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Utah Prediction Contest Results: UCLA Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: UCLA Game

    Overall standings as of the UCLA game:

    Code:
      |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   506.43    42.58    20    8.33   14.25      30      24 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   492.61    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |              hostile      3   487.24    47.38    20   11.67   15.71      31      23 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.      4   486.24    58.15    20   20.00   18.15      34      21 |
  |             USU Coug      5   485.30    56.67    20   16.67   20.00      31      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose      6   481.67    45.67    20   10.00   15.67      30      23 |
  |           BoylenOver      7   465.43    75.24    20   26.67   28.57      31      14 |
  |                byu71      8   461.52    49.20    20   10.00   19.20      27      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      9   451.61    35.42    20    0.00   15.42      17      16 |
  |            OrangeUte     10   441.84    86.37    20   36.67   29.70      35      12 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     11   440.20    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      24      10 |
  |             LiveCoug     12   436.12    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |             Sullyute     13   428.49    48.90    20    8.33   20.57      23      17 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   420.93    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      27      17 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     15   416.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     16   415.36    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      28      17 |
  |             Devildog     17   408.10    59.81    20   15.00   24.81      24      14 |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   405.02    51.37    20   10.00   21.37      24      17 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     19   398.61    61.28    20   16.67   24.61      27      16 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     20   396.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     21   391.76    40.30    20    3.33   16.96      17      14 |
  |                 Borg     22   390.38     6.13     0    0.00    6.13      20      27 |
  |               LA Ute     23   368.83    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      27      17 |
  |            Omaha 680     24   364.59    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      17      20 |
  |        Blueintheface     25   343.85    53.57    20   15.00   18.57      31      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            mr_thekid     26   333.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     27   333.04    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |        Clark Addison     28   332.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     29   330.96     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      24      27 |
  |            Donuthole     30   325.73        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     31   325.20     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      17      24 |
  |                wally     32   324.96        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     33   309.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     34   308.59    56.67    20   16.67   20.00      31      20 |
  |                  8BR     35   305.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     36   304.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     37   297.53    46.16    20    8.33   17.82      27      21 |
  |               Sizzle     38   293.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     39   273.81     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      21      31 |
  |             camleish     40   268.71    36.99    20    3.33   13.66      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     41   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     42   255.16     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      17      24 |
  |              FN Phat     43   254.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     44   253.86    10.69     0    0.00   10.69      17      21 |
  |              Spicoli     45   212.15    11.86     0    0.00   11.86      23      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     46   208.17    65.95    20   21.67   24.29      31      17 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     47   204.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri     48   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     49   185.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Eddie     50   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             BlueHair     51   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     52   172.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     53   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian     54   135.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     55   128.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           doctorcoug     56   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     57   112.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     58   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 woot     59   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     60   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Flattop     61   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     62   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     63    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     64    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     65    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     66    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     67    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     68    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     69    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     70    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      NorthwestUteFan     71    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     72    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     73    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     74    62.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     75    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     76    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         BlueNtheFace     77    59.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     78    59.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     79    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     80    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Green Monstah     81    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  Ute     82    42.64    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |            wuapinmon     83    33.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     84    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     85    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        atheistcougar     86    15.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            MarkGrace     87    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Aversator     88     9.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The Rambam     89     8.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Clueless     90     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     91     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | EuropeanFootballMale     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               FMCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          thesaint258     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Do Not Want!     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         San Juan Sun     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by UCLA game results:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     10   441.84    86.37    20   36.67   29.70      35      12 |
  |           BoylenOver      7   465.43    75.24    20   26.67   28.57      31      14 |
  |               DU Ute     11   440.20    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      24      10 |
  |              falafel     46   208.17    65.95    20   21.67   24.29      31      17 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     19   398.61    61.28    20   16.67   24.61      27      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     16   415.36    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      28      17 |
  |             Devildog     17   408.10    59.81    20   15.00   24.81      24      14 |
  |               LA Ute     23   368.83    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      27      17 |
  |         DrumNFeather     14   420.93    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      27      17 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.      4   486.24    58.15    20   20.00   18.15      34      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug      5   485.30    56.67    20   16.67   20.00      31      20 |
  |                  CJF     34   308.59    56.67    20   16.67   20.00      31      20 |
  |        Blueintheface     25   343.85    53.57    20   15.00   18.57      31      21 |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   405.02    51.37    20   10.00   21.37      24      17 |
  |                byu71      8   461.52    49.20    20   10.00   19.20      27      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     13   428.49    48.90    20    8.33   20.57      23      17 |
  |              hostile      3   487.24    47.38    20   11.67   15.71      31      23 |
  |           Joe Public     37   297.53    46.16    20    8.33   17.82      27      21 |
  |            bluegoose      6   481.67    45.67    20   10.00   15.67      30      23 |
  |              UteStar     27   333.04    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   492.61    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |             LiveCoug     12   436.12    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |                  Ute     82    42.64    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   506.43    42.58    20    8.33   14.25      30      24 |
  |             beefytee     21   391.76    40.30    20    3.33   16.96      17      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     40   268.71    36.99    20    3.33   13.66      27      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      9   451.61    35.42    20    0.00   15.42      17      16 |
  |              Spicoli     45   212.15    11.86     0    0.00   11.86      23      24 |
  |            Omaha 680     24   364.59    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      17      20 |
  |             happyone     44   253.86    10.69     0    0.00   10.69      17      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     29   330.96     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      24      27 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     42   255.16     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      17      24 |
  |              Moliere     31   325.20     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      17      24 |
  |                 Borg     22   390.38     6.13     0    0.00    6.13      20      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     39   273.81     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      21      31 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     35   305.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        atheistcougar     86    15.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Aversator     88     9.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     21   391.76    40.30    20    3.33   16.96      17      14 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   506.43    42.58    20    8.33   14.25      30      24 |
  |            bluegoose      6   481.67    45.67    20   10.00   15.67      30      23 |
  |             BlueHair     51   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     25   343.85    53.57    20   15.00   18.57      31      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     77    59.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     84    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     22   390.38     6.13     0    0.00    6.13      20      27 |
  |           BoylenOver      7   465.43    75.24    20   26.67   28.57      31      14 |
  |                Brian     54   135.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71      8   461.52    49.20    20   10.00   19.20      27      20 |
  |             camleish     40   268.71    36.99    20    3.33   13.66      27      24 |
  |          CardiacCoug     65    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     34   308.59    56.67    20   16.67   20.00      31      20 |
  |        Clark Addison     28   332.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Clueless     90     4.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     20   396.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     70    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     17   408.10    59.81    20   15.00   24.81      24      14 |
  |         Do Not Want!     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     56   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     30   325.73        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     14   420.93    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      27      17 |
  |           Drunk Tank     79    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     11   440.20    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      24      10 |
  |                Eddie     50   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     68    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | EuropeanFootballMale     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     46   208.17    65.95    20   21.67   24.29      31      17 |
  |            filsdepac     62   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     61   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     29   330.96     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      24      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               FMCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     43   254.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96      9   451.61    35.42    20    0.00   15.42      17      16 |
  |        Green Monstah     81    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     44   253.86    10.69     0    0.00   10.69      17      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     47   204.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      3   487.24    47.38    20   11.67   15.71      31      23 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     42   255.16     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      17      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     19   398.61    61.28    20   16.67   24.61      27      16 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     39   273.81     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      21      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Joe Public     37   297.53    46.16    20    8.33   17.82      27      21 |
  |            Katy Lied     63    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     60   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     23   368.83    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      27      17 |
  |             LiveCoug     12   436.12    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            MarkGrace     87    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     78    59.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     72    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     31   325.20     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      17      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     36   304.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            mr_thekid     26   333.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     15   416.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     64    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     71    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     24   364.59    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     10   441.84    86.37    20   36.67   29.70      35      12 |
  |        originalsocal     80    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   492.61    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |          Parrot Head     16   415.36    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      28      17 |
  |               Pelado     52   172.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     75    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     53   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     69    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     91     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     38   293.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     49   185.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     41   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     76    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SoonerCoug     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Spicoli     45   212.15    11.86     0    0.00   11.86      23      24 |
  |          splitbamboo     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     67    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     66    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     13   428.49    48.90    20    8.33   20.57      23      17 |
  |               Surfah     33   309.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.      4   486.24    58.15    20   20.00   18.15      34      21 |
  |           The Rambam     89     8.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheAzzuri     48   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     92     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     85    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     58   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     18   405.02    51.37    20   10.00   21.37      24      17 |
  |             USU Coug      5   485.30    56.67    20   16.67   20.00      31      20 |
  |              UtahDan     73    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     74    62.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  Ute     82    42.64    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     27   333.04    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      24      20 |
  |               Viking     55   128.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     32   324.96        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 woot     59   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     83    33.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     57   112.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the UCLA game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     25.31     24.00     23.00     30.00     17.00     35.00
       opred |     19.80     20.00     17.00     23.00     10.00     31.00
      winner |      0.77      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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