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Utah Prediction Constest Results: NoCol

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Constest Results: NoCol

    Standings sorted by NoCol results:

    Code:
      +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank   total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute      1   93.73    93.73    34   31.68   28.05      45       3 |
  |             kccougar      2   90.76    90.76    34   27.72   29.04      45       0 |
  |           Joe Public      3   89.18    89.18    34   30.36   24.82      44       5 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      4   87.25    87.25    34   30.36   22.89      45       6 |
  |              hostile      5   86.63    86.63    34   29.04   23.59      44       6 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg      6   85.75    85.75    34   31.68   20.07      47       7 |
  |              snowcat      6   85.75    85.75    34   31.68   20.07      48       6 |
  |               Pelado      8   84.87    84.87    34   26.40   24.47      42       6 |
  |             LiveCoug      9   84.58    84.58    34   21.78   28.80      38       3 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |        Blueintheface     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |               LA Ute     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |            OrangeUte     14   83.33    83.33    34   30.36   18.98      49       6 |
  |               Surfah     15   81.96    81.96    34   19.91   28.05      37       3 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     16   81.42    81.42    34   26.40   21.02      49       3 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     16   81.42    81.42    34   26.40   21.02      49       3 |
  |             USU Coug     18   79.59    79.59    34   26.40   19.19      45       9 |
  |             Devildog     19   76.23    76.23    34   30.36   11.87      49      10 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     20   75.90    75.90    34   29.04   12.86      48      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     21   75.48    75.48    34   27.72   13.76      51       6 |
  |              UteStar     22   75.47    75.47    34   21.78   19.69      44       9 |
  |            Applejack     23   75.12    75.12    34   18.04   23.08      40       7 |
  |        originalsocal     24   73.76    73.76    34   16.17   23.59      38       6 |
  |            bluegoose     24   73.76    73.76    34   16.17   23.59      38       6 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        UtahJazzFan88     26   73.21    73.21    34   27.72   11.49      52       7 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     27   72.73    72.73    34   26.40   12.33      52       6 |
  |          chrisrenrut     28   71.29    71.29    34   29.04    8.25      53       9 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     29   71.19    71.19    34   14.30   22.89      37       6 |
  |          Medfordcoug     30   71.01    71.01    34   21.78   15.23      45      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              LA Coug     30   71.01    71.01    34   21.78   15.23      45      10 |
  |                U-Ute     30   71.01    71.01    34   21.78   15.23      45      10 |
  |          BemidjiCoug     33   69.68    69.68    34   19.91   15.77      51       3 |
  |              Moliere     33   69.68    69.68    34   19.91   15.77      51       3 |
  |        bronson_tyler     35   68.98    68.98    34   29.04    5.94      54      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     36   67.28    67.28    34   14.30   18.98      41      10 |
  |            Uncle Ted     37   66.59    66.59    34   16.17   16.42      42      10 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     38   66.23    66.23    34   18.04   14.19      52       3 |
  |        Clark Addison     39   64.49    64.49    34    8.80   21.69      37       7 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     40   64.17    64.17    34   18.04   12.13      45      12 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     41   62.06    62.06    34   18.04   10.02      46      13 |
  |          CardiacCoug     42   60.73    60.73    34   16.17   10.56      45      13 |
  |              scottie     43   60.29    60.29    34    6.60   19.69      38       9 |
  |             BigPiney     43   60.29    60.29    34    6.60   19.69      32       3 |
  |              Top Ute     45   59.29    59.29    34   14.30   10.99      54       3 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     46   58.47    58.47    34    4.40   20.07      34       6 |
  |           BoylenOver     47   56.51    56.51    34   16.17    6.34      56       6 |
  |           Drunk Tank     47   56.51    56.51    34   16.17    6.34      56       6 |
  |            Omaha 680     49   54.17    54.17    34    4.40   15.77      38      10 |
  |            Donuthole     49   54.17    54.17    34    4.40   15.77      38      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Scorcho     51   50.39    50.39    34    2.20   14.19      38      11 |
  |                wally     52   49.95    49.95    34    4.40   11.55      54       0 |
  |             The_Tick     53   47.76    47.76    34    0.00   13.76      35      10 |
  |              FN Phat     54   45.87    45.87    34    0.00   11.87      33      10 |
  |                Solon     55   43.67    43.67    34    0.00    9.67      31      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     55   43.67    43.67    34    0.00    9.67      31      10 |
  |    smokymountainrain     57   43.20    43.20    34    0.00    9.20      29       8 |
  |                  CJF     58   42.29    42.29    34    6.60    1.69      59       6 |
  |           Rickomatic     59   40.60    40.60    34    6.60    0.00      63      10 |
  |            SoCalCoug     60   38.52    38.52    34    0.00    4.52      38      17 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     61   36.89    36.89    34    0.00    2.89      59       3 |
  |                YOhio     62   34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       5       3 |
  |            myboynoah     62   34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00     119      21 |
  +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by poster name:

    Code:
      +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank   total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Applejack     23   75.12    75.12    34   18.04   23.08      40       7 |
  |          BemidjiCoug     33   69.68    69.68    34   19.91   15.77      51       3 |
  |             BigPiney     43   60.29    60.29    34    6.60   19.69      32       3 |
  |            bluegoose     24   73.76    73.76    34   16.17   23.59      38       6 |
  |        Blueintheface     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         BlueNtheFace     21   75.48    75.48    34   27.72   13.76      51       6 |
  |                 Borg      6   85.75    85.75    34   31.68   20.07      47       7 |
  |           BoylenOver     47   56.51    56.51    34   16.17    6.34      56       6 |
  |                Brian     16   81.42    81.42    34   26.40   21.02      49       3 |
  |        bronson_tyler     35   68.98    68.98    34   29.04    5.94      54      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     55   43.67    43.67    34    0.00    9.67      31      10 |
  |             camleish     61   36.89    36.89    34    0.00    2.89      59       3 |
  |          CardiacCoug     42   60.73    60.73    34   16.17   10.56      45      13 |
  |          chrisrenrut     28   71.29    71.29    34   29.04    8.25      53       9 |
  |                  CJF     58   42.29    42.29    34    6.60    1.69      59       6 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison     39   64.49    64.49    34    8.80   21.69      37       7 |
  |        Coach McGuirk      4   87.25    87.25    34   30.36   22.89      45       6 |
  |             Devildog     19   76.23    76.23    34   30.36   11.87      49      10 |
  |            Donuthole     49   54.17    54.17    34    4.40   15.77      38      10 |
  |         DrumNFeather     41   62.06    62.06    34   18.04   10.02      46      13 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Drunk Tank     47   56.51    56.51    34   16.17    6.34      56       6 |
  |               DU Ute     36   67.28    67.28    34   14.30   18.98      41      10 |
  |      Dwight Schr-ute     27   72.73    72.73    34   26.40   12.33      52       6 |
  |          Flystripper     46   58.47    58.47    34    4.40   20.07      34       6 |
  |              FN Phat     54   45.87    45.87    34    0.00   11.87      33      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96     38   66.23    66.23    34   18.04   14.19      52       3 |
  |              hostile      5   86.63    86.63    34   29.04   23.59      44       6 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     29   71.19    71.19    34   14.30   22.89      37       6 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     20   75.90    75.90    34   29.04   12.86      48      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Joe Public      3   89.18    89.18    34   30.36   24.82      44       5 |
  |             kccougar      2   90.76    90.76    34   27.72   29.04      45       0 |
  |              LA Coug     30   71.01    71.01    34   21.78   15.23      45      10 |
  |               LA Ute     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |             LiveCoug      9   84.58    84.58    34   21.78   28.80      38       3 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Medfordcoug     30   71.01    71.01    34   21.78   15.23      45      10 |
  |              Moliere     33   69.68    69.68    34   19.91   15.77      51       3 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     16   81.42    81.42    34   26.40   21.02      49       3 |
  |            myboynoah     62   34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00     119      21 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     40   64.17    64.17    34   18.04   12.13      45      12 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680     49   54.17    54.17    34    4.40   15.77      38      10 |
  |            OrangeUte     14   83.33    83.33    34   30.36   18.98      49       6 |
  |        originalsocal     24   73.76    73.76    34   16.17   23.59      38       6 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     10   84.04    84.04    34   27.72   22.32      48       3 |
  |               Pelado      8   84.87    84.87    34   26.40   24.47      42       6 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Rickomatic     59   40.60    40.60    34    6.60    0.00      63      10 |
  |              Scorcho     51   50.39    50.39    34    2.20   14.19      38      11 |
  |              scottie     43   60.29    60.29    34    6.60   19.69      38       9 |
  |    smokymountainrain     57   43.20    43.20    34    0.00    9.20      29       8 |
  |              snowcat      6   85.75    85.75    34   31.68   20.07      48       6 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug     60   38.52    38.52    34    0.00    4.52      38      17 |
  |                Solon     55   43.67    43.67    34    0.00    9.67      31      10 |
  |             Sullyute      1   93.73    93.73    34   31.68   28.05      45       3 |
  |               Surfah     15   81.96    81.96    34   19.91   28.05      37       3 |
  |             The_Tick     53   47.76    47.76    34    0.00   13.76      35      10 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Top Ute     45   59.29    59.29    34   14.30   10.99      54       3 |
  |                U-Ute     30   71.01    71.01    34   21.78   15.23      45      10 |
  |            Uncle Ted     37   66.59    66.59    34   16.17   16.42      42      10 |
  |             USU Coug     18   79.59    79.59    34   26.40   19.19      45       9 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     26   73.21    73.21    34   27.72   11.49      52       7 |
  |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar     22   75.47    75.47    34   21.78   19.69      44       9 |
  |                wally     52   49.95    49.95    34    4.40   11.55      54       0 |
  |                YOhio     62   34.00    34.00    34    0.00    0.00       5       3 |
  +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Prediction summary stats:

      Code:
         variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     45.40     45.00     38.00     51.00      5.00    119.00
       opred |      7.08      6.00      3.00     10.00      0.00     21.00
      winner |      1.00      1.00      1.00      1.00      1.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment

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