Originally posted by Pelado
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BYU has a 87.1% chance to win Thursday against San Francisco (12.5 point predicted margin)
Their projected conference record is 9.7 - 3.3
They have a <0.1% chance of winning the regular season conference championship
Chance of making the round of 32 - 57.0%
Chance of making the Sweet 16 - 22.9%
Chance of making the Elite 8 - 8.4%
Chance of making the Final 4 - 3.1%
Chance of making the Championship game - 1.0%
Chance of winning the Championship - 0.3%
Gonzaga still has the second highest likelihood of winning the national title (27.5%), now just barely behind Baylor (27.8%). Others above 5%:
Iowa (9.2%)
Houston (6.2%)
Michigan (5.5%)
Illinois (5.3%)
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