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Utah Prediction Contest Results: California game

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  • Utah Prediction Contest Results: California game

    Overall standings as of the Cal game:

    Code:
      +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov     df   bpred   opred |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |              Moliere      1   455.43    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
      |            Applejack      2   435.30    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      20 |
      |        UtahJazzFan88      3   426.63    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      17 |
      |          Flystripper      4   418.71     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      20      24 |
      |              scottie      5   406.64    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      18      17 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |       PaloAltoCougar      6   402.64    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
      |           The_Douger      7   393.46    36.75    34    2.75   0.00      24      13 |
      |           BoylenOver      8   390.49    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      13 |
      |              FN Phat      9   382.88    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      17      16 |
      |        Jeff Lebowski     10   377.09    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      17 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        Goatnapper'96     11   368.06    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      17 |
      |             Sullyute     12   366.30    49.40    34   15.40   0.00      31      17 |
      |              hostile     13   366.29    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
      |          Medfordcoug     14   358.10    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      14 |
      |             LiveCoug     15   354.68    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      20      17 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        Coach McGuirk     16   350.77     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      21 |
      |        Blueintheface     17   349.80    60.40    34   26.40   0.00      31      13 |
      |         BlueNtheFace     18   334.12    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      17      10 |
      |          chrisrenrut     19   333.18    51.60    34   17.60   0.00      27      12 |
      |           Rickomatic     20   321.17    53.80    34   19.80   0.00      38      10 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |            Donuthole     21   319.33    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      14 |
      |           Joe Public     22   315.13     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      13      24 |
      |             camleish     23   310.66     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      24      27 |
      |           Drunk Tank     24   297.71    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      21 |
      | New Mexican Disaster     25   293.40     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      26 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |                Brian     26   285.46    65.35    34   31.35   0.00      34      13 |
      |            bluegoose     27   273.18        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |          BemidjiCoug     28   260.36     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      35 |
      |          Parrot Head     29   255.95    42.25    34    8.25   0.00      27      14 |
      |               Surfah     30   253.09     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      20 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |             The_Tick     31   252.92     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      21 |
      |                Solon     32   238.77    53.50    34   15.40   4.10      35      21 |
      |               LA Ute     33   235.03        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               Pelado     34   231.05        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |                  CJF     35   221.92    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      17 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |       Jarid in Cedar     36   218.73    42.25    34    8.25   0.00      30      17 |
      |        Clark Addison     37   213.57     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      20 |
      |        originalsocal     38   213.45        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              UteStar     39   196.95        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             USU Coug     40   185.18        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |         DrumNFeather     41   184.00    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      31      21 |
      |               DU Ute     42   180.31    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      17 |
      |            OrangeUte     43   170.75    54.90    34   17.60   3.30      35      20 |
      |                U-Ute     44   166.36        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             Devildog     45   164.98        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |            Omaha 680     46   163.25        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              Top Ute     47   149.56        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |                wally     48   142.57        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |           kimchicoug     49   132.46        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |          CardiacCoug     50   127.14        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |     Mormon Red Death     51   115.10        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     52   114.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             BigPiney     53   108.02        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |                 Borg     54   103.97        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               Topper     55   103.89        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |             kccougar     56   101.61        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |    Color Me Badd Fan     57    97.19        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             Commando     58    94.93        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |            wuapinmon     59    90.15        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |    smokymountainrain     60    87.27        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |                byu71     61    84.99        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              snowcat     62    84.66        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              falafel     63    82.43        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             SportUTE     64    82.09        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |         Lost_Student     65    75.69        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |              UtahDan     66    73.17        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              LA Coug     67    66.36        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |      Dwight Schr-ute     68    65.22        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               wapiti     69    64.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |        bronson_tyler     70    63.93        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |            OceanBlue     71    62.39        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |            Uncle Ted     72    56.18        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |                YOhio     73    49.40        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              Scorcho     74    45.37        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              Danimal     75    43.89        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |            SoCalCoug     76    43.84        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |         All-American     77    40.21        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |            SteelBlue     78    38.63        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               SCcoug     79    36.52        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |            myboynoah     80    34.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |              Maximus     81    32.36        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |                  bag     82    31.29        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               fbguru     83    30.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               sparky     84    28.64        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               oxcoug     85    28.39        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |       Sleeping in EQ     86    27.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              venkman     87    26.25        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |            Indy Coug     87    26.25        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |            creekster     89    23.65        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             happyone     90    23.06        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |          thesaint258     91    19.31        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |               Viking     91    19.31        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |         San Juan Sun     93    18.37        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |          Coastal Ute     94    18.30        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |       NorthShoreCoug     95    17.54        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |           lambdacoug     96    14.88        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |           pellegrino     97    13.19        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      | purplmonkeydishwashr     98    10.87        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |                Shaka     99     8.33        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |              statman    100     5.83        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |         TripletDaddy    101     5.50        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |          splitbamboo    102     5.37        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |          TexTechCoug    103     4.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |             eldiente    104     4.10        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |           Bo Diddley    105     0.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |               Utes23    105     0.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      |           SeattleUte    105     0.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
      +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

  • #2
    Standings sorted by Cal game results:

    Code:
      +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov     df   bpred   opred |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |                Brian     26   285.46    65.35    34   31.35   0.00      34      13 |
      |        Blueintheface     17   349.80    60.40    34   26.40   0.00      31      13 |
      |            OrangeUte     43   170.75    54.90    34   17.60   3.30      35      20 |
      |           Rickomatic     20   321.17    53.80    34   19.80   0.00      38      10 |
      |                Solon     32   238.77    53.50    34   15.40   4.10      35      21 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |          chrisrenrut     19   333.18    51.60    34   17.60   0.00      27      12 |
      |             Sullyute     12   366.30    49.40    34   15.40   0.00      31      17 |
      |          Parrot Head     29   255.95    42.25    34    8.25   0.00      27      14 |
      |       Jarid in Cedar     36   218.73    42.25    34    8.25   0.00      30      17 |
      |           The_Douger      7   393.46    36.75    34    2.75   0.00      24      13 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |           BoylenOver      8   390.49    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      13 |
      |              scottie      5   406.64    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      18      17 |
      |              FN Phat      9   382.88    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      17      16 |
      |        UtahJazzFan88      3   426.63    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      17 |
      |       PaloAltoCougar      6   402.64    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |               DU Ute     42   180.31    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      17 |
      |            Applejack      2   435.30    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      20 |
      |              hostile     13   366.29    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
      |            Donuthole     21   319.33    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      14 |
      |          Medfordcoug     14   358.10    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      14 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        Jeff Lebowski     10   377.09    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      17 |
      |         DrumNFeather     41   184.00    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      31      21 |
      |        Goatnapper'96     11   368.06    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      17 |
      |         BlueNtheFace     18   334.12    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      17      10 |
      |             LiveCoug     15   354.68    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      20      17 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |           Drunk Tank     24   297.71    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      21 |
      |                  CJF     35   221.92    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      17 |
      |              Moliere      1   455.43    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
      |             camleish     23   310.66     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      24      27 |
      |          Flystripper      4   418.71     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      20      24 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        Clark Addison     37   213.57     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      20 |
      |           Joe Public     22   315.13     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      13      24 |
      | New Mexican Disaster     25   293.40     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      26 |
      |        Coach McGuirk     16   350.77     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      21 |
      |          BemidjiCoug     28   260.36     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      35 |
      |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |             The_Tick     31   252.92     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      21 |
      |               Surfah     30   253.09     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      20 |
      +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment


    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
        |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov     df   bpred   opred |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |         All-American     77    40.21        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            Applejack      2   435.30    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      20 |
        |                  bag     82    31.29        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |          BemidjiCoug     28   260.36     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      35 |
        |             BigPiney     53   108.02        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            bluegoose     27   273.18        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |        Blueintheface     17   349.80    60.40    34   26.40   0.00      31      13 |
        |         BlueNtheFace     18   334.12    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      17      10 |
        |           Bo Diddley    105     0.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                 Borg     54   103.97        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |           BoylenOver      8   390.49    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      13 |
        |                Brian     26   285.46    65.35    34   31.35   0.00      34      13 |
        |        bronson_tyler     70    63.93        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                byu71     61    84.99        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |             camleish     23   310.66     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      24      27 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |          CardiacCoug     50   127.14        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |          chrisrenrut     19   333.18    51.60    34   17.60   0.00      27      12 |
        |                  CJF     35   221.92    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      17 |
        |        Clark Addison     37   213.57     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      20 |
        |        Coach McGuirk     16   350.77     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      21 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |          Coastal Ute     94    18.30        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |    Color Me Badd Fan     57    97.19        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |             Commando     58    94.93        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            creekster     89    23.65        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              Danimal     75    43.89        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |             Devildog     45   164.98        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            Donuthole     21   319.33    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      14 |
        |         DrumNFeather     41   184.00    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      31      21 |
        |           Drunk Tank     24   297.71    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      21 |
        |               DU Ute     42   180.31    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      17 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |      Dwight Schr-ute     68    65.22        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |             eldiente    104     4.10        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              falafel     63    82.43        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |               fbguru     83    30.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |          Flystripper      4   418.71     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      20      24 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |              FN Phat      9   382.88    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      17      16 |
        |        Goatnapper'96     11   368.06    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      24      17 |
        |             happyone     90    23.06        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              hostile     13   366.29    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
        |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     52   114.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            Indy Coug     87    26.25        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |       Jarid in Cedar     36   218.73    42.25    34    8.25   0.00      30      17 |
        |        Jeff Lebowski     10   377.09    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      17 |
        |           Joe Public     22   315.13     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      13      24 |
        |             kccougar     56   101.61        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |           kimchicoug     49   132.46        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              LA Coug     67    66.36        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |               LA Ute     33   235.03        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |           lambdacoug     96    14.88        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |             LiveCoug     15   354.68    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      20      17 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |         Lost_Student     65    75.69        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              Maximus     81    32.36        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |          Medfordcoug     14   358.10    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      14 |
        |              Moliere      1   455.43    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
        |     Mormon Red Death     51   115.10        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            myboynoah     80    34.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        | New Mexican Disaster     25   293.40     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      26 |
        |       NorthShoreCoug     95    17.54        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            OceanBlue     71    62.39        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            Omaha 680     46   163.25        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            OrangeUte     43   170.75    54.90    34   17.60   3.30      35      20 |
        |        originalsocal     38   213.45        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |               oxcoug     85    28.39        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |       PaloAltoCougar      6   402.64    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      27      20 |
        |          Parrot Head     29   255.95    42.25    34    8.25   0.00      27      14 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |               Pelado     34   231.05        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |           pellegrino     97    13.19        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        | purplmonkeydishwashr     98    10.87        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |           Rickomatic     20   321.17    53.80    34   19.80   0.00      38      10 |
        |         San Juan Sun     93    18.37        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |               SCcoug     79    36.52        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              Scorcho     74    45.37        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              scottie      5   406.64    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      18      17 |
        |           SeattleUte    105     0.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                Shaka     99     8.33        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |       Sleeping in EQ     86    27.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |    smokymountainrain     60    87.27        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              snowcat     62    84.66        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            SoCalCoug     76    43.84        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                Solon     32   238.77    53.50    34   15.40   4.10      35      21 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |               sparky     84    28.64        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |          splitbamboo    102     5.37        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |             SportUTE     64    82.09        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              statman    100     5.83        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |            SteelBlue     78    38.63        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |             Sullyute     12   366.30    49.40    34   15.40   0.00      31      17 |
        |               Surfah     30   253.09     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      20 |
        |          TexTechCoug    103     4.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |           The_Douger      7   393.46    36.75    34    2.75   0.00      24      13 |
        |             The_Tick     31   252.92     0.00     0    0.00   0.00      17      21 |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |          thesaint258     91    19.31        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              Top Ute     47   149.56        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |               Topper     55   103.89        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |         TripletDaddy    101     5.50        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                U-Ute     44   166.36        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            Uncle Ted     72    56.18        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |             USU Coug     40   185.18        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              UtahDan     66    73.17        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |        UtahJazzFan88      3   426.63    34.00    34    0.00   0.00      21      17 |
        |               Utes23    105     0.00        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |              UteStar     39   196.95        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |              venkman     87    26.25        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |               Viking     91    19.31        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                wally     48   142.57        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |               wapiti     69    64.79        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            wuapinmon     59    90.15        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        |                YOhio     73    49.40        .     .       .      .       .       . |
        +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment


      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Cal game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
        -------------+------------------------------------------------------------
               bpred |     23.95     24.00     18.00     27.00     13.00     38.00
               opred |     18.27     17.00     14.00     21.00     10.00     35.00
              winner |      0.76      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
        --------------------------------------------------------------------------
        
        .

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        • #5
          I once again have the pulse of my rival's team while nearly completely missing on my own.
          "Either evolution or intelligent design can account for the athlete, but neither can account for the sports fan." - Robert Brault

          "Once I seen the trades go down and the other guys signed elsewhere," he said, "I knew it was my time now." - Derrick Favors

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          • #6
            Originally posted by Blueintheface View Post
            I once again have the pulse of my rival's team while nearly completely missing on my own.


            I attribute it to having absolutely no bias when it comes to picking the Utah game. I don't watch their games. I don't care if they win or lose. They are irrelevant in Texas and the South. I just go based off of raw data.
            "Discipleship is not a spectator sport. We cannot expect to experience the blessing of faith by standing inactive on the sidelines any more than we can experience the benefits of health by sitting on a sofa watching sporting events on television and giving advice to the athletes. And yet for some, “spectator discipleship” is a preferred if not primary way of worshipping." -Pres. Uchtdorf

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            • #7
              I've done well in the BYU poll having only watched 4 quarters of BYU football. Three cheers for objectivity!

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