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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Pitt Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Pitt Game

    Overall standings as of the Pitt game:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   360.49    80.38    20   36.67   23.71      17       7 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   355.35    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      23      20 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      3   344.39    22.80     0    0.00   22.80      18      23 |
  |             USU Coug      4   340.24    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      27      24 |
  |            mr_thekid      5   320.94    15.05     0    0.00   15.05      10      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR      6   303.76    73.73    20   26.67   27.06      27      23 |
  |                 Borg      7   299.08    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      16      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      8   296.49    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      13      20 |
  |              hostile      9   294.29    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      24      17 |
  |               Sizzle     10   293.63    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      24      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     11   293.57    78.34    20   26.67   31.67      21      17 |
  |            bluegoose     12   291.53    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      20      27 |
  |          Flystripper     13   287.52    17.41     0    0.00   17.41      17      27 |
  |              Moliere     14   279.08    14.25     0    0.00   14.25      20      31 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     15   278.20    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      19      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison     16   277.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     17   276.63    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      13      21 |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   273.09    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      20      24 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   271.88     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      13      34 |
  |                byu71     20   270.13    75.24    20   26.67   28.57      18      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Blueintheface     21   259.24    17.41     0    0.00   17.41      13      23 |
  |              snowcat     22   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     23   251.30    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      31      17 |
  |              FN Phat     24   248.16    20.78     0    0.00   20.78      17      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     25   246.24    17.69     0    0.00   17.69      16      26 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     26   244.72     8.67     0    0.00    8.67      17      34 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     27   237.62    10.55     0    0.00   10.55      21      34 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     28   235.63    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      16      20 |
  |           Joe Public     29   229.83     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      13      34 |
  |            Donuthole     30   227.59    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      26      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     31   217.21    74.61    20   30.00   24.61      16      10 |
  |             beefytee     32   215.58     6.65     0    0.00    6.65      22      37 |
  |            OrangeUte     33   214.49    95.96    20   40.00   35.96      24      12 |
  |             Devildog     34   210.89    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      27      24 |
  |             camleish     35   205.58    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      13      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     36   204.94    72.34    20   36.67   15.67      37      27 |
  |            TheAzzuri     37   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     38   203.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     39   197.91    92.15    20   36.67   35.48      23      13 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     40   191.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   190.55    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      35      14 |
  |          Parrot Head     42   184.04    19.70     0    0.00   19.70      17      25 |
  |                Eddie     43   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BlueHair     44   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     45   177.51    89.29    20   33.33   35.96      24      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     46   177.02    24.55     0    0.00   24.55      17      20 |
  |                  CJF     47   176.59    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      13      24 |
  |              Scorcho     48   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Pelado     49   162.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     50   132.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           doctorcoug     51   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     52   118.07    90.28    20   36.67   33.61      22      12 |
  |               Viking     53   113.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     54   112.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       9      53 |
  |                U-Ute     55   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 woot     56   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     57   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     58   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     59   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     60    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       NorthShoreCoug     61    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     62    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     63    91.81    91.81    20   35.00   36.81      28      13 |
  |            SteelBlue     64    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     65    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     66    85.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     67    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     68    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     69    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     70    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     71    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Spicoli     72    72.14    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      17      14 |
  |              Maximus     73    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     74    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     75    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     76    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     77    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     78    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     79    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Green Monstah     80    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            wuapinmon     81    33.30     2.86     0    0.00    2.86       0      14 |
  |    Borderline Divine     82    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     83    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            MarkGrace     84    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     85     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               FMCoug     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Do Not Want!     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |  drkennethnoisewater     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Pitt game results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte     33   214.49    95.96    20   40.00   35.96      24      12 |
  |               DU Ute     39   197.91    92.15    20   36.67   35.48      23      13 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     63    91.81    91.81    20   35.00   36.81      28      13 |
  |    smokymountainrain     52   118.07    90.28    20   36.67   33.61      22      12 |
  |                wally     45   177.51    89.29    20   33.33   35.96      24      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     23   251.30    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      31      17 |
  |              hostile      9   294.29    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      24      17 |
  |               Sizzle     10   293.63    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      24      17 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   360.49    80.38    20   36.67   23.71      17       7 |
  |             Sullyute     11   293.57    78.34    20   26.67   31.67      21      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   355.35    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      23      20 |
  |                byu71     20   270.13    75.24    20   26.67   28.57      18      14 |
  |         DrumNFeather     31   217.21    74.61    20   30.00   24.61      16      10 |
  |                  8BR      6   303.76    73.73    20   26.67   27.06      27      23 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     36   204.94    72.34    20   36.67   15.67      37      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   190.55    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      35      14 |
  |            Donuthole     30   227.59    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      26      23 |
  |              Spicoli     72    72.14    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      17      14 |
  |             Devildog     34   210.89    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      27      24 |
  |             USU Coug      4   340.24    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      27      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     46   177.02    24.55     0    0.00   24.55      17      20 |
  |                 Borg      7   299.08    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      16      20 |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   273.09    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      20      24 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     28   235.63    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      16      20 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      3   344.39    22.80     0    0.00   22.80      18      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     24   248.16    20.78     0    0.00   20.78      17      24 |
  |          Parrot Head     42   184.04    19.70     0    0.00   19.70      17      25 |
  |            bluegoose     12   291.53    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      20      27 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      8   296.49    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      13      20 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     15   278.20    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      19      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     17   276.63    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      13      21 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     25   246.24    17.69     0    0.00   17.69      16      26 |
  |          Flystripper     13   287.52    17.41     0    0.00   17.41      17      27 |
  |        Blueintheface     21   259.24    17.41     0    0.00   17.41      13      23 |
  |                  CJF     47   176.59    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      13      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            mr_thekid      5   320.94    15.05     0    0.00   15.05      10      21 |
  |              Moliere     14   279.08    14.25     0    0.00   14.25      20      31 |
  |             camleish     35   205.58    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      13      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     27   237.62    10.55     0    0.00   10.55      21      34 |
  |               Surfah     26   244.72     8.67     0    0.00    8.67      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     32   215.58     6.65     0    0.00    6.65      22      37 |
  |           Joe Public     29   229.83     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      13      34 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   271.88     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      13      34 |
  |            wuapinmon     81    33.30     2.86     0    0.00    2.86       0      14 |
  |                YOhio     54   112.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       9      53 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR      6   303.76    73.73    20   26.67   27.06      27      23 |
  |         All-American     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     32   215.58     6.65     0    0.00    6.65      22      37 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      1   360.49    80.38    20   36.67   23.71      17       7 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     12   291.53    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      20      27 |
  |             BlueHair     44   180.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     21   259.24    17.41     0    0.00   17.41      13      23 |
  |    Borderline Divine     82    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg      7   299.08    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      16      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     23   251.30    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      31      17 |
  |                Brian     66    85.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                byu71     20   270.13    75.24    20   26.67   28.57      18      14 |
  |             camleish     35   205.58    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      13      27 |
  |          CardiacCoug     62    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     47   176.59    16.57     0    0.00   16.57      13      24 |
  |        Clark Addison     16   277.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Coach McGuirk     15   278.20    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      19      27 |
  |             Commando     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     69    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     34   210.89    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      27      24 |
  |         Do Not Want!     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     51   127.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     30   227.59    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      26      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |  drkennethnoisewater     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     31   217.21    74.61    20   30.00   24.61      16      10 |
  |           Drunk Tank     77    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     39   197.91    92.15    20   36.67   35.48      23      13 |
  |                Eddie     43   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             ERCougar     67    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     71    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     59   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     58   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     13   287.52    17.41     0    0.00   17.41      17      27 |
  |               FMCoug     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     24   248.16    20.78     0    0.00   20.78      17      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      8   296.49    19.55     0    0.00   19.55      13      20 |
  |        Green Monstah     80    48.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     46   177.02    24.55     0    0.00   24.55      17      20 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     36   204.94    72.34    20   36.67   15.67      37      27 |
  |              hostile      9   294.29    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      24      17 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     28   235.63    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      16      20 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     25   246.24    17.69     0    0.00   17.69      16      26 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     40   191.09        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     27   237.62    10.55     0    0.00   10.55      21      34 |
  |           Joe Public     29   229.83     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      13      34 |
  |            Katy Lied     60    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     57   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               LA Ute     50   132.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     17   276.63    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      13      21 |
  |            MarkGrace     84    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     78    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     73    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     14   279.08    14.25     0    0.00   14.25      20      31 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   190.55    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      35      14 |
  |            mr_thekid      5   320.94    15.05     0    0.00   15.05      10      21 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      3   344.39    22.80     0    0.00   22.80      18      23 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     61    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      NorthwestUteFan     70    76.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Omaha 680     19   271.88     5.92     0    0.00    5.92      13      34 |
  |            OrangeUte     33   214.49    95.96    20   40.00   35.96      24      12 |
  |        originalsocal     79    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      2   355.35    75.42    20   25.00   30.42      23      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     42   184.04    19.70     0    0.00   19.70      17      25 |
  |               Pelado     49   162.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     75    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       RobinFinderson     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     48   172.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     68    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     85     1.40        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     10   293.63    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      24      17 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     52   118.07    90.28    20   36.67   33.61      22      12 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     22   257.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     76    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Spicoli     72    72.14    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      17      14 |
  |          splitbamboo     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             SportUTE     65    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     64    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     11   293.57    78.34    20   26.67   31.67      21      17 |
  |               Surfah     26   244.72     8.67     0    0.00    8.67      17      34 |
  | The Notorious J.I.C.     63    91.81    91.81    20   35.00   36.81      28      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             The_Tick     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri     37   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     86     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     83    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                U-Ute     55   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     18   273.09    23.34     0    0.00   23.34      20      24 |
  |             USU Coug      4   340.24    70.64    20   25.00   25.64      27      24 |
  |              UtahDan     74    64.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     38   203.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     53   113.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     45   177.51    89.29    20   33.33   35.96      24      16 |
  |                 woot     56   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     81    33.30     2.86     0    0.00    2.86       0      14 |
  |                YOhio     54   112.00     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       9      53 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Pitt game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     19.42     18.00     16.00     24.00      0.00     37.00
       opred |     22.31     23.00     17.00     27.00      7.00     53.00
      winner |      0.44      0.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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