lunch      2   324.24    84.17    20   32.86   31.31      31      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     21   229.63    22.56     0    0.00   22.56      20      21 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     18   233.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       il Padrino Ute     22   229.16    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      23      20 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     17   237.23    64.23    20   22.86   21.37      31      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      3   313.46    59.78    20   18.57   21.21      28      27 |
  |            Katy Lied     42   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        lady duckcoug     61    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     29   187.82    79.54    20   28.57   30.96      28      20 |
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   279.67    97.14    20   38.57   38.57      31      14 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     32   175.79    71.11    20   24.29   26.83      21      16 |
  |              nikuman     56    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     15   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     46   100.65    80.65    20   32.86   27.79      38      17 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   351.10    87.71    20   32.86   34.85      27      16 |
  |           Rickomatic     24   221.04    71.43    20   30.00   21.43      35      26 |
  |          RockyBalboa     33   175.57    87.00    20   34.29   32.72      31      19 |
  |              scottie     12   245.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     23   225.62    70.57    20   22.86   27.71      35       7 |
  |               Sizzle     25   221.03    85.37    20   31.43   33.94      27      17 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     35   164.97    63.12    20   18.57   24.55      24      23 |
  |    smokymountainrain     41   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     34   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     16   238.04    74.83    20   25.71   29.12      27      21 |
  |                Solon     20   230.67    86.84    20   37.14   29.70      24      10 |
  |               Surfah     11   248.42    68.29    20   22.86   25.43      28      24 |
  |             The_Tick     60    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     50    88.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     40   125.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     48    91.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     49    89.59        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     55    73.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       WashingtonCoug     39   128.87    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      23      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     58    59.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      Last edited by pelagius; 09-26-2009, 08:35 PM.

      Comment

      • #4
        Louisville prediction summary stats

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     27.44     27.50     24.00     31.00      5.00     38.00
       opred |     17.97     19.50     15.00     21.00      0.00     28.00
      winner |      0.95      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by pelagius; 09-26-2009, 08:31 PM.

        Comment

        • #5
          How could I have not won outright? I predicted 31-14. The score was 30-14.
          "Be a philosopher. A man can compromise to gain a point. It has become apparent that a man can, within limits, follow his inclinations within the arms of the Church if he does so discreetly." - The Walking Drum

          "And here’s what life comes down to—not how many years you live, but how many of those years are filled with bullshit that doesn’t amount to anything to satisfy the requirements of some dickhead you’ll never get the pleasure of punching in the face." – Adam Carolla

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by Mormon Red Death View Post
            How could I have not won outright? I predicted 31-14. The score was 30-14.
            You did win outright (see standing sorted by Louisville results)...

            Code:
              +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death      7   279.67    97.14    20   38.57   38.57      31      14 |
  |                  CJF     38   139.74    95.12    20   37.14   37.98      31      13 |
  |          chrisrenrut      8   279.58    92.63    20   37.14   35.48      27      13 |
  |                Brian     31   181.44    89.82    20   35.71   34.11      31      18 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   244.52    87.88    20   40.00   27.88      36      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
            Last edited by pelagius; 09-26-2009, 10:09 PM.

            Comment

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