Originally posted by creekster
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Comrade Trump
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Ain't it like most people, I'm no different. We love to talk on things we don't know about.
"The only one of us who is so significant that Jeff owes us something simply because he decided to grace us with his presence is falafel." -- All-American
GIVE 'EM HELL, BRIGHAM!
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Originally posted by falafel View PostI heard a former CIA director on the radio today (can't remember which one) suggest that only response should be a non-public one. So, according to this guy, if the U.S. does anything, we should never know about it.PLesa excuse the tpyos.
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Originally posted by falafel View PostI heard a former CIA director on the radio today (can't remember which one) suggest that only response should be a non-public one. So, according to this guy, if the U.S. does anything, we should never know about it.Get confident, stupid
-landpoke
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Maybe I'm oversimplifying things, but I just don't get it.
So - the Russians took and leaked some emails. Allegedly.
I can agree that some of Hillary's emails may have influenced some voters. But no one is saying that the Russians invented anything, or hacked voting machines, or forced anyone to do anything.
Sure - be pissed that they hacked and then played us (or the DNC, whatever).
But how is this so much different than when other secret recordings, emails, or other documents are released? Is it really different because a Russian did it instead of an American? What about if a Brit tried to influence US elections? Do guys like Piers Morgan or John Oliver count? I kinda tend to think they have big audiences AND attempted to influence the US elections.
I'm just having a hard time getting as angry as I'm seeing others get.
Sure - be pissed that they are hacking our political organizations and fix our systems to keep them out. But do people really think that this is the first time some one from outside the US has attempted to influence a US election?
Heck - I'll bet our government is attempting to influence other countries' elections from time to time as well. Pretty naive to think there wouldn't be someone out there returning the favor.
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Originally posted by Eddie View PostMaybe I'm oversimplifying things, but I just don't get it.
So - the Russians took and leaked some emails. Allegedly.
I can agree that some of Hillary's emails may have influenced some voters. But no one is saying that the Russians invented anything, or hacked voting machines, or forced anyone to do anything.
Sure - be pissed that they hacked and then played us (or the DNC, whatever).
But how is this so much different than when other secret recordings, emails, or other documents are released? Is it really different because a Russian did it instead of an American? What about if a Brit tried to influence US elections? Do guys like Piers Morgan or John Oliver count? I kinda tend to think they have big audiences AND attempted to influence the US elections.
I'm just having a hard time getting as angry as I'm seeing others get.
Sure - be pissed that they are hacking our political organizations and fix our systems to keep them out. But do people really think that this is the first time some one from outside the US has attempted to influence a US election?
Heck - I'll bet our government is attempting to influence other countries' elections from time to time as well. Pretty naive to think there wouldn't be someone out there returning the favor.
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Originally posted by Eddie View PostMaybe I'm oversimplifying things, but I just don't get it.
So - the Russians took and leaked some emails. Allegedly.
I can agree that some of Hillary's emails may have influenced some voters. But no one is saying that the Russians invented anything, or hacked voting machines, or forced anyone to do anything.
Sure - be pissed that they hacked and then played us (or the DNC, whatever).
But how is this so much different than when other secret recordings, emails, or other documents are released? Is it really different because a Russian did it instead of an American? What about if a Brit tried to influence US elections? Do guys like Piers Morgan or John Oliver count? I kinda tend to think they have big audiences AND attempted to influence the US elections.
I'm just having a hard time getting as angry as I'm seeing others get.
Sure - be pissed that they are hacking our political organizations and fix our systems to keep them out. But do people really think that this is the first time some one from outside the US has attempted to influence a US election?
Heck - I'll bet our government is attempting to influence other countries' elections from time to time as well. Pretty naive to think there wouldn't be someone out there returning the favor.
Also:
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Originally posted by Eddie View PostMaybe I'm oversimplifying things, but I just don't get it.
So - the Russians took and leaked some emails. Allegedly.
I can agree that some of Hillary's emails may have influenced some voters. But no one is saying that the Russians invented anything, or hacked voting machines, or forced anyone to do anything.
Sure - be pissed that they hacked and then played us (or the DNC, whatever).
But how is this so much different than when other secret recordings, emails, or other documents are released? Is it really different because a Russian did it instead of an American? What about if a Brit tried to influence US elections? Do guys like Piers Morgan or John Oliver count? I kinda tend to think they have big audiences AND attempted to influence the US elections.
I'm just having a hard time getting as angry as I'm seeing others get.
Sure - be pissed that they are hacking our political organizations and fix our systems to keep them out. But do people really think that this is the first time some one from outside the US has attempted to influence a US election?
Heck - I'll bet our government is attempting to influence other countries' elections from time to time as well. Pretty naive to think there wouldn't be someone out there returning the favor.
Yeah, the Liberals have the long term memory of a gold fish... Remember when the "Russians" made that secret recording of RMoney talking about the "47 percent"?...
Damn Rooskies!"If there is one thing I am, it's always right." -Ted Nugent.
"I honestly believe saying someone is a smart lawyer is damning with faint praise. The smartest people become engineers and scientists." -SU.
"Yet I still see wisdom in that which Uncle Ted posts." -creek.
GIVE 'EM HELL, BRIGHAM!
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Originally posted by Crockett View PostThe story should be about how careless and inept Democrats are with sensitive information. From Hillary's self-serving home server that risked a lot of national secrets and was determined to have been repeatedly hacked by several entities to how the DNC couldn't secure it's email either. The RNC said that attempts were made to hack their email, but they were repelled. The RNC is better run. (Will also be run by a BYU grad now, btw.)
Also:
"Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."
Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.
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Finally, Obama is going to take action!
Obama says ‘we will’ retaliate against Russia for election hacking
President Obama said the United States will retaliate against Russia over its malicious cyberactivity during this year's election, in an interview that will air Friday on NPR.
“I think there is no doubt that when any foreign government tries to impact the integrity of our elections . . . we need to take action,” the president said. “And we will — at a time and place of our own choosing. Some of it may be explicit and publicized; some of it may not be.”
Russia is soooooo gonna get there's.Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!!
For all this His anger is not turned away, but His hand is stretched out still.
Not long ago an obituary appeared in the Salt Lake Tribune that said the recently departed had "died doing what he enjoyed most—watching BYU lose."
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Originally posted by frank ryan View PostHey, how about not always so damn condescending and snarky toward me?You're actually pretty funny when you aren't being a complete a-hole....so basically like 5% of the time. --Art Vandelay
Almost everything you post is snarky, smug, condescending, or just downright mean-spirited. --Jeffrey Lebowski
Anyone can make war, but only the most courageous can make peace. --President Donald J. Trump
You furnish the pictures, and I’ll furnish the war. --William Randolph Hearst
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This is probably the best (e.g least partisan) summary I've read about "what we know" with regard to the origin of the DNC and Podesta leaks.
Spoiler alert... it's not as bad as Frank thinks it is. *shocker*
<https://theintercept.com/2016/12/14/...ts-not-enough/>
HERE’S THE PUBLIC EVIDENCE RUSSIA HACKED THE DNC — IT’S NOT ENOUGH
There are some good reasons to believe Russians had something to do with the breaches into email accounts belonging to members of the Democratic party, which proved varyingly embarrassing or disruptive for Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign. But “good” doesn’t necessarily mean good enough to indict Russia’s head of state for sabotaging our democracy.
There’s a lot of evidence from the attack on the table, mostly detailing how the hack was perpetrated, and possibly the language of the perpetrators. It certainly remains plausible that Russians hacked the DNC, and remains possible that Russia itself ordered it. But the refrain of Russian attribution has been repeated so regularly and so emphatically that it’s become easy to forget that no one has ever truly proven the claim. There is strong evidence indicating that Democratic email accounts were breached via phishing messages, and that specific malware was spread across DNC computers. There’s even evidence that the attackers are the same group that’s been spotted attacking other targets in the past. But again: No one has actually proven that group is the Russian government (or works for it). This remains the enormous inductive leap that’s not been reckoned with, and Americans deserve better.
We should also bear in mind that private security firm CrowdStrike’s frequently cited findings of Russian responsibility were essentially paid for by the DNC, which contracted its services in June. It’s highly unusual for evidence of a crime to be assembled on the victim’s dime. If we’re going to blame the Russian government for disrupting our presidential election — easily construed as an act of war — we need to be damn sure of every single shred of evidence. Guesswork and assumption could be disastrous.
The gist of the Case Against Russia goes like this: The person or people who infiltrated the DNC’s email system and the account of John Podesta left behind clues of varying technical specificity indicating they have some connection to Russia, or at least speak Russian. Guccifer 2.0, the entity that originally distributed hacked materials from the Democratic party, is a deeply suspicious figure who has made statements and decisions that indicate some Russian connection. The website DCLeaks, which began publishing a great number of DNC emails, has some apparent ties to Guccifer and possibly Russia. And then there’s WikiLeaks, which after a long, sad slide into paranoia, conspiracy theorizing, and general internet toxicity has made no attempt to mask its affection for Vladimir Putin and its crazed contempt for Hillary Clinton. (Julian Assange has been stuck indoors for a very, very long time.) If you look at all of this and sort of squint, it looks quite strong indeed, an insurmountable heap of circumstantial evidence too great in volume to dismiss as just circumstantial or mere coincidence.
But look more closely at the above and you can’t help but notice all of the qualifying words: Possibly, appears, connects, indicates. It’s impossible (or at least dishonest) to present the evidence for Russian responsibility for hacking the Democrats without using language like this. The question, then, is this: Do we want to make major foreign policy decisions with a belligerent nuclear power based on suggestions alone, no matter how strong?
What We Know
So far, all of the evidence pointing to Russia’s involvement in the Democratic hacks (DNC, DCCC, Podesta, et al.) comes from either private security firms (like CrowdStrike or FireEye) who sell cyber-defense services to other companies, or independent researchers, some with university affiliations and serious credentials, and some who are basically just Guys on Twitter. Although some of these private firms groups had proprietary access to DNC computers or files from them, much of the evidence has been drawn from publicly available data like the hacked emails and documents.
Some of the malware found on DNC computers is believed to be the same as that used by two hacking groups believed to be Russian intelligence units, codenamed APT (Advanced Persistent Threat) 28/Fancy Bear and APT 29/Cozy Bear by industry researchers who track them.
- The attacker or attackers registered a deliberately misspelled domain name used for email phishing attacks against DNC employees, connected to an IP address associated with APT 28/Fancy Bear.
- Malware found on the DNC computers was programmed to communicate with an IP address associated with APT 28/Fancy Bear.
- Metadata in a file leaked by “Guccifer 2.0″ shows it was modified by a user called, in cyrillic, “Felix Edmundovich,” a reference to the founder of a Soviet-era secret police force. Another document contained cyrillic metadata indicating it had been edited on a document with Russian language settings.
- Peculiarities in a conversation with “Guccifer 2.0″ that Motherboard published in June suggests he is not Romanian, as he originally claimed.
- The DCLeaks.com domain was registered by a person using the same email service as the person who registered a misspelled domain used to send phishing emails to DNC employees.
- Some of the phishing emails were sent using Yandex, a Moscow-based webmail provider.
- A bit.ly link believed to have been used by APT 28/Fancy Bear in the past was also used against Podesta.
Why That Isn’t Enough
Viewed as a whole, the above evidence looks strong, and maybe even damning. But view each piece on its own, and it’s hard to feel impressed.
For one, a lot of the so-called evidence above is no such thing. CrowdStrike, whose claims of Russian responsibility are perhaps most influential throughout the media, says APT 28/Fancy Bear “is known for its technique of registering domains that closely resemble domains of legitimate organizations they plan to target.” But this isn’t a Russian technique any more than using a computer is a Russian technique — misspelled domains are a cornerstone of phishing attacks all over the world. Is Yandex — the Russian equivalent of Google — some sort of giveaway? Anyone who claimed a hacker must be a CIA agent because they used a Gmail account would be laughed off the internet. We must also acknowledge that just because Guccifer 2.0 pretended to be Romanian, we can’t conclude he works for the Russian government — it just makes him a liar.
Next, consider the fact that CrowdStrike describes APT 28 and 29 like this:
Their tradecraft is superb, operational security second to none and the extensive usage of “living-off-the-land” techniques enables them to easily bypass many security solutions they encounter. In particular, we identified advanced methods consistent with nation-state level capabilities including deliberate targeting and “access management” tradecraft — both groups were constantly going back into the environment to change out their implants, modify persistent methods, move to new Command & Control channels and perform other tasks to try to stay ahead of being detected.
Compare that description to CrowdStrike’s claim it was able to finger APT 28 and 29, described above as digital spies par excellence, because they were so incredibly sloppy. Would a group whose “tradecraft is superb” with “operational security second to none” really leave behind the name of a Soviet spy chief imprinted on a document it sent to American journalists? Would these groups really be dumb enough to leave cyrillic comments on these documents? Would these groups that “constantly [go] back into the environment to change out their implants, modify persistent methods, move to new Command & Control channels” get caught because they precisely didn’t make sure not to use IP addresses they’d been associated before? It’s very hard to buy the argument that the Democrats were hacked by one of the most sophisticated, diabolical foreign intelligence services in history, and that we know this because they screwed up over and over again.
[...]
Truly, the argument that “Guccifer 2.0″ is a Kremlin agent or that GRU breached John Podesta’s email only works if you presume that APT 28/Fancy Bear is a unit of the Russian government, a fact that has never been proven beyond any reasonable doubt. According to Carr, “it’s an old assumption going back years to when any attack against a non-financial target was attributed to a state actor.” Without that premise, all we can truly conclude is that some email accounts at the DNC et al. appear to have been broken into by someone, and perhaps they speak Russian. Left ignored is the mammoth difference between Russians and Russia.
[...]
We Need the Real Evidence, Right Now
It must be stated plainly: The U.S. intelligence community must make its evidence against Russia public if they want us to believe their claims. The integrity of our presidential elections is vital to the country’s survival; blind trust in the CIA is not. A governmental disclosure like this is also not entirely without precedent: In 2014, the Department of Justice produced a 56-page indictment detailing their exact evidence against a team of Chinese hackers working for the People’s Liberation Army, accused of stealing American trade secrets; each member was accused by name. The 2014 trade secret theft was a crime of much lower magnitude than election meddling, but what the DOJ furnished is what we should demand today from our country’s spies.
If the CIA does show its hand, we should demand to see the evidence that matters (which, according to Edward Snowden, the government probably has, if it exists). I asked Jeffrey Carr what he would consider undeniable evidence of Russian governmental involvement: “Captured communications between a Russian government employee and the hackers,” adding that attribution “should solely be handled by government agencies because they have the legal authorization to do what it takes to get hard evidence.”
Claudio Guarnieri concurred:
All in all, technical circumstantial attribution is acceptable only so far as it is to explain an attack. It most definitely isn’t for the political repercussions that we’re observing now. For that, only documental evidence that is verifiable or intercepts of Russian officials would be convincing enough, I suspect.
(Edit: Emphasis mine.)Last edited by Walter Sobchak; 12-16-2016, 02:30 PM.You're actually pretty funny when you aren't being a complete a-hole....so basically like 5% of the time. --Art Vandelay
Almost everything you post is snarky, smug, condescending, or just downright mean-spirited. --Jeffrey Lebowski
Anyone can make war, but only the most courageous can make peace. --President Donald J. Trump
You furnish the pictures, and I’ll furnish the war. --William Randolph Hearst
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Originally posted by Walter Sobchak View PostWhy should you be the exception?"There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
"It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
"Juilliardk N I ibuprofen Hyu I U unhurt u" - creekster
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Originally posted by Walter Sobchak View PostThis is probably the best (e.g least partisan) summary I've read about "what we know" with regard to the origin of the DNC and Podesta leaks.
Spoiler alert... it's not as bad as Frank thinks it is. *shocker*
<https://theintercept.com/2016/12/14/...ts-not-enough/>
(Edit: Emphasis mine.)
I've read that some what informed the agency's opinion that the Russian has come from other Western Intel agencies.
The Foundations of Geopolitics is required reading for members of Russia's vast intelligence apparatus and a lot of its strategy is consistent with Russia interfering in our elections.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/07/27/...destiny-putin/
http://www.centerforsecuritypolicy.o...tins-rasputin/
From the book: “The Eurasian Empire will be constructed on the fundamental principle of the common enemy: the rejection of Atlanticism, the strategic control of the USA, and the refusal to allow liberal values to dominate us,”
"It is especially important to introduce geopolitical disorder into internal American activity, encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident movements – extremist, racist, and sectarian groups, thus destabilizing internal political processes in the U.S. It would also make sense simultaneously to support isolationist tendencies in American politics"
Another obvious philosophical difference you and I have might speak a bit to my cynicism, but I don't think the US can find much common ground with Russia. I don't think friendship with them, under the rule of Putin, is achievable or particularly noble.
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The FBI shares the CIA's view that Putin intervened to help Trump get elected.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...=.4ad7a99adb6f
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Originally posted by frank ryan View PostThe FBI shares the CIA's view that Putin intervened to help Trump get elected.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...=.4ad7a99adb6f
colin_powell_un_testify_2003_ms.jpgLast edited by Topper; 12-17-2016, 06:30 AM."Guitar groups are on their way out, Mr Epstein."
Upon rejecting the Beatles, Dick Rowe told Brian Epstein of the January 1, 1962 audition for Decca, which signed Brian Poole and the Tremeloes instead.
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