Final Prediction Contest Results for 2016 Season

[pelagius]

It was very close but Sleeping wins by just edging out SteelBlue:

                     rank   points  win      mov       df  games
poster                                                           
Sleeping in EQ         1.0  766.025  204  128.320  433.705     13
SteelBlue              2.0  756.285  170  115.680  470.605     13
hostile                3.0  747.551  204  136.960  406.591     13
originalsocal          4.0  671.562  153   90.880  427.682     13
Topper                 5.0  670.408  153  117.707  399.701     13
Flystripper            6.0  665.854  170  129.920  365.934     13
Donuthole              7.0  657.932  153  123.733  381.199     12
cougjunkie             8.0  657.828  136   74.240  447.588     12
Bo Diddley             9.0  652.651  153  116.800  382.851     13
Jeff Lebowski         10.0  651.714  153  124.480  374.234     13
Parrot Head           11.0  623.183  153   88.640  381.543     13
The_Douger            12.0  622.982  153   86.027  383.956     13
beefytee              13.0  582.517  153   97.920  331.597     13
Joe Public            14.0  581.018  153  112.213  315.804     13
Uncle Ted             15.0  577.580  119   94.400  364.180     12
creekster             16.0  576.562  153   86.080  337.482     13
Paperback Writer      17.0  566.228  153   87.680  325.548     13
Green Monstah         18.0  560.445  153   76.480  330.965     12
Blueintheface         19.0  550.685  153  114.400  283.285     13
Pelado                20.0  540.442  153   82.507  304.935     13
SCcoug                21.0  539.222  153   38.880  347.342     13
All-American          22.0  538.780  153   63.733  322.047     13
Non Sequitur          23.0  534.204  153   98.933  282.270     11
Clark Addison         24.0  531.525  153   56.053  322.472     13
LiveCoug              25.0  528.027  153   48.693  326.334     12
CJF                   26.0  524.310  136   75.840  312.470     12
Sullyute              27.0  522.443  153  101.280  268.163     12
PaloAltoCougar        28.0  508.075  153   86.667  268.408     12
Y84it                 29.0  504.152  119   65.493  319.659     11
BigFatMeanie          30.0  474.090  136   81.653  256.437     12
byu71                 31.0  467.773  119   91.787  256.986     11
Copelius              32.0  466.946  153   31.200  282.746     13
BigPiney              33.0  462.635  136   67.307  259.328     10
DrumNFeather          34.0  447.645  170   61.707  215.938     13
New Mexican Disaster  35.0  417.301  102   43.680  271.621     10
Nakoma                36.0  405.530   85   68.747  251.784      9
falafel               37.0  398.929  102   55.573  241.356     10
Color Me Badd Fan     38.0  397.891   68   94.293  235.597      8
Omaha 680             39.0  365.677  119   40.587  206.090     11
TexTechCoug           40.0  358.056  136   23.680  198.376     10
chrisrenrut           41.0  332.345  119   50.987  162.359      8
Moliere               42.0  282.943  153   41.493   88.450     13
Applejack             43.0  267.652  102   46.133  119.519      8
LVAllen               44.0  256.166   51   38.933  166.233     13
RC Vikings            45.0  248.608   85   25.707  137.902      6
San Juan Sun          46.0  237.092   68   64.213  104.878      7
OceanBlue             47.0  219.954   68   48.320  103.634      6
eldiente              48.0  155.710   34   12.000  109.710      5
Lost Student          49.0  148.634   17   24.533  107.100      4
wally                 50.0  142.727   34   47.787   60.940      4
Goatnapper'96         51.0   88.465   17   14.133   57.331      2
HuskyFreeNorthwest    52.0   87.885   17   19.093   51.792      4
mpfunk                53.0   76.532   17   11.627   47.905      2
clackamascoug         54.0   74.917   17   13.867   44.051      1
imanihonjin           55.0   72.128   17    1.333   53.795      2
snowcat               56.0   71.698   17    0.000   54.698      3
CardiacCoug           57.0   63.410   17   14.933   31.476      2
Commando              58.0   62.992   34    0.000   28.992      3
thesaint258           59.0   61.795   17    6.613   38.181      1
wapiti                60.0   55.535   17    0.000   38.535      2
arizonaute            61.0   52.656   17    0.000   35.656      1
Borg                  62.0   49.723   17    0.000   32.723      1
Jarid in Cedar        63.0   45.224   17    2.667   25.557      2
FN Phat               64.0   43.316   17    0.000   26.316      1
old_gregg             65.0   42.960   34    8.960    0.000      3
Shaka                 66.0   27.133   17   10.133    0.000      1
BlueK                 67.0   23.449   17    0.000    6.449      1
Katy Lied             68.0   17.000   17    0.000    0.000      1
wuapinmon             69.0    3.033    0    0.000    3.033      1

[pelagius]

For just the bowl game, Non Sequitur produced a perfect prediction:

                  rank   points  win     mov      df  bpred  opred
poster                                                            
Non Sequitur       1.0  100.000   17  16.000  67.000   24.0   21.0
SteelBlue          2.0   86.353   17  11.733  57.620   24.0   17.0
originalsocal      3.0   80.062   17   7.787  55.275   27.0   17.0
Pelado             4.0   74.077   17  14.933  42.144   30.0   26.0
Sleeping in EQ     5.0   71.496   17  11.733  42.763   31.0   24.0
Donuthole          6.0   69.592   17  14.933  37.659   31.0   27.0
Flystripper        7.0   68.495   17  16.000  35.495   31.0   28.0
Paperback Writer   8.0   59.675   17   1.333  41.342   31.0   17.0
cougjunkie         8.0   59.675   17   1.333  41.342   28.0   14.0
Uncle Ted         10.0   59.358   17   4.000  38.358   33.0   21.0
hostile           11.0   58.619   17  11.733  29.886   34.0   27.0
Topper            11.0   58.619   17  11.733  29.886   34.0   27.0
Parrot Head       13.0   58.560   17   7.787  33.774   34.0   24.0
Jeff Lebowski     13.0   58.560   17   7.787  33.774   34.0   24.0
The_Douger        15.0   58.142   17   1.333  39.809   27.0   13.0
Joe Public        16.0   54.777   17  16.000  21.777   34.0   31.0
Bo Diddley        17.0   54.327   17   6.613  30.714   35.0   24.0
byu71             18.0   46.278   17  10.133  19.145   37.0   29.0
Sullyute          19.0   42.835   17   6.613  19.222   38.0   27.0
creekster         20.0   41.365   17   0.000  24.365   31.0   10.0
BigPiney          21.0   39.879   17   8.960  13.919   39.0   30.0
PaloAltoCougar    22.0   39.698   17   1.333  21.365   38.0   24.0
SCcoug            23.0   39.110   17   0.000  22.110   38.0   21.0
LVAllen           24.0   35.495    0   0.000  35.495   17.0   28.0
DrumNFeather      25.0   31.459   17   0.000  14.459   41.0   24.0
CJF               25.0   31.459   17   0.000  14.459   41.0   24.0
Blueintheface     27.0   28.157   17   2.667   8.490   41.0   28.0
LiveCoug          28.0   26.627   17   0.000   9.627   42.0   20.0
All-American      29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   54.0   13.0
Moliere           29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   57.0   34.0
beefytee          29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   45.0   28.0
Copelius          29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   45.0   17.0
Clark Addison     29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   49.0    7.0
wapiti            29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   45.0   12.0

[pelagius]

Final standings sorted by poster name:

                      rank   points  win      mov       df  games
poster                                                           
All-American          22.0  538.780  153   63.733  322.047     13
Applejack             43.0  267.652  102   46.133  119.519      8
arizonaute            61.0   52.656   17    0.000   35.656      1
beefytee              13.0  582.517  153   97.920  331.597     13
BigFatMeanie          30.0  474.090  136   81.653  256.437     12
BigPiney              33.0  462.635  136   67.307  259.328     10
Blueintheface         19.0  550.685  153  114.400  283.285     13
BlueK                 67.0   23.449   17    0.000    6.449      1
Bo Diddley             9.0  652.651  153  116.800  382.851     13
Borg                  62.0   49.723   17    0.000   32.723      1
byu71                 31.0  467.773  119   91.787  256.986     11
CardiacCoug           57.0   63.410   17   14.933   31.476      2
chrisrenrut           41.0  332.345  119   50.987  162.359      8
CJF                   26.0  524.310  136   75.840  312.470     12
clackamascoug         54.0   74.917   17   13.867   44.051      1
Clark Addison         24.0  531.525  153   56.053  322.472     13
Color Me Badd Fan     38.0  397.891   68   94.293  235.597      8
Commando              58.0   62.992   34    0.000   28.992      3
Copelius              32.0  466.946  153   31.200  282.746     13
cougjunkie             8.0  657.828  136   74.240  447.588     12
creekster             16.0  576.562  153   86.080  337.482     13
Donuthole              7.0  657.932  153  123.733  381.199     12
DrumNFeather          34.0  447.645  170   61.707  215.938     13
eldiente              48.0  155.710   34   12.000  109.710      5
falafel               37.0  398.929  102   55.573  241.356     10
Flystripper            6.0  665.854  170  129.920  365.934     13
FN Phat               64.0   43.316   17    0.000   26.316      1
Goatnapper'96         51.0   88.465   17   14.133   57.331      2
Green Monstah         18.0  560.445  153   76.480  330.965     12
hostile                3.0  747.551  204  136.960  406.591     13
HuskyFreeNorthwest    52.0   87.885   17   19.093   51.792      4
imanihonjin           55.0   72.128   17    1.333   53.795      2
Jarid in Cedar        63.0   45.224   17    2.667   25.557      2
Jeff Lebowski         10.0  651.714  153  124.480  374.234     13
Joe Public            14.0  581.018  153  112.213  315.804     13
Katy Lied             68.0   17.000   17    0.000    0.000      1
LiveCoug              25.0  528.027  153   48.693  326.334     12
Lost Student          49.0  148.634   17   24.533  107.100      4
LVAllen               44.0  256.166   51   38.933  166.233     13
Moliere               42.0  282.943  153   41.493   88.450     13
mpfunk                53.0   76.532   17   11.627   47.905      2
Nakoma                36.0  405.530   85   68.747  251.784      9
New Mexican Disaster  35.0  417.301  102   43.680  271.621     10
Non Sequitur          23.0  534.204  153   98.933  282.270     11
OceanBlue             47.0  219.954   68   48.320  103.634      6
old_gregg             65.0   42.960   34    8.960    0.000      3
Omaha 680             39.0  365.677  119   40.587  206.090     11
originalsocal          4.0  671.562  153   90.880  427.682     13
PaloAltoCougar        28.0  508.075  153   86.667  268.408     12
Paperback Writer      17.0  566.228  153   87.680  325.548     13
Parrot Head           11.0  623.183  153   88.640  381.543     13
Pelado                20.0  540.442  153   82.507  304.935     13
RC Vikings            45.0  248.608   85   25.707  137.902      6
San Juan Sun          46.0  237.092   68   64.213  104.878      7
SCcoug                21.0  539.222  153   38.880  347.342     13
Shaka                 66.0   27.133   17   10.133    0.000      1
Sleeping in EQ         1.0  766.025  204  128.320  433.705     13
snowcat               56.0   71.698   17    0.000   54.698      3
SteelBlue              2.0  756.285  170  115.680  470.605     13
Sullyute              27.0  522.443  153  101.280  268.163     12
TexTechCoug           40.0  358.056  136   23.680  198.376     10
The_Douger            12.0  622.982  153   86.027  383.956     13
thesaint258           59.0   61.795   17    6.613   38.181      1
Topper                 5.0  670.408  153  117.707  399.701     13
Uncle Ted             15.0  577.580  119   94.400  364.180     12
wally                 50.0  142.727   34   47.787   60.940      4
wapiti                60.0   55.535   17    0.000   38.535      2
wuapinmon             69.0    3.033    0    0.000    3.033      1
Y84it                 29.0  504.152  119   65.493  319.659     11 

                  rank   points  win     mov      df  bpred  opred
poster                                                            
Non Sequitur       1.0  100.000   17  16.000  67.000   24.0   21.0
SteelBlue          2.0   86.353   17  11.733  57.620   24.0   17.0
originalsocal      3.0   80.062   17   7.787  55.275   27.0   17.0
Pelado             4.0   74.077   17  14.933  42.144   30.0   26.0
Sleeping in EQ     5.0   71.496   17  11.733  42.763   31.0   24.0
Donuthole          6.0   69.592   17  14.933  37.659   31.0   27.0
Flystripper        7.0   68.495   17  16.000  35.495   31.0   28.0
Paperback Writer   8.0   59.675   17   1.333  41.342   31.0   17.0
cougjunkie         8.0   59.675   17   1.333  41.342   28.0   14.0
Uncle Ted         10.0   59.358   17   4.000  38.358   33.0   21.0
hostile           11.0   58.619   17  11.733  29.886   34.0   27.0
Topper            11.0   58.619   17  11.733  29.886   34.0   27.0
Parrot Head       13.0   58.560   17   7.787  33.774   34.0   24.0
Jeff Lebowski     13.0   58.560   17   7.787  33.774   34.0   24.0
The_Douger        15.0   58.142   17   1.333  39.809   27.0   13.0
Joe Public        16.0   54.777   17  16.000  21.777   34.0   31.0
Bo Diddley        17.0   54.327   17   6.613  30.714   35.0   24.0
byu71             18.0   46.278   17  10.133  19.145   37.0   29.0
Sullyute          19.0   42.835   17   6.613  19.222   38.0   27.0
creekster         20.0   41.365   17   0.000  24.365   31.0   10.0
BigPiney          21.0   39.879   17   8.960  13.919   39.0   30.0
PaloAltoCougar    22.0   39.698   17   1.333  21.365   38.0   24.0
SCcoug            23.0   39.110   17   0.000  22.110   38.0   21.0
LVAllen           24.0   35.495    0   0.000  35.495   17.0   28.0
DrumNFeather      25.0   31.459   17   0.000  14.459   41.0   24.0
CJF               25.0   31.459   17   0.000  14.459   41.0   24.0
Blueintheface     27.0   28.157   17   2.667   8.490   41.0   28.0
LiveCoug          28.0   26.627   17   0.000   9.627   42.0   20.0
All-American      29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   54.0   13.0
Moliere           29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   57.0   34.0
beefytee          29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   45.0   28.0
Copelius          29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   45.0   17.0
Clark Addison     29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   49.0    7.0
wapiti            29.0   17.000   17   0.000   0.000   45.0   12.0

[Donuthole]

Intentionally finishing in 69th was pretty clever on wuap's part.

[pelagius]

[pelagius]

[Bo Diddley]

CJ & DH showing off what they can do with only 12 games.

[hostile]

Happy with 3rd place. Not good enough for a parade though.

[Topper]

Top Five is a decent showing even if it is not on the podium. Good job SIEQ.

[originalsocal]

Does 4th place get anything?

[Pelado]

Does 4th place get anything?

A great view of hostile's backside.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

[Clark Addison]

24th place. Right in the meaty part of the curve.

[Sleeping in EQ]

My method is so anti-scientific that it's kind of stunning that it works.

[SteelBlue]

First loser!

[Topper]

My method is so anti-scientific that it's kind of stunning that it works.

I was certain that you were employing some game theory techniques. I'd be shocked if pelagius didn't do that.