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Utah 2009 Prediction Contest: Final Results

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  • Utah 2009 Prediction Contest: Final Results

    PAC wins ... So the prediction contest familial domination is complete.

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |       PaloAltoCougar      1   943.81    70.34    20   31.43   18.91      24      20 |
      |        Jeff Lebowski      2   941.86    69.93    20   24.29   25.64      38      17 |
      |          I.J. Reilly      3   896.10    72.28    20   35.71   16.57      24      17 |
      |          chrisrenrut      4   862.54    77.63    20   34.29   23.34      31      17 |
      |                byu71      5   854.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |           Rickomatic      6   846.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       7      17 |
      |                 Borg      7   840.70    50.00    20   30.00    0.00      17       0 |
      |           BoylenOver      8   832.60    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      31      24 |
      | New Mexican Disaster      9   829.74    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      27      16 |
      |       Sleeping in EQ     10   820.25    69.55    20   30.00   19.55      24      21 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |          Flystripper     11   816.62        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            bluegoose     12   814.26    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      17      24 |
      |       Jarid in Cedar     13   810.97    82.46    20   32.86   29.60      35      20 |
      |            Hot Lunch     14   809.70    75.09    20   30.00   25.09      27      24 |
      |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     15   808.48    65.71    20   30.00   15.71      29      12 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |               Surfah     16   797.85    20.94     0    0.00   20.94      24      30 |
      |                Solon     17   759.95    69.55    20   30.00   19.55      31      14 |
      |         DrumNFeather     18   754.34    86.97    20   32.86   34.11      38      23 |
      |                  CJF     19   751.61    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      27      20 |
      |       il Padrino Ute     20   741.41    71.28    20   38.57   12.71      24      13 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        Coach McGuirk     21   722.00    82.86    20   37.14   25.71      31      19 |
      |        Clark Addison     22   701.16     5.68     0    0.00    5.68      13      28 |
      |     Mormon Red Death     23   634.20    61.37    20   20.00   21.37      38      14 |
      |        Blueintheface     24   585.23    58.53    20   24.29   14.25      31      10 |
      |              falafel     25   580.63    21.37     0    0.00   21.37      24      28 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |           cougjunkie     26   558.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |               DU Ute     27   532.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |                U-Ute     28   506.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            OrangeUte     29   469.95    82.86    20   37.14   25.71      31      19 |
      |               Sizzle     30   430.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |             LiveCoug     31   423.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |                Brian     32   420.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |        Goatnapper'96     33   377.77        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |           SeattleUte     34   371.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |              scottie     35   362.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |             beefytee     36   348.62    74.00    20   28.57   25.43      35      17 |
      |              UteStar     37   342.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |       WashingtonCoug     38   309.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            SoCalCoug     39   295.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |    Color Me Badd Fan     40   275.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |               LA Ute     41   259.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |       NorthShoreCoug     42   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |          RockyBalboa     43   202.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |         TripletDaddy     44   178.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |              snowcat     45   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |            Donuthole     46   170.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            creekster     47   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |          Eddie Jones     48   128.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |              UtahDan     49   122.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |              ewth8tr     50   121.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |               Viking     51   119.35        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |    smokymountainrain     52   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            Katy Lied     53   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |           Drunk Tank     54   108.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |          CardiacCoug     55   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |                YOhio     56    98.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |           2 Tru Blue     57    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |          Medfordcoug     58    85.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |              venkman     59    83.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |                 woot     60    83.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |         Portland Ute     61    82.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            wuapinmon     62    81.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |         BlueNtheFace     63    80.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            Soccermom     64    79.35        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |                  8BR     65    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |          Parrot Head     66    77.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |              nikuman     67    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |                  bag     68    67.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |        clackamascoug     69    64.47    64.47    20   31.43   13.05      21      17 |
      |           CougarFan3     70    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |             OhioBlue     71    62.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |         CougarBroker     72    60.00    60.00    20   40.00    0.00      16       6 |
      |           doctorcoug     73    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |             BlueHair     74    47.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |             The_Tick     75    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |               Fiyero     76    32.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |             camleish     77    27.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |                 xena     78    26.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |          JohnnyLingo     79    25.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |           SloanHater     80    22.80        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        lady duckcoug     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      |            SteelBlue     82    14.25    14.25     0    0.00   14.25      20      21 |
      |             kccougar     83    11.11    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      17      24 |
      |             landpoke     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 12-26-2009, 10:24 AM.

  • #2
    Standings sorted by Cal results

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |         DrumNFeather     18   754.34    86.97    20   32.86   34.11      38      23 |
      |           BoylenOver      8   832.60    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      31      24 |
      |        Coach McGuirk     21   722.00    82.86    20   37.14   25.71      31      19 |
      |            OrangeUte     29   469.95    82.86    20   37.14   25.71      31      19 |
      |       Jarid in Cedar     13   810.97    82.46    20   32.86   29.60      35      20 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |                  CJF     19   751.61    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      27      20 |
      |          chrisrenrut      4   862.54    77.63    20   34.29   23.34      31      17 |
      | New Mexican Disaster      9   829.74    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      27      16 |
      |            Hot Lunch     14   809.70    75.09    20   30.00   25.09      27      24 |
      |             beefytee     36   348.62    74.00    20   28.57   25.43      35      17 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |          I.J. Reilly      3   896.10    72.28    20   35.71   16.57      24      17 |
      |       il Padrino Ute     20   741.41    71.28    20   38.57   12.71      24      13 |
      |       PaloAltoCougar      1   943.81    70.34    20   31.43   18.91      24      20 |
      |        Jeff Lebowski      2   941.86    69.93    20   24.29   25.64      38      17 |
      |                Solon     17   759.95    69.55    20   30.00   19.55      31      14 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |       Sleeping in EQ     10   820.25    69.55    20   30.00   19.55      24      21 |
      |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     15   808.48    65.71    20   30.00   15.71      29      12 |
      |        clackamascoug     69    64.47    64.47    20   31.43   13.05      21      17 |
      |     Mormon Red Death     23   634.20    61.37    20   20.00   21.37      38      14 |
      |         CougarBroker     72    60.00    60.00    20   40.00    0.00      16       6 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |        Blueintheface     24   585.23    58.53    20   24.29   14.25      31      10 |
      |                 Borg      7   840.70    50.00    20   30.00    0.00      17       0 |
      |              falafel     25   580.63    21.37     0    0.00   21.37      24      28 |
      |               Surfah     16   797.85    20.94     0    0.00   20.94      24      30 |
      |            SteelBlue     82    14.25    14.25     0    0.00   14.25      20      21 |
      |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
      |            bluegoose     12   814.26    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      17      24 |
      |             kccougar     83    11.11    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      17      24 |
      |        Clark Addison     22   701.16     5.68     0    0.00    5.68      13      28 |
      |           Rickomatic      6   846.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       7      17 |
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

    Comment


    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
        |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |           2 Tru Blue     57    85.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                  8BR     65    77.33        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                  bag     68    67.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |             beefytee     36   348.62    74.00    20   28.57   25.43      35      17 |
        |            bluegoose     12   814.26    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      17      24 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |             BlueHair     74    47.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |        Blueintheface     24   585.23    58.53    20   24.29   14.25      31      10 |
        |         BlueNtheFace     63    80.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                 Borg      7   840.70    50.00    20   30.00    0.00      17       0 |
        |           BoylenOver      8   832.60    86.13    20   35.71   30.42      31      24 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |                Brian     32   420.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                byu71      5   854.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |             camleish     77    27.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |          CardiacCoug     55   104.81        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |          chrisrenrut      4   862.54    77.63    20   34.29   23.34      31      17 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |                  CJF     19   751.61    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      27      20 |
        |        clackamascoug     69    64.47    64.47    20   31.43   13.05      21      17 |
        |        Clark Addison     22   701.16     5.68     0    0.00    5.68      13      28 |
        |        Coach McGuirk     21   722.00    82.86    20   37.14   25.71      31      19 |
        |    Color Me Badd Fan     40   275.65        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |         CougarBroker     72    60.00    60.00    20   40.00    0.00      16       6 |
        |           CougarFan3     70    63.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |           cougjunkie     26   558.08        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |            creekster     47   158.47        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |           doctorcoug     73    56.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            Donuthole     46   170.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |         DrumNFeather     18   754.34    86.97    20   32.86   34.11      38      23 |
        |           Drunk Tank     54   108.58        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |               DU Ute     27   532.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |          Eddie Jones     48   128.03        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |              ewth8tr     50   121.92        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |              falafel     25   580.63    21.37     0    0.00   21.37      24      28 |
        |               Fiyero     76    32.83        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |          Flystripper     11   816.62        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |        Goatnapper'96     33   377.77        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            Hot Lunch     14   809.70    75.09    20   30.00   25.09      27      24 |
        |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     15   808.48    65.71    20   30.00   15.71      29      12 |
        |          I.J. Reilly      3   896.10    72.28    20   35.71   16.57      24      17 |
        |       il Padrino Ute     20   741.41    71.28    20   38.57   12.71      24      13 |
        |       Jarid in Cedar     13   810.97    82.46    20   32.86   29.60      35      20 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |        Jeff Lebowski      2   941.86    69.93    20   24.29   25.64      38      17 |
        |          JohnnyLingo     79    25.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |            Katy Lied     53   108.82        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |             kccougar     83    11.11    11.11     0    0.00   11.11      17      24 |
        |               LA Ute     41   259.66        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |        lady duckcoug     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |             landpoke     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |             LiveCoug     31   423.52        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |          Medfordcoug     58    85.04        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |     Mormon Red Death     23   634.20    61.37    20   20.00   21.37      38      14 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        | New Mexican Disaster      9   829.74    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      27      16 |
        |              nikuman     67    73.28        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |       NorthShoreCoug     42   239.45        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |             OhioBlue     71    62.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |            OrangeUte     29   469.95    82.86    20   37.14   25.71      31      19 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |       PaloAltoCougar      1   943.81    70.34    20   31.43   18.91      24      20 |
        |          Parrot Head     66    77.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |         Portland Ute     61    82.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |           Rickomatic      6   846.64     0.00     0    0.00    0.00       7      17 |
        |          RockyBalboa     43   202.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |              scottie     35   362.94        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |           SeattleUte     34   371.57        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |               Sizzle     30   430.29        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |       Sleeping in EQ     10   820.25    69.55    20   30.00   19.55      24      21 |
        |           SloanHater     80    22.80        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |    smokymountainrain     52   111.01        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |              snowcat     45   175.32        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |            SoCalCoug     39   295.49        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |            Soccermom     64    79.35        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                Solon     17   759.95    69.55    20   30.00   19.55      31      14 |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |            SteelBlue     82    14.25    14.25     0    0.00   14.25      20      21 |
        |               Surfah     16   797.85    20.94     0    0.00   20.94      24      30 |
        |             The_Tick     75    47.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |         TripletDaddy     44   178.19        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                U-Ute     28   506.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |              UtahDan     49   122.86        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |              UteStar     37   342.70        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |              venkman     59    83.84        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |               Viking     51   119.35        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |       WashingtonCoug     38   309.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
        |                 woot     60    83.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |            wuapinmon     62    81.37        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                 xena     78    26.38        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        |                YOhio     56    98.89        .     .       .       .       .       . |
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

      Comment


      • #4
        I'll settle for top ten.

        Also, thanks a lot for doing this, pelagius. I really enjoyed it.
        "I don't know the origin of said bitch booming."-Art Vandelay
        "Hot Lunch posted awhile back on this. He knows more than anyone except for maybe BO."-Seattle Ute

        Comment


        • #5
          Summary stats for the Cal game

          Code:
              variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
          -------------+------------------------------------------------------------
                 bpred |     25.93     27.00     21.00     31.00      7.00     38.00
                 opred |     18.34     19.00     16.00     23.00      0.00     30.00
                winner |      0.76      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
          --------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by BoylenOver View Post
            I'll settle for top ten.

            Also, thanks a lot for doing this, pelagius. I really enjoyed it.
            You know that you have done well when you can be objective enough on your own team to get in the top ten. And narrowly beat me. congrats.

            Comment


            • #7
              Thanks, Pelagius, for all the time spent in doing this.

              Ute fans, know that you can come to me for the most accurate assessment of your future fortunes. SU, take note.

              And finally, be it known that between Parrot Head and me, all of this year's prediction hardware resides in the PAC Family Trophy Case.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by PaloAltoCougar View Post
                Thanks, Pelagius, for all the time spent in doing this.

                Ute fans, know that you can come to me for the most accurate assessment of your future fortunes. SU, take note.

                And finally, be it known that between Parrot Head and me, all of this year's prediction hardware resides in the PAC Family Trophy Case.
                Except for the tour de france, buddy.
                PLesa excuse the tpyos.

                Comment


                • #9
                  So close.

                  You know PAC, had the Utah defense sacked up and kept Cal from scoring that last touchdown, I think I just might have jumped ahead of you. I was yelling at the TV.
                  "There is no creature more arrogant than a self-righteous libertarian on the web, am I right? Those folks are just intolerable."
                  "It's no secret that the great American pastime is no longer baseball. Now it's sanctimony." -- Guy Periwinkle, The Nix.
                  "Juilliardk N I ibuprofen Hyu I U unhurt u" - creekster

                  Comment

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