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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Southern Cal game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Southern Cal game

    Overall standings as of the Southern Cal game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere      1   286.92    62.05    34   28.05    0.00      17      24 |
  |              scottie      2   276.04    70.14    34   31.35    4.79      17      28 |
  |          Flystripper      3   269.69    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |            Applejack      4   262.30    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |              hostile      5   260.10    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      17      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        UtahJazzFan88      6   251.74    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      24      31 |
  |             Sullyute      7   250.22    56.20    34   19.80    2.40      20      24 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      8   246.23    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      17      30 |
  |           BoylenOver      9   245.42    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      17      27 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   224.23    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     11   223.48    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      13      27 |
  |               LA Ute     12   222.47    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |           Rickomatic     13   219.29    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       7      37 |
  |        Blueintheface     14   217.52    65.35    34   31.35    0.00      13      24 |
  |          chrisrenrut     15   208.41    68.66    34   26.40    8.26      17      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           The_Douger     16   207.55    37.97    34    0.00    3.97      13      41 |
  |              FN Phat     17   205.30    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      34 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     18   202.89    37.54    34    0.00    3.54      13      42 |
  |            bluegoose     19   195.23    80.12    34   26.40   19.72      20      34 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     20   191.86    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       3      33 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96     21   189.65    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |          BemidjiCoug     22   187.65    70.52    34   15.40   21.12      20      38 |
  |             USU Coug     23   185.18    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      20      27 |
  |               Surfah     24   182.51    40.44    34    0.00    6.43      14      38 |
  |             camleish     25   176.77    56.00    34   22.00    0.00      13      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     26   172.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |                Brian     27   170.71    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      13      19 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     28   169.29     3.97     0    0.00    3.97      25      23 |
  |                U-Ute     29   166.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Joe Public     30   166.11    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       8      32 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     31   164.98     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      21      17 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     32   163.91    63.70    34   29.70    0.00      12      24 |
  |          Medfordcoug     33   163.43    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      35 |
  |            Omaha 680     34   163.25    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      45 |
  |               Pelado     35   158.34    50.99    34   15.40    1.59      13      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     36   149.75    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |              Top Ute     37   149.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     38   142.57     2.75     0    2.75    0.00      14      13 |
  |         DrumNFeather     39   141.96     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      22      19 |
  |             The_Tick     40   138.45    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      13      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           kimchicoug     41   132.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     42   128.21     2.75     0    2.75    0.00      21      20 |
  |        Clark Addison     43   120.99    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      14      37 |
  |           Drunk Tank     44   116.58    44.79    34    0.00   10.79      17      42 |
  |            OrangeUte     45   115.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     46   115.10     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      21       7 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     47   114.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     48   113.09     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      10 |
  |               DU Ute     49   108.41     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      23      17 |
  |             BigPiney     50   108.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg     51   103.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     52   103.89    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       7      42 |
  |                  CJF     53   103.24    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      17      30 |
  |             kccougar     54   101.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     55    97.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Commando     56    94.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     57    90.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     58    87.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     59    84.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10       0 |
  |          Parrot Head     60    84.98    36.75    34    2.75    0.00      10      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     61    84.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     62    82.43    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      13      38 |
  |         Lost_Student     63    75.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     64    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              LA Coug     65    66.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     66    65.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        bronson_tyler     67    63.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue     68    62.39    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |            Uncle Ted     69    56.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     70    53.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     71    49.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     72    45.37     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      14 |
  |              Danimal     73    43.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     74    43.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     75    40.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     76    38.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     77    36.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            myboynoah     78    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     79    32.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     80    31.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               fbguru     81    30.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               sparky     82    28.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               oxcoug     83    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     84    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Indy Coug     85    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              venkman     85    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     87    23.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     88    23.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     89    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     89    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         San Juan Sun     91    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Coastal Ute     92    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     93    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           lambdacoug     94    14.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     95    13.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     96    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     97     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     98     5.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy     99     5.50     5.50     0    5.50    0.00       0       0 |
  |          splitbamboo    100     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          TexTechCoug    101     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    102     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Utes23    103     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      23      17 |
  |           Bo Diddley    103     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte    103     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Southern Cal game results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        UtahJazzFan88      6   251.74    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      24      31 |
  |            bluegoose     19   195.23    80.12    34   26.40   19.72      20      34 |
  |          BemidjiCoug     22   187.65    70.52    34   15.40   21.12      20      38 |
  |              hostile      5   260.10    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      17      27 |
  |           BoylenOver      9   245.42    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      17      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie      2   276.04    70.14    34   31.35    4.79      17      28 |
  |             USU Coug     23   185.18    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      20      27 |
  |                  CJF     53   103.24    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      17      30 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      8   246.23    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      17      30 |
  |          chrisrenrut     15   208.41    68.66    34   26.40    8.26      17      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Blueintheface     14   217.52    65.35    34   31.35    0.00      13      24 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     32   163.91    63.70    34   29.70    0.00      12      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     21   189.65    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |          Flystripper      3   269.69    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |            Donuthole     36   149.75    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OceanBlue     68    62.39    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |              Moliere      1   286.92    62.05    34   28.05    0.00      17      24 |
  |             LiveCoug     11   223.48    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      13      27 |
  |                Brian     27   170.71    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      13      19 |
  |             Sullyute      7   250.22    56.20    34   19.80    2.40      20      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     25   176.77    56.00    34   22.00    0.00      13      28 |
  |            Applejack      4   262.30    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |               LA Ute     12   222.47    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   224.23    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |               Pelado     35   158.34    50.99    34   15.40    1.59      13      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Drunk Tank     44   116.58    44.79    34    0.00   10.79      17      42 |
  |               Surfah     24   182.51    40.44    34    0.00    6.43      14      38 |
  |        Clark Addison     43   120.99    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      14      37 |
  |             The_Tick     40   138.45    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      13      38 |
  |              falafel     62    82.43    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      13      38 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           The_Douger     16   207.55    37.97    34    0.00    3.97      13      41 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     18   202.89    37.54    34    0.00    3.54      13      42 |
  |          Parrot Head     60    84.98    36.75    34    2.75    0.00      10      31 |
  |            Omaha 680     34   163.25    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      45 |
  |               Topper     52   103.89    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       7      42 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Joe Public     30   166.11    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       8      32 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     20   191.86    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       3      33 |
  |          Medfordcoug     33   163.43    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      35 |
  |           Rickomatic     13   219.29    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       7      37 |
  |              FN Phat     17   205.30    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         TripletDaddy     99     5.50     5.50     0    5.50    0.00       0       0 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     28   169.29     3.97     0    0.00    3.97      25      23 |
  |                Solon     42   128.21     2.75     0    2.75    0.00      21      20 |
  |                wally     38   142.57     2.75     0    2.75    0.00      14      13 |
  |        originalsocal     48   113.09     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     46   115.10     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      21       7 |
  |                byu71     59    84.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10       0 |
  |             Devildog     31   164.98     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      21      17 |
  |              UteStar     26   172.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |            OrangeUte     45   115.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     49   108.41     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      23      17 |
  |              Scorcho     72    45.37     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      14 |
  |         DrumNFeather     39   141.96     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      22      19 |
  |               Utes23    103     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      23      17 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     75    40.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Applejack      4   262.30    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |                  bag     80    31.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BemidjiCoug     22   187.65    70.52    34   15.40   21.12      20      38 |
  |             BigPiney     50   108.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     19   195.23    80.12    34   26.40   19.72      20      34 |
  |        Blueintheface     14   217.52    65.35    34   31.35    0.00      13      24 |
  |         BlueNtheFace     20   191.86    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       3      33 |
  |           Bo Diddley    103     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg     51   103.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver      9   245.42    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      17      27 |
  |                Brian     27   170.71    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      13      19 |
  |        bronson_tyler     67    63.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     59    84.99     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      10       0 |
  |             camleish     25   176.77    56.00    34   22.00    0.00      13      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     70    53.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     15   208.41    68.66    34   26.40    8.26      17      31 |
  |                  CJF     53   103.24    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      17      30 |
  |        Clark Addison     43   120.99    40.37    34    0.00    6.37      14      37 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      8   246.23    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      17      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Coastal Ute     92    18.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     55    97.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     56    94.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     87    23.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     73    43.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Devildog     31   164.98     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      21      17 |
  |            Donuthole     36   149.75    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |         DrumNFeather     39   141.96     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      22      19 |
  |           Drunk Tank     44   116.58    44.79    34    0.00   10.79      17      42 |
  |               DU Ute     49   108.41     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      23      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     66    65.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             eldiente    102     4.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     62    82.43    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      13      38 |
  |               fbguru     81    30.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper      3   269.69    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     17   205.30    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      34 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     21   189.65    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |             happyone     88    23.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile      5   260.10    70.48    34   33.00    3.48      17      27 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     47   114.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Indy Coug     85    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     28   169.29     3.97     0    0.00    3.97      25      23 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     18   202.89    37.54    34    0.00    3.54      13      42 |
  |           Joe Public     30   166.11    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       8      32 |
  |             kccougar     54   101.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           kimchicoug     41   132.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              LA Coug     65    66.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     12   222.47    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |           lambdacoug     94    14.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     11   223.48    60.40    34   26.40    0.00      13      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost_Student     63    75.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     79    32.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Medfordcoug     33   163.43    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      35 |
  |              Moliere      1   286.92    62.05    34   28.05    0.00      17      24 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     46   115.10     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      21       7 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            myboynoah     78    34.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster     32   163.91    63.70    34   29.70    0.00      12      24 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     93    17.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OceanBlue     68    62.39    62.39    34   17.60   10.79      17      34 |
  |            Omaha 680     34   163.25    34.00    34    0.00    0.00      10      45 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     45   115.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      13 |
  |        originalsocal     48   113.09     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      13      10 |
  |               oxcoug     83    28.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   224.23    51.60    34   17.60    0.00      10      27 |
  |          Parrot Head     60    84.98    36.75    34    2.75    0.00      10      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     35   158.34    50.99    34   15.40    1.59      13      31 |
  |           pellegrino     95    13.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     96    10.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     13   219.29    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       7      37 |
  |         San Juan Sun     91    18.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug     77    36.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     72    45.37     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      24      14 |
  |              scottie      2   276.04    70.14    34   31.35    4.79      17      28 |
  |           SeattleUte    103     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     97     8.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     84    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     58    87.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     61    84.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     74    43.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     42   128.21     2.75     0    2.75    0.00      21      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               sparky     82    28.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo    100     5.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              statman     98     5.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     76    38.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute      7   250.22    56.20    34   19.80    2.40      20      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     24   182.51    40.44    34    0.00    6.43      14      38 |
  |          TexTechCoug    101     4.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           The_Douger     16   207.55    37.97    34    0.00    3.97      13      41 |
  |             The_Tick     40   138.45    38.54    34    0.00    4.54      13      38 |
  |          thesaint258     89    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Top Ute     37   149.56        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Topper     52   103.89    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       7      42 |
  |         TripletDaddy     99     5.50     5.50     0    5.50    0.00       0       0 |
  |                U-Ute     29   166.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     69    56.18        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug     23   185.18    69.24    34   28.05    7.19      20      27 |
  |              UtahDan     64    73.17        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88      6   251.74    83.08    34   28.05   21.03      24      31 |
  |               Utes23    103     0.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      23      17 |
  |              UteStar     26   172.80     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      20      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              venkman     85    26.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     89    19.31        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     38   142.57     2.75     0    2.75    0.00      14      13 |
  |            wuapinmon     57    90.15        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     71    49.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Southern Cal game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     15.20     15.50     12.00     20.00      0.00     25.00
       opred |     27.28     28.00     20.00     34.00      0.00     45.00
      winner |      0.74      1.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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