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BYU prediction contest results: SJSU Game

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  • #1

    BYU prediction contest results: SJSU Game

    Overall standings as of the San Jose St Game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat      1   627.51    15.44     0    8.25    7.19      27      24 |
  |            Applejack      2   568.06     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      21 |
  |           The_Douger      3   537.76     6.17     0    0.00    6.17      24      10 |
  |             Sullyute      4   526.70     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      20 |
  |              scottie      5   502.19    65.35    34   31.35    0.00      26      33 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver      6   485.57     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      13 |
  |                byu71      7   476.78    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      21      17 |
  |              hostile      8   471.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |               SCcoug      9   460.48     6.17     0    0.00    6.17      28      18 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   455.14     8.26     0    0.00    8.26      27      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     11   451.52     0.74     0    0.00    0.74      31      20 |
  |               Viking     12   442.78     8.25     0    8.25    0.00      31      28 |
  |          chrisrenrut     13   442.50     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     14   437.14     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      20 |
  |            creekster     15   433.89     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     16   433.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     16   433.45    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      24      17 |
  |            Donuthole     18   428.85     5.83     0    0.00    5.83      28      17 |
  |          Medfordcoug     19   427.14    10.87     0    5.50    5.37      28      24 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     20   419.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     21   414.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     22   409.90     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      41      24 |
  |        Blueintheface     23   405.96     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      28      10 |
  |            wuapinmon     24   405.30     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      13 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     25   403.91     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     26   403.30     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      48      24 |
  |                Solon     27   398.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     28   393.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      38      10 |
  |           Joe Public     29   385.73     3.97     0    0.00    3.97      29      23 |
  |         Lost Student     30   385.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost Student     30   385.10     6.37     0    0.00    6.37      28      21 |
  |           Rickomatic     32   364.05     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      17 |
  |              falafel     33   355.12     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      13 |
  |                  CJF     34   353.56    23.65     0    5.50   18.15      24      20 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     35   353.42     2.58     0    0.00    2.58      30      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     36   350.53     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      21 |
  |             The_Tick     37   344.68        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     38   344.24     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      35      31 |
  |           Bo Diddley     39   343.11    19.31     0    0.00   19.31      21      14 |
  |         All-American     40   340.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   335.21    60.77    34   15.40   11.37      17      31 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     42   330.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      17 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     43   328.40     2.40     0    0.00    2.40      30      22 |
  |           Drunk Tank     44   327.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     45   324.98     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     46   310.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     47   303.26     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |               Surfah     48   301.70     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      20 |
  |              Top Ute     49   296.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     50   293.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Commando     51   293.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     52   272.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     53   262.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     54   262.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     55   261.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     56   256.13     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      24 |
  |            Omaha 680     57   252.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           RC Vikings     58   242.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     59   236.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     60   235.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     61   235.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     62   233.09    38.63     0   17.60   21.03      13      12 |
  |             USU Coug     63   232.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     64   228.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     65   228.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     66   220.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug     67   218.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     68   213.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     69   206.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     70   203.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Indy Coug     71   202.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OSUCougar     72   194.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     73   190.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     74   178.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     75   177.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               fbguru     76   173.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     77   157.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     78   143.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     79   135.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     80   131.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          thesaint258     81   126.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     82   123.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     83   119.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               sparky     84   118.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           kimchicoug     85   118.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     86   103.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     87   102.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     88   100.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     89    96.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     90    92.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Danimal     91    83.39     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      42      38 |
  |              UtahDan     92    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     93    72.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     94    66.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        bronson_tyler     95    62.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        clackamascoug     96    54.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Non Sequitur     97    53.80        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           PolyCougar     98    42.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     99    39.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho    100    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              LA Coug    100    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Aversator    100    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               oxcoug    103    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman    104    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Coastal Ute    105    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | purplmonkeydishwashr    106    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka    107     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue    108     5.50        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo    109     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    110     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Utes23    111     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   The Fourth Nephite    111     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by San Jose St game results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      5   502.19    65.35    34   31.35    0.00      26      33 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   335.21    60.77    34   15.40   11.37      17      31 |
  |               DU Ute     62   233.09    38.63     0   17.60   21.03      13      12 |
  |                byu71      7   476.78    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      21      17 |
  |                  CJF     34   353.56    23.65     0    5.50   18.15      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Bo Diddley     39   343.11    19.31     0    0.00   19.31      21      14 |
  |              FN Phat      1   627.51    15.44     0    8.25    7.19      27      24 |
  |           lambdacoug     16   433.45    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      24      17 |
  |          Medfordcoug     19   427.14    10.87     0    5.50    5.37      28      24 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   455.14     8.26     0    0.00    8.26      27      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     12   442.78     8.25     0    8.25    0.00      31      28 |
  |         Lost Student     30   385.10     6.37     0    0.00    6.37      28      21 |
  |           The_Douger      3   537.76     6.17     0    0.00    6.17      24      10 |
  |               SCcoug      9   460.48     6.17     0    0.00    6.17      28      18 |
  |            Donuthole     18   428.85     5.83     0    0.00    5.83      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Danimal     91    83.39     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      42      38 |
  |            OrangeUte     38   344.24     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      35      31 |
  |           Joe Public     29   385.73     3.97     0    0.00    3.97      29      23 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     35   353.42     2.58     0    0.00    2.58      30      21 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     43   328.40     2.40     0    0.00    2.40      30      22 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     11   451.52     0.74     0    0.00    0.74      31      20 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     42   330.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      17 |
  |        Blueintheface     23   405.96     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      28      10 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     25   403.91     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      13 |
  |          Parrot Head     36   350.53     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison     47   303.26     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |             Sullyute      4   526.70     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      20 |
  |           BoylenOver      6   485.57     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      13 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     14   437.14     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      20 |
  |              falafel     33   355.12     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     26   403.30     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      48      24 |
  |               Surfah     48   301.70     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      20 |
  |        originalsocal     28   393.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      38      10 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     45   324.98     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      21 |
  |            Applejack      2   568.06     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            wuapinmon     24   405.30     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      13 |
  |              hostile      8   471.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |              Moliere     56   256.13     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      24 |
  |             LiveCoug     22   409.90     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      41      24 |
  |           Rickomatic     32   364.05     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     13   442.50     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |            creekster     15   433.89     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     40   340.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack      2   568.06     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      21 |
  |            Aversator    100    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     66   220.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     68   213.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             BigPiney     70   203.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     21   414.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     23   405.96     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      28      10 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     35   353.42     2.58     0    0.00    2.58      30      21 |
  |           Bo Diddley     39   343.11    19.31     0    0.00   19.31      21      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg     82   123.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver      6   485.57     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      13 |
  |        bronson_tyler     95    62.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71      7   476.78    27.19     0    5.50   21.69      21      17 |
  |             camleish     46   310.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     79   135.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     13   442.50     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |                  CJF     34   353.56    23.65     0    5.50   18.15      24      20 |
  |        clackamascoug     96    54.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     47   303.26     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     14   437.14     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      20 |
  |          Coastal Ute    105    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     20   419.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     51   293.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     15   433.89     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Danimal     91    83.39     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      42      38 |
  |             Devildog     53   262.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     18   428.85     5.83     0    0.00    5.83      28      17 |
  |         DrumNFeather     26   403.30     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      48      24 |
  |           Drunk Tank     44   327.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     62   233.09    38.63     0   17.60   21.03      13      12 |
  |             eldiente    110     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     93    72.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     33   355.12     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      13 |
  |               fbguru     76   173.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     11   451.52     0.74     0    0.00    0.74      31      20 |
  |              FN Phat      1   627.51    15.44     0    8.25    7.19      27      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     25   403.91     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      13 |
  |             happyone     86   103.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      8   471.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     80   131.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Hypoplastic     94    66.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Indy Coug     71   202.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     54   262.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     45   324.98     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Joe Public     29   385.73     3.97     0    0.00    3.97      29      23 |
  |             kccougar     83   119.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           kimchicoug     85   118.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              LA Coug    100    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     77   157.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     16   433.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     16   433.45    13.19     0    0.00   13.19      24      17 |
  |             LiveCoug     22   409.90     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      41      24 |
  |         Lost Student     30   385.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     30   385.10     6.37     0    0.00    6.37      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Maximus     74   178.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     19   427.14    10.87     0    5.50    5.37      28      24 |
  |              Moliere     56   256.13     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   335.21    60.77    34   15.40   11.37      17      31 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     43   328.40     2.40     0    0.00    2.40      30      22 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Non Sequitur     97    53.80        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     78   143.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue    108     5.50        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     57   252.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     38   344.24     5.50     0    5.50    0.00      35      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     28   393.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      38      10 |
  |            OSUCougar     72   194.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               oxcoug    103    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   455.14     8.26     0    0.00    8.26      27      21 |
  |          Parrot Head     36   350.53     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     55   261.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     75   177.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           PolyCougar     98    42.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr    106    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           RC Vikings     58   242.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     32   364.05     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      17 |
  |         San Juan Sun     69   206.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug      9   460.48     6.17     0    0.00    6.17      28      18 |
  |              Scorcho    100    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      5   502.19    65.35    34   31.35    0.00      26      33 |
  |                Shaka    107     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     60   235.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     59   236.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     90    92.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     87   102.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     27   398.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               sparky     84   118.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo    109     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     65   228.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     50   293.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute      4   526.70     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      20 |
  |               Surfah     48   301.70     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      20 |
  |          TexTechCoug     67   218.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   The Fourth Nephite    111     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           The_Douger      3   537.76     6.17     0    0.00    6.17      24      10 |
  |             The_Tick     37   344.68        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     81   126.44        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Top Ute     49   296.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     64   228.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     88   100.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     89    96.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             USU Coug     63   232.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     92    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     42   330.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Utes23    111     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     52   272.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman    104    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     12   442.78     8.25     0    8.25    0.00      31      28 |
  |                wally     61   235.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               wapiti     99    39.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     24   405.30     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      13 |
  |                YOhio     73   190.74        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Number 7 and I could never bring myself to pick BYU to lose.

        Pretty impressive.

        Comment

        • #5
          Prediction summary stats for the San Jose Game:

          Code:
              variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
    byu pred |     30.81     31.00     28.00     35.00     13.00     48.00
    opp pred |     19.64     20.00     14.00     23.00     10.00     38.00
      winner |      0.05      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment

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