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Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #3 results

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  • #1

    Utah 2009 prediction contest: week #3 results

    Results by season rank:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   263.39    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      20      24 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      2   253.67    93.94    20   40.00   33.94      21      28 |
  |              scottie      3   245.59    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      16      23 |
  |            Hot Lunch      4   240.07    83.39    20   38.57   24.81      16      24 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug      5   239.45    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          I.J. Reilly      6   233.20    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      24 |
  |           cougjunkie      7   230.89    75.09    20   30.00   25.09      14      28 |
  |        Clark Addison      8   222.46    71.72    20   40.00   11.72      10      17 |
  |              falafel      9   217.59    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |                 Borg     10   214.18    83.39    20   38.57   24.81      17      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     11   207.07    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      34      35 |
  |           BoylenOver     12   192.79    25.71     0    0.00   25.71      24      21 |
  |             beefytee     13   190.86    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      13      26 |
  |          chrisrenrut     14   186.95    24.29     0    0.00   24.29      24      20 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     15   182.53     5.24     0    0.00    5.24      28       7 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     16   182.23    10.00     0    0.00   10.00      24      10 |
  |               Surfah     17   180.13    29.12     0    0.00   29.12      27      24 |
  |              snowcat     18   175.32    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |            bluegoose     19   174.55    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      21      17 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     20   173.00    15.71     0    0.00   15.71      24      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     21   167.91    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      20      17 |
  |          Flystripper     22   164.64    12.41     0    0.00   12.41      17      13 |
  |            SoCalCoug     23   163.21    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     24   160.90    18.52     0    0.00   18.52      23      16 |
  |            creekster     25   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     26   156.64    30.85     0    0.00   30.85      28      26 |
  |           SeattleUte     27   155.05    15.05     0    0.00   15.05      20      14 |
  |           Rickomatic     28   149.61    28.48     0    0.00   28.48      28      24 |
  |                Solon     29   143.83     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      21      10 |
  |               DU Ute     30   137.90     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      44      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     31   135.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     32   125.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     33   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     34   108.82    25.43     0    0.00   25.43      22      21 |
  |            Katy Lied     34   108.82    25.43     0    0.00   25.43      22      21 |
  |             LiveCoug     35   108.28    28.48     0    0.00   28.48      28      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              ewth8tr     36   108.19    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      31      34 |
  |          CardiacCoug     37   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     38   104.67    16.96     0    0.00   16.96      22      15 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     39   101.85    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      23      20 |
  |                Brian     40    91.61    12.41     0    0.00   12.41      17      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     41    91.43    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      24      28 |
  |              UteStar     42    89.59    13.93     0    0.00   13.93      27      13 |
  |          RockyBalboa     43    88.57    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      20      31 |
  |         TripletDaddy     44    88.37    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      13      24 |
  |           2 Tru Blue     45    85.86    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     46    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     47    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     48    76.96    18.57     0    0.00   18.57      24      16 |
  |               Viking     49    73.30    73.30    20   38.57   14.73      12      18 |
  |              nikuman     50    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96     51    70.50     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       4       3 |
  |           CougarFan3     52    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     53    59.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     54    56.70    56.70    20   24.29   12.41       6      24 |
  |             The_Tick     55    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       WashingtonCoug     56    44.67     6.13     0    0.00    6.13      13      10 |
  |                  CJF     57    44.62    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      34      20 |
  |           Drunk Tank     58    33.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     59    20.00    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |        lady duckcoug     59    20.00    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Results sorted by Oregon game points:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski      2   253.67    93.94    20   40.00   33.94      21      28 |
  |              UtahDan     41    91.43    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      24      28 |
  |          RockyBalboa     43    88.57    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      20      31 |
  |          I.J. Reilly      6   233.20    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      24 |
  |           2 Tru Blue     45    85.86    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   263.39    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      20      24 |
  |              scottie      3   245.59    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      16      23 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug      5   239.45    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |              ewth8tr     36   108.19    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      31      34 |
  |              falafel      9   217.59    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     18   175.32    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |            Hot Lunch      4   240.07    83.39    20   38.57   24.81      16      24 |
  |                 Borg     10   214.18    83.39    20   38.57   24.81      17      23 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     11   207.07    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      34      35 |
  |         TripletDaddy     44    88.37    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      13      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie      7   230.89    75.09    20   30.00   25.09      14      28 |
  |             beefytee     13   190.86    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      13      26 |
  |               Viking     49    73.30    73.30    20   38.57   14.73      12      18 |
  |        Clark Addison      8   222.46    71.72    20   40.00   11.72      10      17 |
  |           doctorcoug     54    56.70    56.70    20   24.29   12.41       6      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     26   156.64    30.85     0    0.00   30.85      28      26 |
  |               Surfah     17   180.13    29.12     0    0.00   29.12      27      24 |
  |             LiveCoug     35   108.28    28.48     0    0.00   28.48      28      24 |
  |           Rickomatic     28   149.61    28.48     0    0.00   28.48      28      24 |
  |           BoylenOver     12   192.79    25.71     0    0.00   25.71      24      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     34   108.82    25.43     0    0.00   25.43      22      21 |
  |          chrisrenrut     14   186.95    24.29     0    0.00   24.29      24      20 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     39   101.85    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      23      20 |
  |            OrangeUte     59    20.00    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |        lady duckcoug     59    20.00    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     23   163.21    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |            bluegoose     19   174.55    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      21      17 |
  |                byu71     21   167.91    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      20      17 |
  |                  CJF     57    44.62    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      34      20 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     48    76.96    18.57     0    0.00   18.57      24      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       il Padrino Ute     24   160.90    18.52     0    0.00   18.52      23      16 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     38   104.67    16.96     0    0.00   16.96      22      15 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     20   173.00    15.71     0    0.00   15.71      24      14 |
  |           SeattleUte     27   155.05    15.05     0    0.00   15.05      20      14 |
  |              UteStar     42    89.59    13.93     0    0.00   13.93      27      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     22   164.64    12.41     0    0.00   12.41      17      13 |
  |                Brian     40    91.61    12.41     0    0.00   12.41      17      13 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     16   182.23    10.00     0    0.00   10.00      24      10 |
  |                Solon     29   143.83     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      21      10 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     56    44.67     6.13     0    0.00    6.13      13      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     15   182.53     5.24     0    0.00    5.24      28       7 |
  |               DU Ute     30   137.90     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      44      13 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     51    70.50     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       4       3 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Results alphabetically order

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           2 Tru Blue     45    85.86    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      24 |
  |                  8BR     47    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     13   190.86    74.17    20   31.43   22.74      13      26 |
  |            bluegoose     19   174.55    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      21      17 |
  |                 Borg     10   214.18    83.39    20   38.57   24.81      17      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     12   192.79    25.71     0    0.00   25.71      24      21 |
  |                Brian     40    91.61    12.41     0    0.00   12.41      17      13 |
  |                byu71     21   167.91    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      20      17 |
  |          CardiacCoug     37   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     14   186.95    24.29     0    0.00   24.29      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     57    44.62    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      34      20 |
  |        Clark Addison      8   222.46    71.72    20   40.00   11.72      10      17 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     48    76.96    18.57     0    0.00   18.57      24      16 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     16   182.23    10.00     0    0.00   10.00      24      10 |
  |           CougarFan3     52    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie      7   230.89    75.09    20   30.00   25.09      14      28 |
  |            creekster     25   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     54    56.70    56.70    20   24.29   12.41       6      24 |
  |            Donuthole     46    81.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     26   156.64    30.85     0    0.00   30.85      28      26 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Drunk Tank     58    33.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     30   137.90     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      44      13 |
  |              ewth8tr     36   108.19    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      31      34 |
  |              falafel      9   217.59    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |          Flystripper     22   164.64    12.41     0    0.00   12.41      17      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96     51    70.50     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       4       3 |
  |            Hot Lunch      4   240.07    83.39    20   38.57   24.81      16      24 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     11   207.07    76.04    20   31.43   24.61      34      35 |
  |          I.J. Reilly      6   233.20    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      17      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     24   160.90    18.52     0    0.00   18.52      23      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     20   173.00    15.71     0    0.00   15.71      24      14 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      2   253.67    93.94    20   40.00   33.94      21      28 |
  |            Katy Lied     34   108.82    25.43     0    0.00   25.43      22      21 |
  |        lady duckcoug     59    20.00    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |             LiveCoug     35   108.28    28.48     0    0.00   28.48      28      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     15   182.53     5.24     0    0.00    5.24      28       7 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     38   104.67    16.96     0    0.00   16.96      22      15 |
  |              nikuman     50    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug      5   239.45    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |            OrangeUte     59    20.00    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      1   263.39    84.20    20   35.71   28.48      20      24 |
  |           Rickomatic     28   149.61    28.48     0    0.00   28.48      28      24 |
  |          RockyBalboa     43    88.57    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      20      31 |
  |              scottie      3   245.59    83.84    20   40.00   23.84      16      23 |
  |           SeattleUte     27   155.05    15.05     0    0.00   15.05      20      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Sizzle     31   135.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     39   101.85    24.22     0    0.00   24.22      23      20 |
  |    smokymountainrain     33   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     18   175.32    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      21      24 |
  |            SoCalCoug     23   163.21    20.00     0    0.00   20.00      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     29   143.83     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      21      10 |
  |               Surfah     17   180.13    29.12     0    0.00   29.12      27      24 |
  |             The_Tick     55    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     44    88.37    75.66    20   34.29   21.37      13      24 |
  |                U-Ute     32   125.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     41    91.43    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      24      28 |
  |              UteStar     42    89.59    13.93     0    0.00   13.93      27      13 |
  |               Viking     49    73.30    73.30    20   38.57   14.73      12      18 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     56    44.67     6.13     0    0.00    6.13      13      10 |
  |                YOhio     53    59.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Summary stats:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     21.31     21.00     17.00     24.00      4.00     44.00
       opred |     19.98     20.50     15.50     24.00      3.00     35.00
      winner |      0.33      0.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

        • #5
          I keep plummeting in the rankings.

          I suck!

          "Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy; its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery." - Winston Churchill


          "I only know what I hear on the news." - Dear Leader

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by il Padrino Ute View Post
            I keep plummeting in the rankings.

            I suck!

            you don't suck ... did you see how much you moved up in the BYU prediction contest? Meteoric!

            Comment

            • #7
              I am like BYU, 7th in both polls.
              *Banned*

              Comment

              • #8
                Hey Pelagius,

                Your algorithm is awesome.

                Sincerely,

                JL
                "There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
                "It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
                "Juilliardk N I ibuprofen Hyu I U unhurt u" - creekster

                Comment

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