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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Oregon St Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Oregon St Game

    Overall standings as of the Oregon St game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere      1   421.43    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |          Flystripper      2   418.71    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |            Applejack      3   401.30    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      17      24 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      4   392.63    53.50    34   15.40    4.10      21      27 |
  |              scottie      5   372.64    72.82    34   31.35    7.47      16      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      6   368.64    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      20      38 |
  |           The_Douger      7   356.71    71.27    34   26.40   10.87      17      27 |
  |           BoylenOver      8   356.49    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      9   350.77    36.75    34    2.75    0.00      20      45 |
  |              FN Phat     10   348.88    49.40    34   15.40    0.00      20      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     11   343.09    54.90    34   17.60    3.30      21      28 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     12   334.06    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      20      38 |
  |              hostile     13   332.29    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |          Medfordcoug     14   324.10    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      17      28 |
  |             LiveCoug     15   320.68        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     16   316.90    54.90    34   17.60    3.30      21      28 |
  |           Joe Public     17   315.13    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      20      31 |
  |             camleish     18   310.66    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      24      28 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     19   300.12    88.04    34   29.70   24.34      10      26 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     20   293.40    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      17      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Blueintheface     21   289.40     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |            Donuthole     22   285.33    63.70    34   29.70    0.00      21      33 |
  |          chrisrenrut     23   281.58    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |            bluegoose     24   273.18    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      27      35 |
  |           Rickomatic     25   267.37    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      21      45 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Drunk Tank     26   263.71    62.05    34   28.05    0.00      24      35 |
  |          BemidjiCoug     27   260.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     28   253.09    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      17      45 |
  |             The_Tick     29   252.92    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      14      31 |
  |               LA Ute     30   235.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     31   231.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian     32   220.11    49.40    34   15.40    0.00      20      42 |
  |          Parrot Head     33   213.70    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |        Clark Addison     34   213.57     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      21 |
  |        originalsocal     35   213.45    42.58    34    2.75    5.83      10      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     36   196.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     37   187.92    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      41 |
  |                Solon     38   185.28    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       3      42 |
  |             USU Coug     39   185.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     40   176.48     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     41   166.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     42   164.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     43   163.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     44   150.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      30 |
  |              Top Ute     45   149.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     46   146.31     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |                wally     47   142.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           kimchicoug     48   132.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     49   127.14    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |            OrangeUte     50   115.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     51   115.10     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      24 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     52   114.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     53   108.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     54   103.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     55   103.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             kccougar     56   101.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     57    97.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     58    94.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     59    90.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     60    87.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     61    84.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10       0 |
  |              snowcat     62    84.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     63    82.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     64    82.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost_Student     65    75.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     66    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              LA Coug     67    66.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     68    65.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     69    64.79    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      10      31 |
  |        bronson_tyler     70    63.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OceanBlue     71    62.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     72    56.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     73    49.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     74    45.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     75    43.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     76    43.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     77    40.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     78    38.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     79    36.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            myboynoah     80    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Maximus     81    32.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     82    31.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     83    30.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               sparky     84    28.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               oxcoug     85    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     86    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman     87    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Indy Coug     87    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     89    23.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     90    23.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          thesaint258     91    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     91    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     93    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Coastal Ute     94    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     95    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           lambdacoug     96    14.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     97    13.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     98    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     99     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman    100     5.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         TripletDaddy    101     5.50        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo    102     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          TexTechCoug    103     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    104     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte    105     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      41 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Utes23    105     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Bo Diddley    105     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Oregon St game results:

    Code:
    . list poster rank total points win mov df bpred opred if bpred != ., noobs;

  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     19   300.12    88.04    34   29.70   24.34      10      26 |
  |              Moliere      1   421.43    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |          CardiacCoug     49   127.14    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |          chrisrenrut     23   281.58    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |           BoylenOver      8   356.49    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      5   372.64    72.82    34   31.35    7.47      16      31 |
  |          Medfordcoug     14   324.10    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      17      28 |
  |             The_Tick     29   252.92    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      14      31 |
  |           The_Douger      7   356.71    71.27    34   26.40   10.87      17      27 |
  |               wapiti     69    64.79    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      10      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Applejack      3   401.30    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      17      24 |
  |           Joe Public     17   315.13    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      20      31 |
  |              hostile     13   332.29    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |          Parrot Head     33   213.70    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |          Flystripper      2   418.71    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     22   285.33    63.70    34   29.70    0.00      21      33 |
  |           Drunk Tank     26   263.71    62.05    34   28.05    0.00      24      35 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      6   368.64    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      20      38 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     12   334.06    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      20      38 |
  |             Sullyute     16   316.90    54.90    34   17.60    3.30      21      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     11   343.09    54.90    34   17.60    3.30      21      28 |
  |            bluegoose     24   273.18    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      27      35 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      4   392.63    53.50    34   15.40    4.10      21      27 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     20   293.40    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      17      38 |
  |              FN Phat     10   348.88    49.40    34   15.40    0.00      20      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     32   220.11    49.40    34   15.40    0.00      20      42 |
  |        originalsocal     35   213.45    42.58    34    2.75    5.83      10      35 |
  |           Rickomatic     25   267.37    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      21      45 |
  |             camleish     18   310.66    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      24      28 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      9   350.77    36.75    34    2.75    0.00      20      45 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     38   185.28    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       3      42 |
  |               Surfah     28   253.09    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      17      45 |
  |                  CJF     37   187.92    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      41 |
  |           SeattleUte    105     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      41 |
  |        Clark Addison     34   213.57     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     61    84.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10       0 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     40   176.48     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |               DU Ute     46   146.31     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     51   115.10     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      24 |
  |            OrangeUte     50   115.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     44   150.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      30 |
  |        Blueintheface     21   289.40     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     77    40.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack      3   401.30    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      17      24 |
  |                  bag     82    31.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     27   260.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BigPiney     53   108.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     24   273.18    53.80    34   19.80    0.00      27      35 |
  |        Blueintheface     21   289.40     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     19   300.12    88.04    34   29.70   24.34      10      26 |
  |           Bo Diddley    105     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     54   103.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver      8   356.49    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |                Brian     32   220.11    49.40    34   15.40    0.00      20      42 |
  |        bronson_tyler     70    63.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     61    84.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10       0 |
  |             camleish     18   310.66    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      24      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     49   127.14    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |          chrisrenrut     23   281.58    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |                  CJF     37   187.92    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      13      41 |
  |        Clark Addison     34   213.57     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      21 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      9   350.77    36.75    34    2.75    0.00      20      45 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Coastal Ute     94    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     57    97.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     58    94.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     89    23.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     75    43.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     42   164.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     22   285.33    63.70    34   29.70    0.00      21      33 |
  |         DrumNFeather     44   150.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      30 |
  |           Drunk Tank     26   263.71    62.05    34   28.05    0.00      24      35 |
  |               DU Ute     46   146.31     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     68    65.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    104     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     63    82.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               fbguru     83    30.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper      2   418.71    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     10   348.88    49.40    34   15.40    0.00      20      42 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     12   334.06    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      20      38 |
  |             happyone     90    23.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile     13   332.29    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     52   114.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Indy Coug     87    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     40   176.48     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      27      24 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     11   343.09    54.90    34   17.60    3.30      21      28 |
  |           Joe Public     17   315.13    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      20      31 |
  |             kccougar     56   101.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           kimchicoug     48   132.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              LA Coug     67    66.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     30   235.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     96    14.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     15   320.68        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost_Student     65    75.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     81    32.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     14   324.10    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      17      28 |
  |              Moliere      1   421.43    73.17    34   33.00    6.17      17      31 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     51   115.10     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            myboynoah     80    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     20   293.40    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      17      38 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     95    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue     71    62.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     43   163.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     50   115.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      31      20 |
  |        originalsocal     35   213.45    42.58    34    2.75    5.83      10      35 |
  |               oxcoug     85    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      6   368.64    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      20      38 |
  |          Parrot Head     33   213.70    63.93    34   28.05    1.88      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     31   231.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     97    13.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     98    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     25   267.37    39.50    34    5.50    0.00      21      45 |
  |         San Juan Sun     93    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug     79    36.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     74    45.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie      5   372.64    72.82    34   31.35    7.47      16      31 |
  |           SeattleUte    105     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      41 |
  |                Shaka     99     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     86    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     60    87.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     62    84.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     76    43.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     38   185.28    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       3      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               sparky     84    28.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo    102     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     64    82.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman    100     5.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     78    38.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     16   316.90    54.90    34   17.60    3.30      21      28 |
  |               Surfah     28   253.09    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      17      45 |
  |          TexTechCoug    103     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger      7   356.71    71.27    34   26.40   10.87      17      27 |
  |             The_Tick     29   252.92    71.89    34   28.05    9.84      14      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          thesaint258     91    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Top Ute     45   149.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     55   103.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy    101     5.50        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     41   166.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     72    56.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             USU Coug     39   185.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     66    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      4   392.63    53.50    34   15.40    4.10      21      27 |
  |               Utes23    105     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     36   196.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman     87    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     91    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     47   142.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               wapiti     69    64.79    64.79    34   17.60   13.19      10      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            wuapinmon     59    90.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     73    49.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Summary stats for the Oregon St. predictions:

        Code:
           variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     20.24     20.00     17.00     24.00      3.00     45.00
       opred |     31.62     31.00     27.00     38.00      0.00     45.00
      winner |      0.79      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

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