PDA

View Full Version : IPU, I am starting worry about Marist



pelagius
11-16-2008, 05:32 PM
Here are my MOV computer model rankings for this week



NCAA Football: 2008
Computer Rating Model: Margin of Victory (RAW)
Only Division 1A and 1AA games used

Rank Team W L
1 Florida 9 1
2 Southern Cal 9 1
3 Texas 10 1
4 Oklahoma 9 1
5 Penn State 10 1
6 Texas Tech 10 0
7 Missouri 9 2
8 TCU 9 2
9 Oklahoma St 9 2
10 Alabama 11 0
11 Ohio State 9 2
12 Utah 11 0
13 Oregon St 7 3
14 Boise St 10 0
15 California 6 4
16 Iowa 7 4
17 Arizona 6 4
18 Oregon 8 3
19 North Carolina 7 3
20 Georgia 9 2
21 Mississippi 6 4
22 Nebraska 7 4
23 Ball St 10 0
24 Brigham Young 10 1
25 Miami FL 7 3
26 Florida St 7 3
27 Tulsa 8 2
28 Michigan St 9 2
29 Wisconsin 6 5
30 Illinois 5 6
31 LSU 7 3
32 Boston College 7 3
33 Clemson 5 5
34 Kansas 6 5
35 Connecticut 7 3
36 Pittsburgh 7 2
37 Vanderbilt 6 4
38 South Carolina 7 4
39 Houston 6 4
40 West Virginia 6 3
41 Wake Forest 6 4
42 Virginia Tech 6 4
43 Stanford 5 6
44 Cincinnati 8 2
45 Georgia Tech 7 3
46 James Madison 9 1
47 Notre Dame 6 4
48 Minnesota 7 4
49 Rutgers 5 5
50 Baylor 4 7
51 Northwestern 8 3
52 Air Force 8 3
53 South Florida 6 4
54 Arizona St 4 6
55 Kentucky 6 5
56 Maryland 7 3
57 Virginia 5 5
58 Southern Miss 5 6
59 Duke 4 6
60 Navy 6 4
61 Auburn 5 6
62 Nevada 6 4
63 Buffalo 6 4
64 Rice 7 3
65 Appalachian St 9 2
66 Purdue 3 8
67 Kansas St 4 7
68 Tennessee 3 7
69 Richmond 8 3
70 Western Michigan 9 2
71 Bowling Green 5 5
72 New Mexico 4 8
73 Northern Illinoi 5 5
74 Troy 6 4
75 Michigan 3 8
76 Temple 3 7
77 East Carolina 6 4
78 Akron 5 5
79 Arkansas 4 6
80 Cal Poly SLO 8 1
81 Montana 9 1
82 Colorado 5 6
83 UTEP 5 5
84 Central Michigan 8 2
85 North Carolina S 4 6
86 Texas A&M 4 7
87 Louisiana-Lafaye 5 5
88 Weber St 7 2
89 Arkansas St 4 5
90 UNLV 5 6
91 Hawai`i 5 5
92 Fresno St 6 4
93 Louisville 5 5
94 Colorado St 5 6
95 UCLA 4 6
96 Iowa St 2 9
97 New Hampshire 8 2
98 Memphis 5 5
99 Villanova 8 2
100 Mississippi St 3 7
101 Wofford 8 2
102 William & Mary 7 3
103 Louisiana Tech 6 4
104 Marshall 4 6
105 Ohio U. 2 8
106 San Jose St 6 5
107 Florida Atlantic 5 5
108 Indiana 3 8
109 Kent St 3 7
110 Northern Iowa 9 2
111 Central Florida 3 7
112 Florida Int'l 4 5
113 Army 3 7
114 Elon 8 3
115 Middle Tennessee 4 6
116 Toledo 2 8
117 Massachusetts 6 5
118 Syracuse 2 8
119 Samford 3 5
120 Southern Illinoi 8 2
121 Washington 0 10
122 Eastern Washingt 4 5
123 Maine 8 3
124 South Dakota St 6 5
125 North Dakota St 6 4
126 Georgia Southern 6 5
127 Miami OH 2 8
128 Western Illinois 5 4
129 Furman 6 4
130 Wyoming 4 7
131 Utah St 2 9
132 SMU 1 10
133 McNeese St 5 3
134 Tulane 2 8
135 Western Kentucky 2 9
136 Alabama-Birmingh 3 7
137 Delaware 3 7
138 New Mexico St 3 7
139 Eastern Michigan 2 8
140 Central Arkansas 7 2
141 Liberty 7 2
142 South Carolina S 8 2
143 Northern Arizona 5 5
144 Louisiana-Monroe 3 8
145 Harvard 8 1
146 Holy Cross 7 3
147 Montana St 6 4
148 Sacramento St 4 5
149 Jacksonville St 8 3
150 Texas St-San Mar 6 4
151 Lafayette 7 3
152 UC-Davis 5 6
153 Northeastern 2 9
154 The Citadel 3 7
155 San Diego St 1 10
156 Hofstra 4 7
157 Yale 6 3
158 South Dakota 1 4
159 Tennessee-Martin 6 3
160 Sam Houston St 3 5
161 Brown 6 3
162 Tennessee St 8 3
163 Northern Colorad 1 9
164 Florida A&M 8 3
165 Pennsylvania 5 4
166 Illinois St 3 7
167 Colgate 8 2
168 Albany NY 8 3
169 Washington St 1 10
170 Coastal Carolina 6 5
171 Grambling St 7 2
172 Eastern Kentucky 7 3
173 Portland St 2 7
174 Gardner-Webb 4 6
175 Lehigh 4 6
176 SE Louisiana St 5 6
177 Eastern Illinois 4 7
178 Stony Brook 5 6
179 Missouri St 3 6
180 Northwestern St 4 5
181 Southern Utah 3 6
182 Nicholls St 2 6
183 Idaho 2 9
184 Towson 3 8
185 VMI 2 7
186 Stephen F. Austi 2 7
187 North Dakota 1 4
188 Bethune-Cookman 8 2
189 Prairie View A&M 7 1
190 Western Carolina 2 8
191 Morgan St 6 5
192 Youngstown St 2 8
193 Princeton 3 6
194 Norfolk St 3 7
195 Charleston South 4 5
196 North Texas 1 9
197 Rhode Island 2 9
198 Monmouth NJ 7 4
199 Central Conn St 7 4
200 Delaware St 4 6
201 Southern U. 6 4
202 Hampton 5 5
203 Jacksonville FL 7 2
204 Fordham 5 5
205 Columbia 2 7
206 Cornell NY 4 5
207 Idaho St 0 11
208 San Diego 7 2
209 Austin Peay 2 8
210 Dayton 8 2
211 SE Missouri St 2 8
212 Presbyterian 2 7
213 Jackson St 5 4
214 Chattanooga 0 10
215 Murray St 3 7
216 Bucknell 4 6
217 Sacred Heart 6 3
218 Robert Morris 5 6
219 Tennessee Tech 2 8
220 Alabama St 2 8
221 Winston-Salem St 3 7
222 Bryant 4 4
223 Alabama A&M 3 6
224 Dartmouth 0 9
225 Arkansas-Pine Bl 1 7
226 Duquesne 3 7
227 Georgetown DC 2 8
228 North Carolina C 2 6
229 Butler 4 3
230 Morehead St 4 6
231 Marist 4 7
232 Howard 1 9
233 Alcorn St 2 9
234 Davidson 2 6
235 Drake 3 5
236 North Carolina A 2 8
237 Savannah St 1 5
238 Indiana St 0 11
239 Wagner 3 7
240 Texas Southern 1 6
241 St Francis PA 0 10
242 Mississippi Vall 2 7
243 Valparaiso 2 5
244 Iona 0 7
245 Campbell 0 7

il Padrino Ute
11-16-2008, 05:35 PM
231?

We're that high?

Woohoo!

pelagius
11-16-2008, 05:40 PM
231?

We're that high?

Woohoo!

Well, your smackdown of #222, Bryant, really helped.

il Padrino Ute
11-16-2008, 05:49 PM
Well, your smackdown of #222, Bryant, really helped.

Well, we Red Foxes will put up a fight when it matters most.

Or whenever we get around to it.

CardiacCoug
11-16-2008, 07:36 PM
BYU played 4 teams that are worse than Northern Iowa -- Wyoming, Washington, USU, and SDSU.

That's a pretty pathetic bottom five teams on the schedule.

pelagius
11-16-2008, 07:52 PM
BYU played 4 teams that are worse than Northern Iowa -- Wyoming, Washington, USU, and SDSU.

That's a pretty pathetic bottom five teams on the schedule.

Its bad but not, sadly, without precedent. There were two other seasons from 76-07 where BYU played 4 teams with MOV end of season computer rankings of 110 (UNI's current ranking) or worse:




+------------------------------+
| year opponent rank |
|------------------------------|
155. | 1996 Arkansas St 133 |
160. | 1996 UNLV 125 |
163. | 1996 Texas-El Paso 137 |
165. | 1996 Hawaii 143 |
--------------------------------
281. | 2006 Utah St 233 |
283. | 2006 San Diego St 129 |
284. | 2006 UNLV 155 |
286. | 2006 Colorado St 119 |
+------------------------------+



Two of BYUs best seasons in the last 20 years. At least BYU has never had five games of such poor quality in one season.

pelagius
11-16-2008, 08:11 PM
The above is slightly flawed. Its really from 95-07. The data for division 1AA data doesn't go back past 95. There could be more seasons than 2. Also fromn 95-07 BYU has had only two seasons with no opponents ranked worse than 110: 95 and 03.