2017-2018 NCAA Hoops Thread

[BigPiney]

I know this is my constant rant but I swear I will never understand benching players for foul trouble.

Tennessee has one of their best players Schofield get his 4th foul so they bench him — “Gotta sit him” the announcers agree. While he’s sitting Loyola’s win probability goes from 70% to 95%. Uhh... most games aren’t decided in the last few minutes.

Have you read "Scorecasting"?

They make the same point and back it up with data. Really interesting book.

[Pelado]

https://www.yahoo.com/amphtml/sports...mpression=true

Really liked items 27 and 28:

27. If your school is here despite not playing big-time football, add 10 points for resourcefulness.

Score: Loyola 200, Villanova 35, Michigan 20, Kansas minus-5.

28. If your school is cashing huge football revenue checks without adding a cent of gridiron value to its conference, deduct 10 points for stealing.

Score: Loyola 200, Villanova 35, Michigan 20, Kansas minus-15.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

[LiveCoug]

Went ahead and pulled the trigger on a ticket for the final tomorrow. I'm excited!

[pelagius]

Have you read "Scorecasting"?

They make the same point and back it up with data. Really interesting book.

It's weird, I know the intellectual history of this (I think):

Dick Thaler used to rant about this back in the day (as least as early as 2001 in a Behavioral Finance course I took from him at UChicago) -> Toby (coauthor) was a young faculty member at Chicago back then -> eventually makes it into scorecasting.