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BYU Prediction Contest Results: New Mexico Game

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  • #1

    BYU Prediction Contest Results: New Mexico Game

    Standings as of the New Mexico Game:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              UteStar      1   641.53    91.19    20   38.33   32.86      44      10 |
  |          Parrot Head      2   641.40    93.18    20   38.33   34.85      42      10 |
  |             USU Coug      3   626.28    73.73    20   26.67   27.06      41      16 |
  |       il Padrino Ute      4   583.07    94.65    20   36.67   37.98      41       6 |
  |               Sizzle      5   573.59    82.72    20   30.00   32.72      45       6 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut      6   560.46    70.83    20   30.00   20.83      52      13 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      7   544.96    82.38    20   36.67   25.71      48      13 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      8   541.44    95.14    20   38.33   36.81      38       6 |
  |            OrangeUte      9   540.15    59.03    20   15.00   24.03      35      17 |
  |             LiveCoug     10   536.88    82.38    20   36.67   25.71      48      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     11   531.42    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |            creekster     12   528.07    82.98    20   31.67   31.31      41      13 |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     13   512.53    76.67    20   33.33   23.34      50      13 |
  |               DU Ute     14   510.52    91.81    20   35.00   36.81      42       6 |
  |                 woot     15   500.08    84.30    20   33.33   30.96      42      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     16   497.22    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      38      10 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     17   490.48    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      49       7 |
  |            Hot Lunch     18   480.07    85.16    20   38.33   26.83      47      13 |
  |        Blueintheface     19   475.79    89.19    20   38.33   30.85      35       3 |
  |           Rickomatic     20   471.59    84.52    20   31.67   32.86      45       7 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     21   466.92    77.63    20   26.67   30.96      38      13 |
  |              hostile     22   460.51    61.21    20   21.67   19.55      54      10 |
  |              scottie     23   453.13    84.52    20   31.67   32.86      40      12 |
  |             Sullyute     24   446.14    74.60    20   25.00   29.60      42       0 |
  |                U-Ute     25   445.16    82.45    20   33.33   29.12      47      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       NorthShoreCoug     26   424.64    74.61    20   30.00   24.61      44      17 |
  |         DrumNFeather     27   420.30    47.46    20   13.33   14.13      58       9 |
  |               SCcoug     28   419.64    84.30    20   33.33   30.96      42      13 |
  |            TheBYUGuy     29   418.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Top Ute     30   418.54    70.75    20   33.33   17.41      49      20 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       Jarid in Cedar     31   407.27    20.00    20    0.00    0.00       3       2 |
  |             shoganai     32   396.87    74.35    20   36.67   17.69      52      17 |
  |        Clark Addison     33   393.38    80.64    20   28.33   32.31      38      12 |
  |            SteelBlue     34   377.17    55.08    20   18.33   16.74      56      10 |
  |                wally     35   371.42    20.00    20    0.00    0.00       4       0 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         All-American     36   367.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     37   361.43    46.16    20    8.33   17.82      55       3 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     38   360.73    81.27    20   31.67   29.60      38       0 |
  |                byu71     39   343.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     40   343.17     1.67     0    0.00    1.67      28      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   339.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             camleish     42   329.28    82.72    20   30.00   32.72      45       6 |
  |              UtahDan     43   319.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               LA Ute     44   302.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     45   296.15    28.93    20    3.33    5.60      64       9 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              falafel     46   295.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     47   284.06    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |                  8BR     48   267.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     49   246.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           pellegrino     50   238.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           doctorcoug     51   227.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   Marvin Hardtospell     52   225.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Coastal Ute     53   224.29    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      47       3 |
  |            SoCalCoug     54   212.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     55   205.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Ted Nugent     56   195.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Cougar++     57   192.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Eddie Jones     58   191.76    20.00    20    0.00    0.00     100      16 |
  |          dabrockster     59   184.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     60   163.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          I.J. Reilly     61   161.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Bastage     62   160.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SloanHater     63   159.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     64   157.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Spicy McHaggis     65   153.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Gaddeus     66   152.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     67   147.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               cowboy     68   130.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         EdmondDantes     69   125.27    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      38      10 |
  |         Non Sequitur     70   121.73        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           PolyCougar     71   111.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              tooblue     72   105.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Shaka     73   101.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OSUCougar     74    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               RedSox     75    94.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie     76    93.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |     Mormon Red Death     77    91.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     78    89.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     79    88.34    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |                Hsaru     80    86.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 Slim     81    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     82    84.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     82    84.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          BGRTHNUMEGO     84    83.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       RobinFinderson     85    82.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               HotBox     86    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            filsdepac     87    68.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     88    64.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     89    56.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     90    51.91    20.00    20    0.00    0.00      69       3 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     91    48.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Uncle Ted     92    47.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Jacob     93    46.96        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             1337coug     94    46.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     95    41.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                 xena     96    29.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     97    29.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   The Fourth Nephite     98    28.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Hazzard     99    26.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     99    26.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Solon    101    23.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       WashingtonCoug    102    17.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian    103    16.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank    104    15.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             BlueHair    105    13.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         Lost_Student    106    11.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug    107     9.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         TripletDaddy    108     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon    108     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 11-21-2010, 06:31 PM.
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by New Mexico game prediction points:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar      8   541.44    95.14    20   38.33   36.81      38       6 |
  |       il Padrino Ute      4   583.07    94.65    20   36.67   37.98      41       6 |
  |          Parrot Head      2   641.40    93.18    20   38.33   34.85      42      10 |
  |               DU Ute     14   510.52    91.81    20   35.00   36.81      42       6 |
  |              UteStar      1   641.53    91.19    20   38.33   32.86      44      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Blueintheface     19   475.79    89.19    20   38.33   30.85      35       3 |
  |            bluegoose     11   531.42    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |             Commando     79    88.34    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |        Goatnapper'96     47   284.06    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |         EdmondDantes     69   125.27    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      38      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  CJF     16   497.22    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      38      10 |
  |            Hot Lunch     18   480.07    85.16    20   38.33   26.83      47      13 |
  |              scottie     23   453.13    84.52    20   31.67   32.86      40      12 |
  |           Rickomatic     20   471.59    84.52    20   31.67   32.86      45       7 |
  |                 woot     15   500.08    84.30    20   33.33   30.96      42      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug     28   419.64    84.30    20   33.33   30.96      42      13 |
  |            creekster     12   528.07    82.98    20   31.67   31.31      41      13 |
  |             camleish     42   329.28    82.72    20   30.00   32.72      45       6 |
  |               Sizzle      5   573.59    82.72    20   30.00   32.72      45       6 |
  |                U-Ute     25   445.16    82.45    20   33.33   29.12      47      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             LiveCoug     10   536.88    82.38    20   36.67   25.71      48      13 |
  | New Mexican Disaster      7   544.96    82.38    20   36.67   25.71      48      13 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     38   360.73    81.27    20   31.67   29.60      38       0 |
  |        Clark Addison     33   393.38    80.64    20   28.33   32.31      38      12 |
  |          Flystripper     21   466.92    77.63    20   26.67   30.96      38      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | EuropeanFootballMale     13   512.53    76.67    20   33.33   23.34      50      13 |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     26   424.64    74.61    20   30.00   24.61      44      17 |
  |             Sullyute     24   446.14    74.60    20   25.00   29.60      42       0 |
  |             shoganai     32   396.87    74.35    20   36.67   17.69      52      17 |
  |             USU Coug      3   626.28    73.73    20   26.67   27.06      41      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Jeff Lebowski     17   490.48    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      49       7 |
  |          chrisrenrut      6   560.46    70.83    20   30.00   20.83      52      13 |
  |              Top Ute     30   418.54    70.75    20   33.33   17.41      49      20 |
  |          Coastal Ute     53   224.29    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      47       3 |
  |              hostile     22   460.51    61.21    20   21.67   19.55      54      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            OrangeUte      9   540.15    59.03    20   15.00   24.03      35      17 |
  |            SteelBlue     34   377.17    55.08    20   18.33   16.74      56      10 |
  |         DrumNFeather     27   420.30    47.46    20   13.33   14.13      58       9 |
  |               Surfah     37   361.43    46.16    20    8.33   17.82      55       3 |
  |                YOhio     45   296.15    28.93    20    3.33    5.60      64       9 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Eddie Jones     58   191.76    20.00    20    0.00    0.00     100      16 |
  |                wally     35   371.42    20.00    20    0.00    0.00       4       0 |
  |           SoonerCoug     90    51.91    20.00    20    0.00    0.00      69       3 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     31   407.27    20.00    20    0.00    0.00       3       2 |
  |           BoylenOver     40   343.17     1.67     0    0.00    1.67      28      31 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 11-21-2010, 06:32 PM.

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings reverse sorted by poster name:

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                YOhio     45   296.15    28.93    20    3.33    5.60      64       9 |
  |                 xena     96    29.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            wuapinmon    108     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 woot     15   500.08    84.30    20   33.33   30.96      42      13 |
  |       WashingtonCoug    102    17.64        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                wally     35   371.42    20.00    20    0.00    0.00       4       0 |
  |               Viking     89    56.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar      1   641.53    91.19    20   38.33   32.86      44      10 |
  |              UtahDan     43   319.55        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             USU Coug      3   626.28    73.73    20   26.67   27.06      41      16 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Uncle Ted     92    47.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     25   445.16    82.45    20   33.33   29.12      47      10 |
  |         TripletDaddy    108     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Top Ute     30   418.54    70.75    20   33.33   17.41      49      20 |
  |              tooblue     72   105.93        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            TheBYUGuy     29   418.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   The Fourth Nephite     98    28.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Ted Nugent     56   195.79        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     37   361.43    46.16    20    8.33   17.82      55       3 |
  |             Sullyute     24   446.14    74.60    20   25.00   29.60      42       0 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     34   377.17    55.08    20   18.33   16.74      56      10 |
  |       Spicy McHaggis     65   153.36        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     90    51.91    20.00    20    0.00    0.00      69       3 |
  |                Solon    101    23.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug     54   212.99        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     91    48.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SloanHater     63   159.22        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                 Slim     81    85.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     82    84.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Sizzle      5   573.59    82.72    20   30.00   32.72      45       6 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             shoganai     32   396.87    74.35    20   36.67   17.69      52      17 |
  |                Shaka     73   101.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     95    41.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              scottie     23   453.13    84.52    20   31.67   32.86      40      12 |
  |               SCcoug     28   419.64    84.30    20   33.33   30.96      42      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       RobinFinderson     85    82.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     20   471.59    84.52    20   31.67   32.86      45       7 |
  |               RedSox     75    94.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Portland Ute     97    29.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           PolyCougar     71   111.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           pellegrino     50   238.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Parrot Head      2   641.40    93.18    20   38.33   34.85      42      10 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar      8   541.44    95.14    20   38.33   36.81      38       6 |
  |            OSUCougar     74    96.90        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            OrangeUte      9   540.15    59.03    20   15.00   24.03      35      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       NorthShoreCoug     26   424.64    74.61    20   30.00   24.61      44      17 |
  |         Non Sequitur     70   121.73        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | New Mexican Disaster      7   544.96    82.38    20   36.67   25.71      48      13 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     77    91.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     82    84.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |   Marvin Hardtospell     52   225.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Lost_Student    106    11.54        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     10   536.88    82.38    20   36.67   25.71      48      13 |
  |               LA Ute     44   302.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             kccougar     99    26.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Katy Lied     60   163.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     17   490.48    72.14    20   25.00   27.14      49       7 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     31   407.27    20.00    20    0.00    0.00       3       2 |
  |                Jacob     93    46.96        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       il Padrino Ute      4   583.07    94.65    20   36.67   37.98      41       6 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          I.J. Reilly     61   161.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     41   339.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Hsaru     80    86.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               HotBox     86    81.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Hot Lunch     18   480.07    85.16    20   38.33   26.83      47      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              hostile     22   460.51    61.21    20   21.67   19.55      54      10 |
  |              Hazzard     99    26.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     88    64.46        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96     47   284.06    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |              Gaddeus     66   152.02        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Flystripper     21   466.92    77.63    20   26.67   30.96      38      13 |
  |            filsdepac     87    68.76        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     46   295.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  | EuropeanFootballMale     13   512.53    76.67    20   33.33   23.34      50      13 |
  |         EdmondDantes     69   125.27    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      38      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          Eddie Jones     58   191.76    20.00    20    0.00    0.00     100      16 |
  |               DU Ute     14   510.52    91.81    20   35.00   36.81      42       6 |
  |           Drunk Tank    104    15.67        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         DrumNFeather     27   420.30    47.46    20   13.33   14.13      58       9 |
  |            Donuthole     67   147.53        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           doctorcoug     51   227.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Devildog     64   157.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          dabrockster     59   184.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            creekster     12   528.07    82.98    20   31.67   31.31      41      13 |
  |               cowboy     68   130.24        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie     76    93.98        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Cougar++     57   192.41        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             Commando     79    88.34    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     55   205.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Coastal Ute     53   224.29    70.15    20   21.67   28.48      47       3 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     38   360.73    81.27    20   31.67   29.60      38       0 |
  |        Clark Addison     33   393.38    80.64    20   28.33   32.31      38      12 |
  |                  CJF     16   497.22    86.52    20   31.67   34.85      38      10 |
  |          chrisrenrut      6   560.46    70.83    20   30.00   20.83      52      13 |
  |          CardiacCoug    107     9.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             camleish     42   329.28    82.72    20   30.00   32.72      45       6 |
  |                byu71     39   343.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian    103    16.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           BoylenOver     40   343.17     1.67     0    0.00    1.67      28      31 |
  |        Blueintheface     19   475.79    89.19    20   38.33   30.85      35       3 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             BlueHair    105    13.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            bluegoose     11   531.42    88.34    20   36.67   31.67      45      10 |
  |          BGRTHNUMEGO     84    83.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     49   246.42        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Bastage     62   160.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     78    89.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         All-American     36   367.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     48   267.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             1337coug     94    46.16        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      Last edited by pelagius; 11-21-2010, 06:33 PM.

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction Summary stats for the New Mexico game:

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     44.64     45.00     40.00     49.00      3.00    100.00
       opred |     10.02     10.00      6.00     13.00      0.00     31.00
      winner |      0.98      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

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