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Utah Prediction Contest Results: Washington Game

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  • #1

    Utah Prediction Contest Results: Washington Game

    Overall standings as of the Washington game:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster      1   251.09    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      23      31 |
  |               Surfah      2   236.06    67.31    20   21.67   25.64      24      30 |
  |            mr_thekid      3   235.74    54.27    20   13.33   20.94      27      28 |
  |             LiveCoug      4   209.57    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      17      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      5   205.33    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      24      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheAzzuri      6   203.42    17.64     0    0.00   17.64      21      17 |
  |        Clark Addison      7   199.50    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      27      17 |
  |                 Borg      8   198.93     9.63     0    0.00    9.63      30      17 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      9   198.68    69.05    20   23.33   25.71      24      31 |
  |             beefytee     10   198.07    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      27      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     11   196.32    18.19     0    0.00   18.19      27      23 |
  |            bluegoose     12   195.16    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |             USU Coug     13   188.17    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      27 |
  |                byu71     14   185.20    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      20 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     15   183.19     2.28     0    0.00    2.28      38      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Eddie     16   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     17   182.20     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      28 |
  |          Flystripper     18   181.29    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      24      20 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   179.91    15.55     0    0.00   15.55      16      14 |
  |              Moliere     20   178.78    65.57    20   25.00   20.57      27      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     21   178.10    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      27      24 |
  |              snowcat     22   166.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     23   166.63    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      17      20 |
  |               Pelado     24   162.72    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      28      20 |
  |             Sullyute     25   161.47     9.46     0    0.00    9.46      35      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     26   160.57    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     27   156.93    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      27 |
  |              Scorcho     28   154.33    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      28      17 |
  |             happyone     29   152.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Blueintheface     30   148.65     5.12     0    0.00    5.12      34      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Joe Public     31   148.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute     32   147.92    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      20 |
  |               Sizzle     33   144.73    13.93     0    0.00   13.93      17      13 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     34   141.78     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       3       0 |
  |              UteStar     35   132.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     36   132.60     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      21 |
  |              hostile     37   129.44     9.23     0    0.00    9.23      34      23 |
  |         DrumNFeather     38   127.18     5.21     0    0.00    5.21      37      23 |
  |            Donuthole     39   127.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     40   124.57    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   118.41     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      35      14 |
  |               LA Ute     42   115.48        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     43   113.94    93.94    20   40.00   33.94      17      34 |
  |                U-Ute     44   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte     45   110.25     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 woot     46   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     47   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     48   105.19     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      31 |
  |            filsdepac     49   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     50   101.68    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      34      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     51    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     52    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     53    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BlueHair     54    95.19    21.71     0    0.00   21.71      24      23 |
  |          Parrot Head     55    94.88    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     56    93.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     57    90.75     4.29     0    0.00    4.29      38      24 |
  |            SteelBlue     58    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     59    86.11     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      24 |
  |             ERCougar     60    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              scottie     61    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     62    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian     63    76.16    11.07     0    0.00   11.07      31      20 |
  |              falafel     64    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                wally     65    72.79    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      28      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Maximus     66    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  CJF     67    70.91     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      37      17 |
  |         Portland Ute     68    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      NorthwestUteFan     69    61.82     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      32 |
  |                Solon     70    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Drunk Tank     71    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     72    56.86     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      35      24 |
  |            Marvelous     73    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        originalsocal     74    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     75    51.37     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      47      26 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     76    35.18     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      32      14 |
  |            wuapinmon     77    30.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     78    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Borderline Divine     79    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     80    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            MarkGrace     81    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |  drkennethnoisewater     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Commando     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               FMCoug     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Do Not Want!     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Green Monstah     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          thesaint258     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         San Juan Sun     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Washington results:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     43   113.94    93.94    20   40.00   33.94      17      34 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      1   251.09    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      23      31 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      9   198.68    69.05    20   23.33   25.71      24      31 |
  |               Surfah      2   236.06    67.31    20   21.67   25.64      24      30 |
  |              Moliere     20   178.78    65.57    20   25.00   20.57      27      35 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              FN Phat     23   166.63    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      17      20 |
  |             LiveCoug      4   209.57    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      17      20 |
  |            mr_thekid      3   235.74    54.27    20   13.33   20.94      27      28 |
  |             BlueHair     54    95.19    21.71     0    0.00   21.71      24      23 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     27   156.93    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             USU Coug     13   188.17    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      27 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     21   178.10    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      27      24 |
  |          Flystripper     18   181.29    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      24      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      5   205.33    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      24      20 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     11   196.32    18.19     0    0.00   18.19      27      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheAzzuri      6   203.42    17.64     0    0.00   17.64      21      17 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     32   147.92    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      20 |
  |                byu71     14   185.20    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      20 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   179.91    15.55     0    0.00   15.55      16      14 |
  |          Parrot Head     55    94.88    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      28      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Pelado     24   162.72    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      28      20 |
  |               Sizzle     33   144.73    13.93     0    0.00   13.93      17      13 |
  |            bluegoose     12   195.16    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |             Devildog     40   124.57    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |                  8BR     26   160.57    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             beefytee     10   198.07    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      27      17 |
  |        Clark Addison      7   199.50    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      27      17 |
  |              Scorcho     28   154.33    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      28      17 |
  |                wally     65    72.79    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      28      17 |
  |           BoylenOver     50   101.68    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      34      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     63    76.16    11.07     0    0.00   11.07      31      20 |
  |                 Borg      8   198.93     9.63     0    0.00    9.63      30      17 |
  |             Sullyute     25   161.47     9.46     0    0.00    9.46      35      27 |
  |              hostile     37   129.44     9.23     0    0.00    9.23      34      23 |
  |           doctorcoug     72    56.86     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      35      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     38   127.18     5.21     0    0.00    5.21      37      23 |
  |        Blueintheface     30   148.65     5.12     0    0.00    5.12      34      17 |
  |                YOhio     76    35.18     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      32      14 |
  |               DU Ute     57    90.75     4.29     0    0.00    4.29      38      24 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     15   183.19     2.28     0    0.00    2.28      38      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     67    70.91     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      37      17 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   118.41     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      35      14 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     34   141.78     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       3       0 |
  |             SportUTE     59    86.11     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      24 |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     36   132.60     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      21 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      NorthwestUteFan     69    61.82     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      32 |
  |            OrangeUte     45   110.25     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      31 |
  |              UtahDan     75    51.37     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      47      26 |
  |            Uncle Ted     17   182.20     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      28 |
  |              Flattop     48   105.19     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      31 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment

    • #3
      Overall standings sorted by poster name

      Code:
       +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  8BR     26   160.57    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |         All-American     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     10   198.07    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      27      17 |
  |          BemidjiCoug      9   198.68    69.05    20   23.33   25.71      24      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     12   195.16    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |             BlueHair     54    95.19    21.71     0    0.00   21.71      24      23 |
  |        Blueintheface     30   148.65     5.12     0    0.00    5.12      34      17 |
  |    Borderline Divine     79    27.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Borg      8   198.93     9.63     0    0.00    9.63      30      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     50   101.68    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      34      28 |
  |                Brian     63    76.16    11.07     0    0.00   11.07      31      20 |
  |                byu71     14   185.20    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      20 |
  |             camleish     56    93.87        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     53    96.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     67    70.91     1.53     0    0.00    1.53      37      17 |
  |        Clark Addison      7   199.50    12.71     0    0.00   12.71      27      17 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     21   178.10    18.91     0    0.00   18.91      27      24 |
  |             Commando     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     62    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     40   124.57    13.74     0    0.00   13.74      31      24 |
  |         Do Not Want!     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     72    56.86     8.38     0    0.00    8.38      35      24 |
  |            Donuthole     39   127.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |  drkennethnoisewater     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     38   127.18     5.21     0    0.00    5.21      37      23 |
  |           Drunk Tank     71    57.95        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     57    90.75     4.29     0    0.00    4.29      38      24 |
  |                Eddie     16   182.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             ERCougar     60    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     64    75.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     49   103.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Flattop     48   105.19     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     18   181.29    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      24      20 |
  |               FMCoug     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              FN Phat     23   166.63    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      17      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      5   205.33    18.76     0    0.00   18.76      24      20 |
  |        Green Monstah     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             happyone     29   152.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |     HawkeyeUte Scads     36   132.60     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      21 |
  |              hostile     37   129.44     9.23     0    0.00    9.23      34      23 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     34   141.78     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       3       0 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     32   147.92    15.67     0    0.00   15.67      27      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     15   183.19     2.28     0    0.00    2.28      38      20 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     27   156.93    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      27 |
  |           Joe Public     31   148.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     51    98.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     47   105.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               LA Ute     42   115.48        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug      4   209.57    60.38    20   16.67   23.71      17      20 |
  |            MarkGrace     81    14.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Marvelous     73    56.07        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     66    71.61        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Moliere     20   178.78    65.57    20   25.00   20.57      27      35 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     41   118.41     1.40     0    0.00    1.40      35      14 |
  |            mr_thekid      3   235.74    54.27    20   13.33   20.94      27      28 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      1   251.09    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      23      31 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     52    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |      NorthwestUteFan     69    61.82     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      32 |
  |            Omaha 680     19   179.91    15.55     0    0.00   15.55      16      14 |
  |            OrangeUte     45   110.25     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      31 |
  |        originalsocal     74    54.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     11   196.32    18.19     0    0.00   18.19      27      23 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Parrot Head     55    94.88    15.42     0    0.00   15.42      28      21 |
  |               Pelado     24   162.72    14.57     0    0.00   14.57      28      20 |
  |           pellegrino     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     68    62.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | purplmonkeydishwashr     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       RobinFinderson     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         San Juan Sun     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               SCcoug     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Scorcho     28   154.33    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      28      17 |
  |              scottie     61    81.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Shaka     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle     33   144.73    13.93     0    0.00   13.93      17      13 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    smokymountainrain     78    27.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     22   166.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon     70    60.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          splitbamboo     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             SportUTE     59    86.11     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      45      24 |
  |            SteelBlue     58    88.34        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             Sullyute     25   161.47     9.46     0    0.00    9.46      35      27 |
  |               Surfah      2   236.06    67.31    20   21.67   25.64      24      30 |
  |             The_Tick     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheAzzuri      6   203.42    17.64     0    0.00   17.64      21      17 |
  |            TheBYUGuy     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          thesaint258     82     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               TTCoug     80    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     44   110.85        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     17   182.20     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      42      28 |
  |             USU Coug     13   188.17    19.20     0    0.00   19.20      28      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UtahDan     75    51.37     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      47      26 |
  |              UteStar     35   132.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     43   113.94    93.94    20   40.00   33.94      17      34 |
  |                wally     65    72.79    11.72     0    0.00   11.72      28      17 |
  |                 woot     46   106.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            wuapinmon     77    30.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     76    35.18     4.63     0    0.00    4.63      32      14 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment

      • #4
        Summary stats for the Washington game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     29.66     28.00     24.00     35.00      3.00     47.00
       opred |     22.38     23.00     17.00     27.00      0.00     35.00
      winner |      0.16      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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