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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona St. Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Arizona St. Game

    Overall standings as of the Arizona St. game:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster      1   321.60    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      20      30 |
  |            mr_thekid      2   305.89    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      10      42 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      3   280.11    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      20      35 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   279.93    83.61    20   30.00   33.61      16      31 |
  |        Clark Addison      5   277.84    78.33    20   28.33   30.00      14      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96      6   276.94    71.61    20   28.33   23.28      10      24 |
  |                 Borg      7   275.74    76.82    20   28.33   28.48      13      27 |
  |            bluegoose      8   271.98    76.82    20   28.33   28.48      13      27 |
  |          Flystripper      9   270.11    88.82    20   33.33   35.48      17      34 |
  |             USU Coug     10   269.60    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      20      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Omaha 680     11   265.96    86.05    20   33.33   32.72       9      34 |
  |              Moliere     12   264.83    86.05    20   33.33   32.72      13      30 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     13   259.29    81.19    20   28.33   32.86      17      31 |
  |             LiveCoug     14   257.72    48.15    20   10.00   18.15      17      20 |
  |              snowcat     15   257.38    90.71    20   35.00   35.71      17      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     16   249.75    67.55    20   23.33   24.22      13      24 |
  |        Blueintheface     17   241.83    93.18    20   38.33   34.85      17      37 |
  |               Surfah     18   236.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     19   230.03    69.46    20   21.67   27.79      17      27 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     20   228.56    80.64    20   28.33   32.31      16      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     21   227.38    60.75    20   23.33   17.41       9      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     22   227.08    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      21      31 |
  |           Joe Public     23   223.91    75.57    20   35.00   20.57       6      24 |
  |             Sullyute     24   215.24    53.77    20   11.67   22.10      20      24 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     25   212.29    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      19      29 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     26   208.93    10.86     0    0.00   10.86      34      31 |
  |              hostile     27   207.78    78.34    20   26.67   31.67      17      30 |
  |               Sizzle     28   207.11    62.38    20   16.67   25.71      20      27 |
  |            TheAzzuri     29   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     30   203.21    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      20      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     31   194.89     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      17      14 |
  |             camleish     32   191.85    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      13      34 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     33   191.09     7.90     0    0.00    7.90      35      27 |
  |                Eddie     34   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BlueHair     35   180.60    85.42    20   35.00   30.42      17      41 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Scorcho     36   172.02    17.69     0    0.00   17.69      24      23 |
  |          Parrot Head     37   164.34    69.46    20   21.67   27.79      17      27 |
  |           BoylenOver     38   162.96    61.28    20   16.67   24.61      24      31 |
  |               Pelado     39   162.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     40   160.02    89.11    20   35.00   34.11      13      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     41   155.45    28.33    20    8.33    0.00       2       4 |
  |             happyone     42   152.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     43   142.60    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      24      21 |
  |             Devildog     44   140.24    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      24 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     45   132.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               LA Ute     46   132.45    16.96     0    0.00   16.96      28      27 |
  |           doctorcoug     47   127.01    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      18      28 |
  |            OrangeUte     48   118.53     8.28     0    0.00    8.28      27      17 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     49   118.41     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      14 |
  |               Viking     50   113.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     51   112.00    76.82    20   28.33   28.48       6      34 |
  |                U-Ute     52   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 woot     53   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     54   105.76    15.01     0    0.00   15.01      23      20 |
  |             kccougar     55   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Flattop     56   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     57   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     58    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     59    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     60    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     61    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     62    88.22    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      24      21 |
  |             SportUTE     63    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian     64    85.85     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      17      14 |
  |             ERCougar     65    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie     66    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     67    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     68    76.38    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      28      24 |
  |              falafel     69    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     70    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     71    64.69    13.31     0    0.00   13.31      19      17 |
  |         Portland Ute     72    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Solon     73    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     74    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     75    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        originalsocal     76    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Green Monstah     77    48.76    48.76    20   11.67   17.10      30      34 |
  |            wuapinmon     78    30.45        .     .       .       .       .      24 |
  |    smokymountainrain     79    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     80    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               TTCoug     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            MarkGrace     82    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     83     1.40     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      41      34 |
  |         Do Not Want!     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               FMCoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Sleeping in EQ     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Arizona St. results:

    Code:
     +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     32   191.85    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      13      34 |
  |        Blueintheface     17   241.83    93.18    20   38.33   34.85      17      37 |
  |              snowcat     15   257.38    90.71    20   35.00   35.71      17      35 |
  |                  CJF     40   160.02    89.11    20   35.00   34.11      13      31 |
  |          Flystripper      9   270.11    88.82    20   33.33   35.48      17      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     12   264.83    86.05    20   33.33   32.72      13      30 |
  |            Omaha 680     11   265.96    86.05    20   33.33   32.72       9      34 |
  |             BlueHair     35   180.60    85.42    20   35.00   30.42      17      41 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   279.93    83.61    20   30.00   33.61      16      31 |
  |             USU Coug     10   269.60    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      20      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          BemidjiCoug      3   280.11    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      20      35 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     13   259.29    81.19    20   28.33   32.86      17      31 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     20   228.56    80.64    20   28.33   32.31      16      30 |
  |              hostile     27   207.78    78.34    20   26.67   31.67      17      30 |
  |        Clark Addison      5   277.84    78.33    20   28.33   30.00      14      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     51   112.00    76.82    20   28.33   28.48       6      34 |
  |                 Borg      7   275.74    76.82    20   28.33   28.48      13      27 |
  |            bluegoose      8   271.98    76.82    20   28.33   28.48      13      27 |
  |           Joe Public     23   223.91    75.57    20   35.00   20.57       6      24 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      6   276.94    71.61    20   28.33   23.28      10      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster      1   321.60    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      20      30 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     25   212.29    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      19      29 |
  |              UteStar     30   203.21    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      20      30 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     22   227.08    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      21      31 |
  |           doctorcoug     47   127.01    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      18      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            mr_thekid      2   305.89    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      10      42 |
  |                  8BR     19   230.03    69.46    20   21.67   27.79      17      27 |
  |          Parrot Head     37   164.34    69.46    20   21.67   27.79      17      27 |
  |            Uncle Ted     16   249.75    67.55    20   23.33   24.22      13      24 |
  |               Sizzle     28   207.11    62.38    20   16.67   25.71      20      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     38   162.96    61.28    20   16.67   24.61      24      31 |
  |              FN Phat     21   227.38    60.75    20   23.33   17.41       9      20 |
  |             Sullyute     24   215.24    53.77    20   11.67   22.10      20      24 |
  |        Green Monstah     77    48.76    48.76    20   11.67   17.10      30      34 |
  |             LiveCoug     14   257.72    48.15    20   10.00   18.15      17      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Donuthole     41   155.45    28.33    20    8.33    0.00       2       4 |
  |              Scorcho     36   172.02    17.69     0    0.00   17.69      24      23 |
  |               LA Ute     46   132.45    16.96     0    0.00   16.96      28      27 |
  |             Devildog     44   140.24    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      24 |
  |         DrumNFeather     43   142.60    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      24      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     62    88.22    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      24      21 |
  |               DU Ute     54   105.76    15.01     0    0.00   15.01      23      20 |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     68    76.38    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      28      24 |
  |              UtahDan     71    64.69    13.31     0    0.00   13.31      19      17 |
  |             beefytee     26   208.93    10.86     0    0.00   10.86      34      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     64    85.85     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      17      14 |
  |                byu71     31   194.89     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      17      14 |
  |            OrangeUte     48   118.53     8.28     0    0.00    8.28      27      17 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     33   191.09     7.90     0    0.00    7.90      35      27 |
  |           SeattleUte     83     1.40     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      41      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     49   118.41     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      14 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     19   230.03    69.46    20   21.67   27.79      17      27 |
  |         All-American     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     26   208.93    10.86     0    0.00   10.86      34      31 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      3   280.11    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      20      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose      8   271.98    76.82    20   28.33   28.48      13      27 |
  |             BlueHair     35   180.60    85.42    20   35.00   30.42      17      41 |
  |        Blueintheface     17   241.83    93.18    20   38.33   34.85      17      37 |
  |    Borderline Divine     80    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg      7   275.74    76.82    20   28.33   28.48      13      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     38   162.96    61.28    20   16.67   24.61      24      31 |
  |                Brian     64    85.85     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      17      14 |
  |                byu71     31   194.89     9.70     0    0.00    9.70      17      14 |
  |             camleish     32   191.85    97.98    20   40.00   37.98      13      34 |
  |          CardiacCoug     60    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     40   160.02    89.11    20   35.00   34.11      13      31 |
  |        Clark Addison      5   277.84    78.33    20   28.33   30.00      14      28 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     13   259.29    81.19    20   28.33   32.86      17      31 |
  |             Commando     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     67    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     44   140.24    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      24 |
  |         Do Not Want!     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     47   127.01    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      18      28 |
  |            Donuthole     41   155.45    28.33    20    8.33    0.00       2       4 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |  drkennethnoisewater     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     43   142.60    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      24      21 |
  |           Drunk Tank     74    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     54   105.76    15.01     0    0.00   15.01      23      20 |
  |                Eddie     34   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             ERCougar     65    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     69    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     57   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     56   105.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper      9   270.11    88.82    20   33.33   35.48      17      34 |
  |               FMCoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     21   227.38    60.75    20   23.33   17.41       9      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      6   276.94    71.61    20   28.33   23.28      10      24 |
  |        Green Monstah     77    48.76    48.76    20   11.67   17.10      30      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     42   152.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     45   132.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              hostile     27   207.78    78.34    20   26.67   31.67      17      30 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     25   212.29    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      19      29 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     20   228.56    80.64    20   28.33   32.31      16      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     33   191.09     7.90     0    0.00    7.90      35      27 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     22   227.08    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      21      31 |
  |           Joe Public     23   223.91    75.57    20   35.00   20.57       6      24 |
  |            Katy Lied     58    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     55   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               LA Ute     46   132.45    16.96     0    0.00   16.96      28      27 |
  |             LiveCoug     14   257.72    48.15    20   10.00   18.15      17      20 |
  |            MarkGrace     82    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     75    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     70    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     12   264.83    86.05    20   33.33   32.72      13      30 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     49   118.41     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      14 |
  |            mr_thekid      2   305.89    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      10      42 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      1   321.60    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      20      30 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     59    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      NorthwestUteFan     68    76.38    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      28      24 |
  |            Omaha 680     11   265.96    86.05    20   33.33   32.72       9      34 |
  |            OrangeUte     48   118.53     8.28     0    0.00    8.28      27      17 |
  |        originalsocal     76    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      4   279.93    83.61    20   30.00   33.61      16      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     37   164.34    69.46    20   21.67   27.79      17      27 |
  |               Pelado     39   162.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     72    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       RobinFinderson     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     36   172.02    17.69     0    0.00   17.69      24      23 |
  |              scottie     66    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SeattleUte     83     1.40     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      41      34 |
  |                Shaka     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     28   207.11    62.38    20   16.67   25.71      20      27 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     79    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     15   257.38    90.71    20   35.00   35.71      17      35 |
  |                Solon     73    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     63    86.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     61    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Sullyute     24   215.24    53.77    20   11.67   22.10      20      24 |
  |               Surfah     18   236.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri     29   203.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheBYUGuy     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     52   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     16   249.75    67.55    20   23.33   24.22      13      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug     10   269.60    81.43    20   30.00   31.43      20      35 |
  |              UtahDan     71    64.69    13.31     0    0.00   13.31      19      17 |
  |              UteStar     30   203.21    70.51    20   21.67   28.84      20      30 |
  |               Viking     50   113.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     62    88.22    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      24      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 woot     53   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon     78    30.45        .     .       .       .       .      24 |
  |                YOhio     51   112.00    76.82    20   28.33   28.48       6      34 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction contest summary stats:

        Code:
           variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     18.88     17.00     13.00     24.00      2.00     41.00
       opred |     27.22     28.00     24.00     31.00      4.00     42.00
      winner |      0.71      1.00      0.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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