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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Washington game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Washington game

    Overall standings as of the Washington game:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Applejack      1   523.52    54.23    34    0.00   20.23      20      27 |
  |          Flystripper      2   509.77    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      23      31 |
  |           The_Douger      3   493.49    64.44    34    8.25   22.19      17      27 |
  |              Moliere      4   490.17     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |              scottie      5   488.10    47.46    34    0.00   13.46      24      29 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      6   482.01    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      7   469.28    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      27 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      8   463.99     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      27      24 |
  |             LiveCoug      9   454.42    65.74    34    8.25   23.49      20      30 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     10   449.71    47.65    34    0.00   13.65      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     11   435.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      16 |
  |           BoylenOver     12   424.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         BlueNtheFace     13   413.71    42.04    34    0.00    8.04      28      32 |
  |             Sullyute     14   403.30     3.00     0    0.00    3.00      24      21 |
  |           Rickomatic     15   402.65    40.29    34    2.75    3.54      30      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile     16   402.40     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |           Joe Public     17   401.50    52.37    34    0.00   18.37      24      30 |
  |          Medfordcoug     18   400.83     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      27      24 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     19   397.24    46.48    34    0.00   12.48      24      28 |
  |        Blueintheface     20   384.55     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     21   377.25     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      16 |
  |            Donuthole     22   356.33     3.00     0    0.00    3.00      24      21 |
  |               Surfah     23   347.27    94.19    34   31.35   28.84      13      31 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     24   342.82    49.42    34    5.50    9.92      13      22 |
  |                  CJF     25   339.45    43.53    34    0.00    9.53      27      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     26   314.10    58.15    34    2.75   21.40      20      28 |
  |             camleish     27   310.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     28   297.71        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     29   294.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     30   293.42    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      14      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     31   278.17     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      28      27 |
  |               LA Ute     32   269.03     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      17 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     33   257.52     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |             The_Tick     34   252.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Clark Addison     35   247.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     36   238.77        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     37   231.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     38   218.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      37      25 |
  |               DU Ute     39   217.61     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |            OrangeUte     40   211.39     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      25      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   203.88     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      17 |
  |              UteStar     42   196.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             USU Coug     43   185.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     44   166.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     45   164.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680     46   163.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Top Ute     47   149.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     48   142.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           kimchicoug     49   132.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     50   128.62    38.47    34    0.00    4.47       0      33 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     51   127.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     52   118.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |             SportUTE     53   116.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     54   114.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     55   108.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg     56   103.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     57   103.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     58   101.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     59    97.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     60    94.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     61    87.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     62    84.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     63    82.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost Student     64    75.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     65    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              LA Coug     66    66.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     67    65.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     68    64.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        bronson_tyler     69    63.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue     70    62.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     71    56.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     72    49.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     73    45.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     74    43.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     75    43.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     76    40.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     77    38.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     78    36.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            myboynoah     79    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     80    32.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     81    31.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     82    30.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               sparky     83    28.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               oxcoug     84    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     85    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Indy Coug     86    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman     86    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     88    23.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     89    23.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     90    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     90    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     92    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Coastal Ute     93    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     94    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     95    14.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     96    13.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     97    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     98     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     99     5.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy    100     5.50        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          splitbamboo    101     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug    102     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    103     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Utes23    104     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Bo Diddley    104     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte    104     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by the Washington game results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     23   347.27    94.19    34   31.35   28.84      13      31 |
  |        originalsocal     30   293.42    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      14      28 |
  |             LiveCoug      9   454.42    65.74    34    8.25   23.49      20      30 |
  |           The_Douger      3   493.49    64.44    34    8.25   22.19      17      27 |
  |          Parrot Head     26   314.10    58.15    34    2.75   21.40      20      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper      2   509.77    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      23      31 |
  |            Applejack      1   523.52    54.23    34    0.00   20.23      20      27 |
  |           Joe Public     17   401.50    52.37    34    0.00   18.37      24      30 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     24   342.82    49.42    34    5.50    9.92      13      22 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     10   449.71    47.65    34    0.00   13.65      17      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      5   488.10    47.46    34    0.00   13.46      24      29 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     19   397.24    46.48    34    0.00   12.48      24      28 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      7   469.28    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      27 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      6   482.01    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      27 |
  |                  CJF     25   339.45    43.53    34    0.00    9.53      27      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     13   413.71    42.04    34    0.00    8.04      28      32 |
  |           Rickomatic     15   402.65    40.29    34    2.75    3.54      30      38 |
  |            wuapinmon     50   128.62    38.47    34    0.00    4.47       0      33 |
  |            bluegoose     31   278.17     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      28      27 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      8   463.99     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Medfordcoug     18   400.83     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      27      24 |
  |            Donuthole     22   356.33     3.00     0    0.00    3.00      24      21 |
  |             Sullyute     14   403.30     3.00     0    0.00    3.00      24      21 |
  |              FN Phat     11   435.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      16 |
  |        Blueintheface     20   384.55     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     52   118.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   203.88     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      17 |
  |               DU Ute     39   217.61     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |            OrangeUte     40   211.39     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      25      17 |
  |         DrumNFeather     38   218.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      37      25 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile     16   402.40     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |               LA Ute     32   269.03     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      17 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     33   257.52     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |          chrisrenrut     21   377.25     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      16 |
  |              Moliere      4   490.17     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     76    40.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack      1   523.52    54.23    34    0.00   20.23      20      27 |
  |                  bag     81    31.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     29   294.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     55   108.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     31   278.17     4.98     0    0.00    4.98      28      27 |
  |        Blueintheface     20   384.55     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      21 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     13   413.71    42.04    34    0.00    8.04      28      32 |
  |           Bo Diddley    104     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     56   103.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     12   424.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        bronson_tyler     69    63.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     52   118.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |             camleish     27   310.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     51   127.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     21   377.25     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      16 |
  |                  CJF     25   339.45    43.53    34    0.00    9.53      27      31 |
  |        Clark Addison     35   247.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     19   397.24    46.48    34    0.00   12.48      24      28 |
  |          Coastal Ute     93    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     59    97.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     60    94.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     88    23.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     74    43.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     45   164.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     22   356.33     3.00     0    0.00    3.00      24      21 |
  |         DrumNFeather     38   218.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      37      25 |
  |           Drunk Tank     28   297.71        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     39   217.61     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     67    65.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             eldiente    103     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     63    82.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     82    30.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper      2   509.77    57.06    34    2.75   20.31      23      31 |
  |              FN Phat     11   435.18     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96     10   449.71    47.65    34    0.00   13.65      17      24 |
  |             happyone     89    23.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile     16   402.40     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     54   114.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Indy Coug     86    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     33   257.52     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      17 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski      7   469.28    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      27 |
  |           Joe Public     17   401.50    52.37    34    0.00   18.37      24      30 |
  |             kccougar     58   101.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           kimchicoug     49   132.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              LA Coug     66    66.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     32   269.03     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      17 |
  |           lambdacoug     95    14.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug      9   454.42    65.74    34    8.25   23.49      20      30 |
  |         Lost Student     64    75.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Maximus     80    32.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     18   400.83     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      27      24 |
  |              Moliere      4   490.17     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   203.88     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      17 |
  |            myboynoah     79    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster     24   342.82    49.42    34    5.50    9.92      13      22 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     94    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue     70    62.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     46   163.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     40   211.39     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      25      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     30   293.42    79.97    34   22.00   23.97      14      28 |
  |               oxcoug     84    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      6   482.01    45.37    34    0.00   11.37      24      27 |
  |          Parrot Head     26   314.10    58.15    34    2.75   21.40      20      28 |
  |               Pelado     37   231.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     96    13.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     97    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     15   402.65    40.29    34    2.75    3.54      30      38 |
  |         San Juan Sun     92    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     78    36.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Scorcho     73    45.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      5   488.10    47.46    34    0.00   13.46      24      29 |
  |           SeattleUte    104     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     98     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     85    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     61    87.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     62    84.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     75    43.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     36   238.77        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               sparky     83    28.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          splitbamboo    101     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     53   116.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     99     5.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     77    38.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     14   403.30     3.00     0    0.00    3.00      24      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     23   347.27    94.19    34   31.35   28.84      13      31 |
  |          TexTechCoug    102     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger      3   493.49    64.44    34    8.25   22.19      17      27 |
  |             The_Tick     34   252.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     90    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Top Ute     47   149.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     57   103.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy    100     5.50        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     44   166.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     71    56.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug     43   185.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     65    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      8   463.99     3.36     0    0.00    3.36      27      24 |
  |               Utes23    104     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     42   196.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              venkman     86    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     90    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     48   142.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     68    64.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     50   128.62    38.47    34    0.00    4.47       0      33 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     72    49.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Summary stats for Washington predictions:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     24.23     24.00     20.00     28.00      0.00     42.00
       opred |     25.00     25.00     21.00     29.00     16.00     38.00
      winner |      0.51      1.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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