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BYU 2020-2021

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  • Pelado
    replied
    An inaccuracy in my earlier analysis - the injured Bruins player is Juzang, not Jaquez. While Jaquez led the team's scoring against MSU, Juzang is their leading scorer this season.

    Vegas favors BYU by 3.5 points. Combining that with an over/under of 138.5, the predicted score would be 71 - 67.5.

    kenpom.com rates UCLA's offensive efficiency as 16th-best in the country - a bit better than BYU's 29th-ranked offense. BYU has the advantage in defensive efficiency, 25 vs 88.

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  • Pelado
    replied
    More roster notes:

    Their starting lineup against MSU is not particularly tall, but has good size at the 2 and 3 spots:

    Tyger Campbell - 5' 11"
    Jules Bernard - 6' 6"
    Johnny Juzang - 6' 6"
    Jaime Jaquez Jr - 6' 6"
    Cody Riley - 6' 9"

    So either Barcello or Averette is likely to be defended by someone much taller (probably Barcello). Their best scorers against MSU were Jaquez (27 points on 11 of 20 overall, 3 of 4 from deep) and Juzang (23 points on 9 of 20 overall and 3 of 9 from deep). Tyger is small but has good quickness and his drives to the hoop reminded me of Averette. In fact, their respective rosters list them as almost the same size (both 5' 11" but Averette weighting 5 lbs more).

    I don't expect Riley to be much of a factor 1-on-1 against taller defenders but he could pose problems as a dump off threat when Haarms/Harward commit to help defense.

    Continuing on the theme of bench production, UCLA got 7 points out of their bench.

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  • Pelado
    replied
    Originally posted by Pelado View Post
    He was very dynamic, scoring in multiple ways against Michigan State. As his scoring brought UCLA back into contention, I started wondering who Pope would tag as his primary defender. I think he'd probably start with George, but he might have a few inches height on Gideon.
    I just looked at UCLA's roster. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is actually listed at 6' 6", same as Gideon. He is a bit heavier, though - 220 lbs vs 190 for George. Jaquez does a nice job with pivots and pump fakes, especially as he works in the lane. Whoever is guarding him (assuming he plays) is going to have to be calm and not jump in the air with his fakes. Haven't really seen him pass the ball much, so a shot blocker behind the primary defender might do really well against him.

    As to their depth, UCLA played 10 different guys tonight, but their starters played 81.8% of the minutes in this game. In spite of the going into the overtime period, the most minutes any bench player got was 15.

    In contrast, in BYU's last game (against Gonzaga), BYU played 9 guys (almost 8 - Lee registered less than one minute) but the starters played only 71% of the total minutes. Their three primary bench players - Knell, Johnson, and Harward - played 27, 17, and 14 minutes respectively.

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  • Pelado
    replied
    Originally posted by BlueK View Post
    " I really like Michigan State going on to beat BYU and maybe beyond that" -- every basketball talking head and their dog this week.

    Oops
    That might have gotten into the Spartans' heads a bit this week, leading them to be overconfident. And then, with taking a big lead in the first half, they figured they had the game in the bag. Or, perhaps the game was just a microcosm of MSU's season - able to play really well and able to play really poorly.

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  • Pelado
    replied
    Originally posted by Omaha 680 View Post
    Good grief ucla loses their leading scorer to an ankle injury.
    Looked like it might not be that serious - he was walking around on it before the end of the game. They did say that he's had issues with his ankles this season, so this might be a re-injury. If he can't go against BYU, or if he's hobbled, that's obviously a big advantage. He was very dynamic, scoring in multiple ways against Michigan State. As his scoring brought UCLA back into contention, I started wondering who Pope would tag as his primary defender. I think he'd probably start with George, but he might have a few inches height on Gideon.

    I like that their point guard is not particularly tall. Barcello shouldn't have too much trouble getting his shot up.

    UCLA had a lot of trouble early in the game with shot blocking of MSU's 5 (whose name escapes me). What was surprising was that it wasn't even really the help defense, they kept getting blocked in one-on-one plays on the block. I'd like to think that bodes well for Haarms.

    As I mentioned earlier in the thread, it seems that at least some of UCLA's roster doesn't know their own offensive playbook. Either that, or Cronin was ad-libbing from the sideline. UCLA did seem to be successful more often than not on those Cronin-directed plays.

    I wasn't paying too much attention, but it seemed like UCLA's bench is not very deep. I think they only had 3 bench points at halftime, and I don't remember them substituting much. They brought in that Etienne kid for a little bit when Riley picked up his third or fourth foul. I also remember seeing the point guard ready to check back in, so he must have sat at least a few minutes. I'd like to see an up-tempo game plan to take advantage of what I'm expecting to be a depth advantage. It might also help to wear them out after they played an overtime game just two nights before. On the other hand, I think I read that UCLA likes to play fast, so that might be playing into their hands.

    What did you guys see? Any advantages/disadvantages?

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  • Flystripper
    replied
    BY mother EFFING U. Let’s gooooooo!


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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  • beefytee
    replied
    UCLA

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  • BlueK
    replied
    " I really like Michigan State going on to beat BYU and maybe beyond that" -- every basketball talking head and their dog this week.

    Oops
    Last edited by BlueK; 03-18-2021, 09:48 PM.

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  • Omaha 680
    replied
    Good grief ucla loses their leading scorer to an ankle injury.

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  • Pelado
    replied
    Originally posted by Omaha 680 View Post
    Overtime would be ideal here. In fact let's have about 5 overtimes.
    I'm in favor.

    Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

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  • Omaha 680
    replied
    Overtime would be ideal here. In fact let's have about 5 overtimes.

    Leave a comment:


  • Pelado
    replied
    Originally posted by Pelado View Post
    Cronin is having to direct several of his players on the called plays. He's pointing out where they're supposed to go. Several of them look confused and unsure of what they're supposed to be doing.
    I know they've had some injuries, but I think I understand why they've lost their last four games.

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  • Pelado
    replied
    Cronin is having to direct several of his players on the called plays. He's pointing out where they're supposed to go. Several of them look confused and unsure of what they're supposed to be doing.

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  • Clark Addison
    replied
    Originally posted by Flystripper View Post
    BYU is going to smoke either of these teams.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Yeah. If we play our game, I like us against either

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  • Omaha 680
    replied
    Originally posted by Pelado View Post
    State starting to get and hit from beyond the arc.
    Weird dustup between Izzo and one of his players going into the locker room.

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