Page 4 of 5 FirstFirst ... 2345 LastLast
Results 91 to 120 of 126

Thread: Womens’ Volleyball 2018

  1. #91
    The dude abides Jeff Lebowski's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    The heart of the UC
    Posts
    47,267

    Default

    Wow. She is incredible.
    "There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
    "It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
    "Juilliardk N I ibuprofen Hyu I U unhurt u" - creekster

  2. #92
    Pre-Historic Man
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Allendale County, SC
    Posts
    11,270

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by KillerDog View Post
    We cleared the benches early too.
    What's this equivalent to in football terms, a 60 - 0 victory? It seems as if most of the conference won't offer much of a challenge with the exception of LMU, maybe St. Mary's and San Diego. This year though it seems BYU is a cut above most teams not named Stanford.
    "Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."

    Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.

  3. #93

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Topper View Post
    This year though it seems BYU is a cut above most teams not named Stanford.
    Nebraska is really good too. They lost to a good Florida team the 1st match of the season, but that was before Lexi Sun (a very good OH2) came back from injury. I don't think there is much difference between BYU, Stanford, and Nebraska. I don't think Foecke is quite as good as RJP and Plummer but she's close. So Nebraska also has one of the very best OH in the country. I also think Minnesota will likely be with that group by the end of the season. They are super athletic and their speed to the pins is impressive.

  4. #94
    Pre-Historic Man
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Allendale County, SC
    Posts
    11,270

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    Nebraska is really good too. They lost to a good Florida team the 1st match of the season, but that was before Lexi Sun (a very good OH2) came back from injury. I don't think there is much difference between BYU, Stanford, and Nebraska. I don't think Foecke is quite as good as RJP and Plummer but she's close. So Nebraska also has one of the very best OH in the country. I also think Minnesota will likely be with that group by the end of the season. They are super athletic and their speed to the pins is impressive.
    Too bad Ballard isn't playing up to expectations. That would make BYU exceptionally dangerous. Let's hope this is BYU's year.
    "Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."

    Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.

  5. #95

    Default

    BYU 3-0 over Portland. Another dominating performance against a midrange (top 50ish RPI) team.

    San Diego looks good; their young hitters are starting to play pretty well. San Diego at San Diego is going to be a real test.

  6. #96

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    BYU 3-0 over Portland. Another dominating performance against a midrange (top 50ish RPI) team.

    San Diego looks good; their young hitters are starting to play pretty well. San Diego at San Diego is going to be a real test.
    I bet they tie.

  7. #97

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by LiveCoug View Post
    I bet they tie.
    I think that would only happen if Marshall Faulk's daughter played for them.

  8. #98

    Default

    One real upside of Robinson getting so much time this year is it will really help with the transition to the post RJP era. I'm pretty confident they move her to the left side next year and use her as a six rotation OH. She is going to be great on the left side. You can already see it; how quickly she can turn it and the angles she can get when she gets to hit on the left side this year are pretty great.

  9. #99
    Senior Member myboynoah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    Land of the Morning Calm
    Posts
    14,600

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    I think that would only happen if Marshall Faulk's daughter played for them.
    Ha, excellent reference.
    Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!!

    For all this His anger is not turned away, but His hand is stretched out still.

    Not long ago an obituary appeared in the Salt Lake Tribune that said the recently departed had "died doing what he enjoyed most—watching BYU lose."

  10. #100

    Default

    Other night I decided to write a web-scraper that scraped volleyball scores off of stats.ncaa.org. So I did a statistical model to estimate volleyball ranking based on point differential set by set. I was kind of surprised, BYU actually came out on top (I figured it would be Stanford):

    Code:
                         team     rating
    1                     BYU  25.129406
    2                Stanford  24.686814
    3                Nebraska  23.244137
    4               Minnesota  23.091123
    5                Illinois  22.727296
    6               Wisconsin  22.645981
    7              Pittsburgh  22.189310
    8                   Texas  21.877285
    9     Southern California  21.679666
    10               Michigan  21.616609
    Could be an error; my web-scraper is probably not at 100% accuracy in terms of parsing the scores (although I didn't find any errors with my latest spot checking). So there you go, BYU really is #1 (ok, the difference between BYU and Stanford is by no means statistically meaningful).
    Last edited by pelagius; 09-30-2018 at 01:56 AM.

  11. #101

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by myboynoah View Post
    Ha, excellent reference.
    decent reference - taking the liberty with San Diego vs San Diego State takes it down a notch.
    I'm like LeBron James.
    -mpfunk

  12. #102
    a.k.a. K-dog KillerDog's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    Salt Lake City
    Posts
    4,070

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    One real upside of Robinson getting so much time this year is it will really help with the transition to the post RJP era. I'm pretty confident they move her to the left side next year and use her as a six rotation OH. She is going to be great on the left side. You can already see it; how quickly she can turn it and the angles she can get when she gets to hit on the left side this year are pretty great.
    I agree �� Her build is that of an OH and so is her game. She can pass nails too.

  13. #103
    a.k.a. K-dog KillerDog's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    Salt Lake City
    Posts
    4,070

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    Other night I decided to write a web-scraper that scraped volleyball scores off of stats.ncaa.org. So I did a statistical model to estimate volleyball ranking based on point differential set by set. I was kind of surprised, BYU actually came out on top (I figured it would be Stanford):

    Code:
                         team     rating
    1                     BYU  25.129406
    2                Stanford  24.686814
    3                Nebraska  23.244137
    4               Minnesota  23.091123
    5                Illinois  22.727296
    6               Wisconsin  22.645981
    7              Pittsburgh  22.189310
    8                   Texas  21.877285
    9     Southern California  21.679666
    10               Michigan  21.616609

    Could be an error; my web-scraper is probably not at 100% accuracy in terms of parsing the scores (although I didn't find any errors with my latest spot checking). So there you go, BYU really is #1 (ok, the difference between BYU and Stanford is by no means statistically meaningful).
    3 of the top four have BYU head coaches and the 4th has a BYU assistant.

  14. #104

    Default

    Now that have data, I can actually estimate win probability. So, here is my estimated win probability for the BYU @ San Diego match this Friday:

    Code:
    Rankings
                         team     rating   win  loss
    1                     BYU  24.671649  15.0   0.0
    37              San Diego  18.097928   7.0   7.0
    
            Prob 
    Match   0.92   
    3 Sets  0.59
    4 Sets  0.28
    5 Sets  0.05
    But San Diego is playing significantly better than their 37 ranking suggests. I think they are playing more like the a 20-25 ranked team. Assuming they are really 20th in quality we get the following:

    Code:
            Prob 
    Match  0.874
    3 Sets 0.502
    4 Sets 0.309
    5 Sets 0.063
    Last edited by pelagius; 09-30-2018 at 07:28 PM.

  15. #105
    Senior Member Goatnapper'96's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    God's Country!
    Posts
    9,762

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by KillerDog View Post
    3 of the top four have BYU head coaches and the 4th has a BYU assistant.
    Hambly was from my home burgh. Good kid. We pummeled his team in the Deacons Hoop Tourney.
    Do Your Damnedest In An Ostentatious Manner All The Time!
    -General George S. Patton

    I'm choosing to mostly ignore your fatuity here and instead overwhelm you with so much data that you'll maybe, just maybe, realize that you have reams to read on this subject before you can contribute meaningfully to any conversation on this topic.
    -DOCTOR Wuap

  16. #106

  17. #107

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    Link to tonight's stream (7PM PDT): https://player.watchstadium.com/65/i...type=liveevent
    pel, any trick to making by the stream work? Mine says “video not available at the moment.”

    EDIT: nm. we got it figured out
    Last edited by Donuthole; 10-05-2018 at 07:36 PM.
    Prepare to put mustard on those words, for you will soon be consuming them, along with this slice of humble pie that comes direct from the oven of shame set at gas mark “egg on your face”! -- Moss

    There are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese. --Coach Finstock

  18. #108

    Default

    Yikes. Getting Utah Stated in the 2nd set.

  19. #109

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by LiveCoug View Post
    Yikes. Getting Utah Stated in the 2nd set.
    Sheesh. What a comeback. Knotted up at 24

  20. #110

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by LiveCoug View Post
    Sheesh. What a comeback. Knotted up at 24
    aaaaandddd... can't complete it.. bummer.

  21. #111

    Default

    Wait. I thought USD was supposed to be one of the good WCC teams? They have a losing record?

  22. #112

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by LiveCoug View Post
    Wait. I thought USD was supposed to be one of the good WCC teams? They have a losing record?
    Very hard pre-conference schedule. But they are definitely down this year. After the SDSU loss on Tuesday my computer model had them ranked at 56. So they are a solid club, but not great. They remind me a little of Utah this year. Both at times will play really well, but then they also will have major lapses like losing to SDSU.

  23. #113

    Default

    My statistical model with data through matches on Sunday. First, the top 30:

    Code:
                        team  rating  win  loss
    1                     BYU   25.16   16     0
    2                Stanford   24.56   14     1
    3               Minnesota   23.82   12     2
    4                Nebraska   23.18   14     2
    5               Wisconsin   22.85   11     3
    6                Illinois   22.79   15     2
    7              Pittsburgh   22.26   17     0
    8                Penn St.   21.95   13     3
    9                   Texas   21.67   10     3
    10               Kentucky   21.52   10     4
    11         Washington St.   21.48   13     3
    12               Michigan   21.43   15     2
    13    Southern California   21.38   12     5
    14                 Oregon   21.31   11     5
    15              Creighton   20.87   14     4
    16                Florida   20.56   15     3
    17               Cal Poly   20.55   16     1
    18              Marquette   20.02   14     4
    19             Louisville   19.89   13     4
    20                    UNI   19.82   12     6
    21             Washington   19.82   12     4
    22            Florida St.   19.69    9     7
    23             Pepperdine   19.62   12     5
    24                 Purdue   19.49   14     3
    25           Illinois St.   19.31   13     5
    26                Arizona   19.29   14     4
    27                Georgia   19.18   12     5
    28               Colorado   19.14   10     7
    29         South Carolina   19.10   14     2
    30                   Utah   19.04    9     8
    Now for just WCC teams:

    Code:
                      team  rating  win  loss
    1                  BYU   25.16   16     0
    23          Pepperdine   19.62   12     5
    35    Loyola Marymount   18.74   15     3
    45            Portland   18.39   14     4
    56           San Diego   17.98    7     9
    78   Saint Mary's (CA)   16.79   11     5
    102            Pacific   15.92    6    11
    103            Gonzaga   15.83    6    11
    141      San Francisco   14.63    8     9
    175        Santa Clara   13.56    5    13
    An finally BYU and its opponents so far:

    Code:
                        team  rating  win  loss
    1                    BYU   25.16   16     0
    2               Stanford   24.56   14     1
    13   Southern California   21.38   12     5
    18             Marquette   20.02   14     4
    23            Pepperdine   19.62   12     5
    30                  Utah   19.04    9     8
    45              Portland   18.39   14     4
    52                  Duke   18.05    8     7
    56             San Diego   17.98    7     9
    58              Syracuse   17.90    9     5
    73           Wichita St.   16.99    8     8
    78     Saint Mary's (CA)   16.79   11     5
    102              Pacific   15.92    6    11
    103              Gonzaga   15.83    6    11
    111            Weber St.   15.58   10     5
    146        West Virginia   14.48    8     9

  24. #114
    Pre-Historic Man
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Allendale County, SC
    Posts
    11,270

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    Very hard pre-conference schedule. But they are definitely down this year. After the SDSU loss on Tuesday my computer model had them ranked at 56. So they are a solid club, but not great. They remind me a little of Utah this year. Both at times will play really well, but then they also will have major lapses like losing to SDSU.
    Is LMU about the only remaining challenge in conference? Not saying a bonehead loss isn't a possibility but the chances of going without a loss appear to be increasingly good.
    "Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."

    Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.

  25. #115

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Topper View Post
    Is LMU about the only remaining challenge in conference? Not saying a bonehead loss isn't a possibility but the chances of going without a loss appear to be increasingly good.
    I would have LMU on the road, Pepperdine at home, and Portland on the road as all about the same probability of a loss: somewhere between 7%-9%. Probability you lose at least one of those matches is in the lowish 20 percents.
    Last edited by pelagius; 10-11-2018 at 12:14 PM.

  26. #116

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Topper View Post
    Is LMU about the only remaining challenge in conference? Not saying a bonehead loss isn't a possibility but the chances of going without a loss appear to be increasingly good.
    This squad has got this shit on LOCK.

  27. #117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by wally View Post
    This squad has got this shit on LOCK.
    TURNCOAT!!!!

  28. #118
    Pre-Historic Man
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Allendale County, SC
    Posts
    11,270

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pelagius View Post
    I would have LMU on the road, Pepperdine at home, and Portland on the road as all about the same probability of a loss: somewhere between 7%-9%. Probability you lose at least one of those matches is in the lowish 20 percents.
    Last night was a ho-hum type of three set win. Even though Miller scored the most points, she had a lot of mishits as well. Except for the first set, BYU didn't play well.

    LMU on the road is the last match of the regular season. That could be a trap.
    "Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."

    Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.

  29. #119
    Pre-Historic Man
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Allendale County, SC
    Posts
    11,270

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Applejack View Post
    TURNCOAT!!!!

    He is a BYU volleyball fan. Don't you see his postings of volleytalk?
    "Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."

    Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.

  30. #120

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Topper View Post
    Last night was a ho-hum type of three set win. Even though Miller scored the most points, she had a lot of mishits as well. Except for the first set, BYU didn't play well.

    LMU on the road is the last match of the regular season. That could be a trap.
    They did not play well at all ... passing was off and I think Eppoch was off too (and she's been great most of the season ... I think she's been playing like a top 5 setter this year ... not as good as Minnesota's setter but quite good).

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •