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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Cal Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Cal Game

    Overall standings as of the Cal game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   432.94    72.45    20   23.33   29.12      17      31 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      2   389.30    44.91    20    6.67   18.24      16      20 |
  |             USU Coug      3   387.62    47.38    20   11.67   15.71      27      34 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   368.06    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      23      20 |
  |                 Borg      5   355.76    56.67    20   13.33   23.34      16      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680      6   344.33    72.45    20   23.33   29.12      17      31 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      7   338.49    42.01    20    6.67   15.34      13      17 |
  |             LiveCoug      8   334.91    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      21      30 |
  |        Clark Addison      9   332.06    54.23    20   11.67   22.56      17      24 |
  |            mr_thekid     10   320.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     11   316.44    38.24    20    1.67   16.57      20      21 |
  |                  8BR     12   305.29     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      35      24 |
  |             Sullyute     13   303.00     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      23      17 |
  |              hostile     14   295.70     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      27      13 |
  |            bluegoose     15   295.47     3.94     0    0.00    3.94      24      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     16   294.94     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      24      16 |
  |               Sizzle     17   293.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     18   287.36    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      17      20 |
  |              Moliere     19   283.79     4.72     0    0.00    4.72      31      21 |
  |                byu71     20   279.86     9.73     0    0.00    9.73      17      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     21   274.10     1.01     0    0.00    1.01      34      21 |
  |           BoylenOver     22   263.02    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      24      20 |
  |        Blueintheface     23   259.55     0.31     0    0.00    0.31      24      10 |
  |              snowcat     24   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     25   256.37    40.79    20    6.67   14.13      12      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     26   250.33    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      24      21 |
  |              FN Phat     27   248.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute     28   247.80     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      30      16 |
  |           Joe Public     29   241.55    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      24      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     30   237.19     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      28      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     31   236.13     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |            OrangeUte     32   222.87     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      31      27 |
  |         DrumNFeather     33   221.84     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      27      16 |
  |             happyone     34   220.78    43.76    20    5.00   18.76      21      24 |
  |             Devildog     35   219.43     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     36   216.17    10.58     0    0.00   10.58      28      24 |
  |              UteStar     37   212.84     9.63     0    0.00    9.63      24      18 |
  |               DU Ute     38   207.34     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      23      17 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     39   204.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri     40   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     41   196.75    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      24      21 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     42   191.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |     Mormon Red Death     43   190.55     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |                wally     44   185.79     8.28     0    0.00    8.28      28      21 |
  |                Eddie     45   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             BlueHair     46   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     47   180.53     3.94     0    0.00    3.94      31      20 |
  |              Scorcho     48   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     49   162.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     50   137.08     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           doctorcoug     51   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     52   118.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     53   113.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     54   112.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     55   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 woot     56   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     57   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     58   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     59   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     60    99.23     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      24      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     61    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     62    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     63    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     64    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Spicoli     65    86.71    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      21      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             SportUTE     66    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian     67    85.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17       3 |
  |             ERCougar     68    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     69    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     70    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      NorthwestUteFan     71    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     72    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     73    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     74    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     75    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     76    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     77    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     78    56.67    56.67    20   13.33   23.34      20      28 |
  |            Marvelous     79    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     80    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Green Monstah     81    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     82    33.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     83    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     84    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            MarkGrace     85    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Aversator     86     9.43     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      27      21 |
  |           The Rambam     87     8.54     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |             Clueless     88     4.29     4.29     0    0.00    4.29      17      10 |
  |           SeattleUte     89     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          splitbamboo     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               FMCoug     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Do Not Want!     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Cal prediction results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680      6   344.33    72.45    20   23.33   29.12      17      31 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   432.94    72.45    20   23.33   29.12      17      31 |
  |             LiveCoug      8   334.91    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      21      30 |
  |                 Borg      5   355.76    56.67    20   13.33   23.34      16      24 |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     78    56.67    56.67    20   13.33   23.34      20      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison      9   332.06    54.23    20   11.67   22.56      17      24 |
  |             USU Coug      3   387.62    47.38    20   11.67   15.71      27      34 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      2   389.30    44.91    20    6.67   18.24      16      20 |
  |             happyone     34   220.78    43.76    20    5.00   18.76      21      24 |
  |               Surfah     18   287.36    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96      7   338.49    42.01    20    6.67   15.34      13      17 |
  |             beefytee     25   256.37    40.79    20    6.67   14.13      12      16 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     11   316.44    38.24    20    1.67   16.57      20      21 |
  |              Spicoli     65    86.71    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      21      20 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   368.06    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      23      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     41   196.75    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      24      21 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     26   250.33    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      24      21 |
  |           BoylenOver     22   263.02    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      24      20 |
  |           Joe Public     29   241.55    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      24      20 |
  |             camleish     36   216.17    10.58     0    0.00   10.58      28      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     20   279.86     9.73     0    0.00    9.73      17      14 |
  |              UteStar     37   212.84     9.63     0    0.00    9.63      24      18 |
  |            Aversator     86     9.43     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      27      21 |
  |             Sullyute     13   303.00     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      23      17 |
  |               DU Ute     38   207.34     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      23      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           The Rambam     87     8.54     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |            Donuthole     31   236.13     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |             Devildog     35   219.43     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |            OrangeUte     32   222.87     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      31      27 |
  |                wally     44   185.79     8.28     0    0.00    8.28      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     60    99.23     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      24      16 |
  |          Flystripper     16   294.94     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      24      16 |
  |              Moliere     19   283.79     4.72     0    0.00    4.72      31      21 |
  |         DrumNFeather     33   221.84     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      27      16 |
  |               LA Ute     50   137.08     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Clueless     88     4.29     4.29     0    0.00    4.29      17      10 |
  |            bluegoose     15   295.47     3.94     0    0.00    3.94      24      13 |
  |                  CJF     47   180.53     3.94     0    0.00    3.94      31      20 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     30   237.19     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      28      14 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     28   247.80     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      30      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     12   305.29     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      35      24 |
  |              hostile     14   295.70     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      27      13 |
  |            Uncle Ted     21   274.10     1.01     0    0.00    1.01      34      21 |
  |        Blueintheface     23   259.55     0.31     0    0.00    0.31      24      10 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     43   190.55     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     67    85.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17       3 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     12   305.29     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      35      24 |
  |         All-American     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Aversator     86     9.43     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      27      21 |
  |                  bag     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     25   256.37    40.79    20    6.67   14.13      12      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   432.94    72.45    20   23.33   29.12      17      31 |
  |            bluegoose     15   295.47     3.94     0    0.00    3.94      24      13 |
  |             BlueHair     46   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     23   259.55     0.31     0    0.00    0.31      24      10 |
  |    Borderline Divine     83    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Borg      5   355.76    56.67    20   13.33   23.34      16      24 |
  |           BoylenOver     22   263.02    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      24      20 |
  |                Brian     67    85.85     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      17       3 |
  |                byu71     20   279.86     9.73     0    0.00    9.73      17      14 |
  |             camleish     36   216.17    10.58     0    0.00   10.58      28      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          CardiacCoug     63    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     47   180.53     3.94     0    0.00    3.94      31      20 |
  |        Clark Addison      9   332.06    54.23    20   11.67   22.56      17      24 |
  |             Clueless     88     4.29     4.29     0    0.00    4.29      17      10 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     11   316.44    38.24    20    1.67   16.57      20      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Commando     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     70    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     35   219.43     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |         Do Not Want!     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           doctorcoug     51   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     31   236.13     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     33   221.84     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      27      16 |
  |           Drunk Tank     77    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               DU Ute     38   207.34     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      23      17 |
  |                Eddie     45   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     68    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     72    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            filsdepac     59   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     58   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     16   294.94     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      24      16 |
  |               FMCoug     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     27   248.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96      7   338.49    42.01    20    6.67   15.34      13      17 |
  |        Green Monstah     81    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     34   220.78    43.76    20    5.00   18.76      21      24 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     39   204.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile     14   295.70     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      27      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     30   237.19     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      28      14 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     28   247.80     1.56     0    0.00    1.56      30      16 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     42   191.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     26   250.33    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      24      21 |
  |           Joe Public     29   241.55    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     61    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     57   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     50   137.08     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      28      17 |
  |             LiveCoug      8   334.91    58.28    20   15.00   23.28      21      30 |
  |            MarkGrace     85    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Marvelous     79    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     73    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Moliere     19   283.79     4.72     0    0.00    4.72      31      21 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     43   190.55     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      35      14 |
  |            mr_thekid     10   320.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster      2   389.30    44.91    20    6.67   18.24      16      20 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     62    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     71    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680      6   344.33    72.45    20   23.33   29.12      17      31 |
  |            OrangeUte     32   222.87     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      31      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     80    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   368.06    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      23      20 |
  |          Parrot Head     41   196.75    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      24      21 |
  |               Pelado     49   162.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Portland Ute     75    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Scorcho     48   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     69    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     89     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     17   293.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     52   118.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     24   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     76    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Spicoli     65    86.71    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      21      20 |
  |          splitbamboo     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     66    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     64    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     13   303.00     9.43     0    0.00    9.43      23      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     18   287.36    42.64    20    5.00   17.64      17      20 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     60    99.23     7.42     0    0.00    7.42      24      16 |
  |           The Rambam     87     8.54     8.54     0    0.00    8.54      24      17 |
  |             The_Tick     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri     40   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheBYUGuy     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     90     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     84    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     55   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     21   274.10     1.01     0    0.00    1.01      34      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug      3   387.62    47.38    20   11.67   15.71      27      34 |
  |              UtahDan     74    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        UtahJazzFan88     78    56.67    56.67    20   13.33   23.34      20      28 |
  |              UteStar     37   212.84     9.63     0    0.00    9.63      24      18 |
  |               Viking     53   113.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     44   185.79     8.28     0    0.00    8.28      28      21 |
  |                 woot     56   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     82    33.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     54   112.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Cal game:

        Code:
           variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     23.54     24.00     20.00     27.00     12.00     35.00
       opred |     19.48     20.00     16.00     21.00      3.00     34.00
      winner |      0.28      0.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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